Southern Miss at Western Kentucky - 2015 Matchup Preview

Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Saturday, December 5th 2015 (12:00 PM EST)
Western Kentucky -7.5 (76.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Western Kentucky 45 - Southern Miss: 28 (Conference USA)

Golden Eagles (9 - 5) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (28 - 28 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

USM 2nd straight Road Game
WKU 2nd straight Home Game
USM is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: USM: 25 - WKU: 30 (55)
WKU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
USM Travel: 424 miles

Hilltoppers (12 - 2) (10 - 2 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 23 (35 - 19 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USM Players
WKU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Southern Miss's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Southern Miss vs Mississippi State	+13.0	62.0	L 16 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/12	Southern Miss vs Austin Peay	-39.0
Sat 9/19	Southern Miss at Texas State	+2.0	67.0	W 56 - 50	O	Y
Sat 9/26	Southern Miss at Nebraska	+24.5	64.5	L 28 - 36	U	Y
Sat 10/3	Southern Miss vs North Texas	-13.5	66.5	W 49 - 14	U	Y
Fri 10/9	Southern Miss at Marshall	+6.5	58.0	L 10 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/17	Southern Miss vs UTSA	-7.5	56.5	W 32 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/24	Southern Miss at Charlotte	-16.5	64.0	W 44 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/31	Southern Miss vs UTEP	-18.5	59.0	W 34 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14	Southern Miss at Rice	-7.5	60.5	W 65 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/21	Southern Miss vs Old Dominion	-19.5	60.0	W 56 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/28	Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech	+6.5	62.0	W 58 - 24	O	Y
Sat 12/5	Southern Miss at Western Kentucky	+7.5	76.0	L 28 - 45	U	N
Sat 12/26	Southern Miss vs Washington	+8.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule

Western Kentucky's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/3	Western Kentucky at Vanderbilt	+17.5	60.0	W 14 - 12	U	Y
Thu 9/10	Western Kentucky vs Louisiana Tech	-3.0	62.5	W 41 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/19	Western Kentucky at Indiana	+3.0	72.5	L 35 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/26	Western Kentucky vs Miami (OH)	-21.5	67.0	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/3	Western Kentucky at Rice	-5.0	69.0	W 49 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/10	Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee	-7.5	69.5	W 58 - 28	O	Y
Thu 10/15	Western Kentucky at North Texas	-26.5	71.5	W 55 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/24	Western Kentucky at LSU	+17.0	65.0	L 20 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/31	Western Kentucky at Old Dominion	-24.0	66.0	W 55 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/7	Western Kentucky vs Florida Atlantic	-22.0	67.0	W 35 - 19	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21	Western Kentucky at Florida International	-14.0	65.5	W 63 - 7	O	Y
Fri 11/27	Western Kentucky vs Marshall	-10.5	64.0	W 49 - 28	O	Y
Sat 12/5	Western Kentucky vs Southern Miss	-7.5	76.0	W 45 - 28	U	Y
Mon 12/21	Western Kentucky vs South Florida	-3.0

Important Stats (2014)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USM	.09	39%	28.8	37%	2.1	96	38%	269	2.83	.19	44%	27.4	43%	43%	3.73	60.9	2.2	1.3
WKU	.35	52%	29.5	49%	3.26	160	52%	374	4.59	.24	49%	22.8	48%	50%	3.39	57.2	1.4	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WKU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2014

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USM Offense	12	28.8	28.4	38.9%	2.83	2.2	21	365	96	269	3.1	39%	59%	37%	38%	3%	.09
WKU Defense	13	22.8	18.8	49%	3.39	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	48%	50%	2%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USM Defense	12	27.4	27.6	44.1%	3.73	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	43%	43%	2%	.19
WKU Offense	13	29.5	35	51.5%	4.59	1.4	27	535	160	374	4.9	40%	58%	49%	52%	2%	.35

Additional Stats 2014

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Southern Miss	12	29:34	20.8	34%	23%	6.4	60.9	2.2	1.3	0	0	1	28.5
Western Kentucky	13	28:56	26.9	51%	42%	5.8	57.2	1.4	1.8	0	0	5	31.2

Run Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USM Offense	12	39%	37%	31.3	95.8	3.1	9	-.07	2.1	60%	0%	0.93
WKU Defense	13	55%	48%	-	-	-	-	.12	2.88	68%	0%	0.99

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USM Defense	12	53%	43%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.87	68%	0%	0.94
WKU Offense	13	40%	49%	33	160.3	4.9	21	.16	3.26	80%	0%	0.84

Pass Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USM Offense	12	59%	38%	23.1	40.2	269.3	6.7	11.7	14	15	.19	1.6	40%	36%	.31	3%	1.6
WKU Defense	13	44%	50%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.39	1.7	28%	40%	.41	2%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USM Defense	12	45%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.35	1.6	33%	37%	.35	2%	1.7
WKU Offense	13	58%	52%	29.1	42.8	374.3	8.7	12.9	49	10	.51	1.6	28%	42%	.54	2%	1.9

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Southern Miss's 2015 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: Western Kentucky: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: Western Kentucky:

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Western Kentucky's 2015 Expected Record: -
Western Kentucky's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.6

Southern Miss's 2015 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 10
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Western Kentucky 30
Southern Miss 25

Projected Total Points: 55

Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 35
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.8

Western Kentucky's 2015 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 2 - 2
Over/Under Record: 9 - 5
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 1 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	12/23	Southern Miss	16	Western Kentucky	27	Southern Miss -3.0	Western Kentucky	59.0	Under
2020	11/14	Western Kentucky	10	Southern Miss	7	Western Kentucky -8	Southern Miss	45.0	Under
2019	11/23	Southern Miss	10	Western Kentucky	28	Southern Mississippi -3	Western Kentucky	51.0	Under
2015	12/05	Western Kentucky	45	Southern Miss	28	Western Kentucky -7.5	Western Kentucky	76.0	Under
2012	09/22	Western Kentucky	42	Southern Miss	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Western Kentucky	5	3	0 Overs
Southern Miss	0	1	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 2	1 - 3	1 - 3	0 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 3	3 - 1	0 - 0	3 - 1

(#) USM at (#) WKU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USM	WKU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#74	#106
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Southern Miss Injury Report

Western Kentucky Injury Report

Southern Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	USM Off	WKU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Southern Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	WKU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Southern Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	WKU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Western Kentucky on Offense


CategoryCat	WKU Off	USM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Western Kentucky Run Game


CategoryCat	WKU Off	USM Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Western Kentucky Pass Game


CategoryCat	WKU Off	USM Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
WKU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

USM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Houchens Industries-L. T. Smith Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 14
Western Kentucky -7.5 (76.0)
Western Kentucky won vs Southern Miss this year (45-28)

Previous Matchups
Western Kentucky beat Southern Miss last year (27-16)

USM's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

WKU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

WKU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD