Pittsburgh at Duke - 2015 Matchup Preview
Pittsburgh logo (#24)Pittsburgh Panthers at Duke Blue DevilsDuke logo
Saturday, November 14th 2015 (12:00 PM EST)
Duke -4 (49.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Pittsburgh 31 - Duke: 13  (ACC)

 
Panthers (8 - 5) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 26 (25 - 18 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 12.7 MPH
DUKE is playing their 4th straight game
PITT is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: PITT: 27 - DUKE: 27 (54)
DUKE Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
PITT Travel: 313 miles
Blue Devils (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (25 - 18 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Pittsburgh's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Pittsburgh vs Youngstown State-15.0
Sat 9/12 Pittsburgh at Akron-11.550.0W 24 - 7UY
Sat 9/19 Pittsburgh at Iowa+3.048.0L 24 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech+4.544.5W 17 - 13UY
Sat 10/10 Pittsburgh vs Virginia-10.045.0W 26 - 19UN
Sat 10/17 Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech+3.048.5W 31 - 28OY
Sat 10/24 Pittsburgh at Syracuse-6.549.0W 23 - 20UN
Thu 10/29 Pittsburgh vs North Carolina+2.559.0L 19 - 26UN
Sat 11/7 Pittsburgh vs Notre Dame+7.552.5L 30 - 42ON
Sat 11/14 Pittsburgh at Duke+4.049.0W 31 - 13UY
Sat 11/21 Pittsburgh vs Louisville-1.548.5W 45 - 34OY
Fri 11/27 Pittsburgh vs Miami-7.054.5L 24 - 29UN
Mon 12/28 Pittsburgh vs Navy+5.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule
Duke's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/3 Duke at Tulane-13.551.5W 37 - 7UY
Sat 9/12 Duke vs North Carolina Central-41.0
Sat 9/19 Duke vs Northwestern-2.550.0L 10 - 19UN
Sat 9/26 Duke vs Georgia Tech+10.056.0W 34 - 20UY
Sat 10/3 Duke vs Boston College-7.037.0W 9 - 7UN
Sat 10/10 Duke at Army-11.047.5W 44 - 3UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Duke at Virginia Tech+6.045.5W 45 - 43OY
Sat 10/31 Duke vs Miami-8.051.5L 27 - 30ON
Sat 11/7 Duke at North Carolina+8.059.5L 31 - 66ON
Sat 11/14 Duke vs Pittsburgh-4.049.0L 13 - 31UN
Sat 11/21 Duke at Virginia+2.553.5L 34 - 42ON
Sat 11/28 Duke at Wake Forest-4.045.0W 27 - 21OY
Sat 12/26 Duke vs Indiana+2.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PITT.1746%28.247%2.9318743%1913.59.1741%26.141%36%3.940.81.21.2
DUKE.0842%31.543%3.0419338%2463.3.1541%25.441%40%3.4247.31.61.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PITT#91 (.15)42% (85)45% (56)3.1 (53)11939% (97)2564.11 (49)#35 (.12)38% (25)38% (20)38% (38)3.68 (57)58.21.31.2
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)35% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)41% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PITT Offense1328.22545.9%3.591.2203781871914.856%42%47%43%3%.17
DUKE Defense1325.417.841%3.421.5 - - - - - 56%42%41%40%2%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PITT Defense1326.11840.5%3.91.2 - - - - - 49%48%41%36%1%.17
DUKE Offense1331.524.742.2%3.31.6244391932464.846%51%43%38%2%.08

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Pittsburgh1331:4219.744%85%540.81.21.200430.8
Duke1328:4023.943%50%5.547.31.61.500432.4
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PITT Offense1356%47%39.2186.94.819.122.9381%0%0.89
DUKE Defense1356%41% - - - - .032.6967%0%0.88
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PITT Defense1349%41% - - - - .162.6172%0%1.13
DUKE Offense1346%43%40.3192.94.825.033.0474%0%0.83

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PITT Offense1342%43%16.326.4190.67.211.7219.251.629%34%.323%1.8
DUKE Defense1342%40% - - - - - - 11.311.932%34%.322%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PITT Defense1348%36% - - - - - - 10.211.835%37%.431%1.8
DUKE Offense1351%38%22.639.2246.56.310.91810.141.532%37%.322%1.8

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #42
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Pittsburgh's 2015 Expected Record: -
Pittsburgh's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh:    Duke: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh:    Duke:




Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Duke's 2015 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 28.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 25
Defense: 26.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 18

Pittsburgh's 2015 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Pittsburgh 27
Duke 27

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Pittsburgh 30
Duke 29

Total Points: 59

Based on Entire Season
Duke 25
Pittsburgh 24

Total Points: 49
Duke Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.7
Defense: 25.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.8

Duke's 2015 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/25Duke30Pittsburgh19Duke -4.5Duke40.5Over
202211/19Pittsburgh28Duke26Pittsburgh -6.5Duke49.0Over
202111/06Duke29Pittsburgh54Pittsburgh -21Pittsburgh64.5Over
201910/05Duke30Pittsburgh33Duke -3.5Pittsburgh48.5Over
201810/27Pittsburgh54Duke45Duke -3Pittsburgh46.0Over
201710/21Duke17Pittsburgh24Duke -9Pittsburgh49.5Under
201611/19Pittsburgh56Duke14Pittsburgh -6.5Pittsburgh61.5Over
201511/14Duke13Pittsburgh31Duke -4Pittsburgh49.0Under
201411/01Pittsburgh48Duke51Pittsburgh -2.5Duke0
201309/21Duke55Pittsburgh58Pittsburgh -6Duke0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Duke246 Overs
Pittsburgh862 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 64 - 62 - 52 - 1
Road Teams6 - 46 - 41 - 25 - 2

(#) PITT at (#) DUKE
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPITTDUKE
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #42 #53
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Pittsburgh on Offense
CategoryCat
PITT OffDUKE Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Pittsburgh Run Game
CategoryCat
PITT OffDUKE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Pittsburgh Pass Game
CategoryCat
PITT OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Duke on Offense
CategoryCatDUKE OffPITT Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Duke Run Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffPITT Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Duke Pass Game
CategoryCatDUKE OffPITT Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

PITT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 55° - Wind: 13 mph
Rematch from Week 11
Duke -4.0 (49.0)
Pittsburgh won at Duke this year (31-13)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat Pittsburgh in 2023 (30-19)
Pittsburgh beat Duke in 2022 (28-26)

  
PITT's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

DUKE's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD