Duke at Virginia - 2015 Matchup Preview
Duke logo Duke Blue Devils at Virginia Cavaliers(#19)Virginia logo
Saturday, November 21st 2015 (3:30 PM EST)
Virginia -2.5 (53.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Virginia 42 - Duke: 34  (ACC)

 
Blue Devils (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (36 - 30 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UVA is playing their 7th straight game
DUKE is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: DUKE: 32 - UVA: 32 (64)
UVA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
DUKE Travel: 143 miles
Cavaliers (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 32 (30 - 34 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Duke's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/3 Duke at Tulane-13.551.5W 37 - 7UY
Sat 9/12 Duke vs North Carolina Central-41.0
Sat 9/19 Duke vs Northwestern-2.550.0L 10 - 19UN
Sat 9/26 Duke vs Georgia Tech+10.056.0W 34 - 20UY
Sat 10/3 Duke vs Boston College-7.037.0W 9 - 7UN
Sat 10/10 Duke at Army-11.047.5W 44 - 3UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Duke at Virginia Tech+6.045.5W 45 - 43OY
Sat 10/31 Duke vs Miami-8.051.5L 27 - 30ON
Sat 11/7 Duke at North Carolina+8.059.5L 31 - 66ON
Sat 11/14 Duke vs Pittsburgh-4.049.0L 13 - 31UN
Sat 11/21 Duke at Virginia+2.553.5L 34 - 42ON
Sat 11/28 Duke at Wake Forest-4.045.0W 27 - 21OY
Sat 12/26 Duke vs Indiana+2.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Virginia's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Virginia at UCLA+14.553.0L 16 - 34UN
Sat 9/12 Virginia vs Notre Dame+11.547.0L 27 - 34OY
Sat 9/19 Virginia vs William & Mary-24.0
Fri 9/25 Virginia vs Boise State+4.048.5L 14 - 56ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10 Virginia at Pittsburgh+10.045.0L 19 - 26UY
Sat 10/17 Virginia vs Syracuse-8.551.0W 44 - 38ON
Sat 10/24 Virginia at North Carolina+12.058.0L 13 - 26UN
Sat 10/31 Virginia vs Georgia Tech+2.551.5W 27 - 21UY
Sat 11/7 Virginia at Miami+7.553.0L 21 - 27UY
Sat 11/14 Virginia at Louisville+8.548.0L 31 - 38OY
Sat 11/21 Virginia vs Duke-2.553.5W 42 - 34OY
Sat 11/28 Virginia vs Virginia Tech+3.548.0L 20 - 23UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE.0842%31.543%3.0419338%2463.3.1541%25.441%40%3.4247.31.61.5
UVA.1542%25.840%2.7114542%2383.48.1946%32.247%42%3.7163.821.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)35% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)41% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42
UVA#102 (.13)40% (103)43% (77)3.29 (25)13337% (113)2293.47 (106)#116 (.27)43% (80)44% (77)42% (77)4.04 (94)45.31.61.3



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Offense1331.536.342.2%3.31.6244391932464.846%51%43%38%2%.08
UVA Defense1232.233.645.9%3.711.3 - - - - - 48%49%47%42%2%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Defense1325.430.341%3.421.5 - - - - - 56%42%41%40%2%.15
UVA Offense1225.829.942.1%3.482203831452384.148%50%40%42%3%.15

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Duke1328:4023.943%50%5.547.31.61.500432.4
Virginia1232:4120.342%53%7.663.821.300126.2
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense1346%43%40.3192.94.825.033.0474%0%0.83
UVA Defense1248%47% - - - - .092.7176%0%0.94
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Defense1356%41% - - - - .032.6967%0%0.88
UVA Offense1248%40%35.3144.84.113.052.7165%0%0.9

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense1351%38%22.639.2246.56.310.91810.141.532%37%.322%1.8
UVA Defense1249%42% - - - - - - 4.321.730%40%.422%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Defense1342%40% - - - - - - 11.311.932%34%.322%1.8
UVA Offense1250%42%2134.4238.36.911.42118.271.734%32%.313%2

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Duke's 2015 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Duke:    Virginia: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke:    Virginia:




Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Virginia's 2015 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Duke Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 36.3
Defense: 25.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.3

Duke's 2015 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Duke 32
Virginia 32

Total Points: 64

Based on Last 4 Games
Virginia 37
Duke 29

Total Points: 66

Based on Entire Season
Duke 34
Virginia 28

Total Points: 62
Virginia Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.9
Defense: 32.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.6

Virginia's 2015 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202512/06Virginia20Duke27Virginia -3.5Duke58.5Under
202511/15Duke17Virginia34Duke -5.5Virginia59.5Under
202311/18Virginia30Duke27Duke -4Virginia48.5Over
202210/01Duke38Virginia17Duke -2Duke55.0Push
202110/16Virginia48Duke0Virginia -10.5Virginia69.5Under
202009/26Virginia38Duke20Virginia -3.5Virginia44.5Over
201910/19Virginia48Duke14Virginia -3.5Virginia45.0Over
201810/20Duke14Virginia28Duke -6.5Virginia45.5Under
201710/07Virginia28Duke21Duke -1.5Virginia53.0Under
201610/01Duke20Virginia34Duke -5Virginia60.5Under
201511/21Virginia42Duke34Virginia -2.5Virginia53.5Over
201410/18Duke20Virginia13Duke -5Duke0
201310/19Virginia22Duke35Virginia -4Duke0
201210/06Duke42Virginia17
201111/12Virginia31Duke21
201011/06Duke55Virginia48
200910/31Virginia17Duke28
200809/27Duke31Virginia3
200709/08Virginia24Duke13
200609/30Duke0Virginia37
200509/24Virginia38Duke7
200410/23Duke16Virginia37
200308/30Virginia27Duke0
200210/05Duke22Virginia27
200109/29Virginia31Duke10
200009/15Duke10Virginia26
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia1894 Overs
Duke846 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 108 - 56 - 52 - 0
Road Teams10 - 165 - 80 - 25 - 6

(#) DUKE at (#) UVA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatDUKEUVA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #53 #30
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Duke on Offense
CategoryCat
DUKE OffUVA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Duke Run Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffUVA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Duke Pass Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffUVA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Virginia on Offense
CategoryCatUVA OffDUKE Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Virginia Run Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffDUKE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Virginia Pass Game
CategoryCatUVA OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UVA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

DUKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 53° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 12
Virginia -2.5 (53.5)
Virginia won vs Duke this year (42-34)

Previous Matchups
Virginia beat Duke in 2023 (30-27)
Duke beat Virginia in 2022 (38-17)

  
DUKE's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UVA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Virginia's Full Roster

UVA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD