North Carolina at Virginia - 2014 Matchup Preview
North Carolina logo North Carolina Tar Heels at Virginia Cavaliers(#16)Virginia logo
Saturday, October 25th 2014 (12:30 PM EDT)
Virginia -7.5 (0)  Open: 0.0
North Carolina 28 - Virginia: 27  (ACC)

 
Tar Heels (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 39 (35 - 44 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UNC is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: UNC: 28 - UVA: 37 (65)
UVA Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
UNC Travel: 150 miles
Cavaliers (5 - 7) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 24 (31 - 19 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
North Carolina's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 North Carolina vs Liberty-26.0
Sat 9/6 North Carolina vs San Diego State-13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 North Carolina at East Carolina-2.0
Sat 9/27 North Carolina at Clemson+10.0
Sat 10/4 North Carolina vs Virginia Tech+1.5
Sat 10/11 North Carolina at Notre Dame+16.0
Sat 10/18 North Carolina vs Georgia Tech-2.568.0W 48 - 43OY
Sat 10/25 North Carolina at Virginia+7.5
Sat 11/1 North Carolina at Miami+11.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 North Carolina vs Pittsburgh-1.5
Thu 11/20 North Carolina at Duke+6.0
Sat 11/29 North Carolina vs NC State-6.0
Fri 12/26 North Carolina vs Rutgers-3.572.0L 21 - 40UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Virginia's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Virginia vs UCLA+18.050.5L 20 - 28UY
Sat 9/6 Virginia vs Richmond-18.5
Sat 9/13 Virginia vs Louisville+10.0
Sat 9/20 Virginia at BYU+13.5
Sat 9/27 Virginia vs Kent State-21.0
Sat 10/4 Virginia vs Pittsburgh-4.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Virginia at Duke+5.0
Sat 10/25 Virginia vs North Carolina-7.5
Sat 11/1 Virginia at Georgia Tech+2.5
Sat 11/8 Virginia at Florida State+21.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Virginia vs Miami+7.0
Fri 11/28 Virginia at Virginia Tech-2.038.5L 20 - 24ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC.1846%33.249%3.1415243%2783.91.2749%3951%45%4.2763.21.81.8
UVA.0540%25.838%2.5613838%2363.06.0839%24.138%39%2.7857.822.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC#65 (.2)42% (80)47% (34)3.32 (22)17537% (114)2164.08 (52)#70 (.17)41% (53)44% (82)37% (26)4.01 (90)59.81.21.2
UVA#102 (.13)40% (103)43% (77)3.29 (25)13337% (113)2293.47 (106)#116 (.27)43% (80)44% (77)42% (77)4.04 (94)45.31.61.3



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Offense1333.235.346%3.911.824430152278447%52%49%43%2%.18
UVA Defense1224.119.339.3%2.782.4 - - - - - 47%51%38%39%2%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Defense13394449.2%4.271.8 - - - - - 56%43%51%45%2%.27
UVA Offense1225.830.639.5%3.062203741382363.747%50%38%38%2%.05

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Carolina1326:0823.942%48%7.563.21.81.800331.5
Virginia1232:0620.142%47%6.557.822.400333.8
Run Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Offense1347%49%38.2151.8426.193.1470%0%0.89
UVA Defense1247%38% - - - - -.052.4169%0%0.79
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Defense1356%51% - - - - .193.2380%0%0.93
UVA Offense1247%38%37.6137.83.713-.042.5669%0%0.76

Pass Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Offense1352%43%24.239.22787.111.52913.21.529%36%.42%1.8
UVA Defense1251%39% - - - - - - 15.211.735%30%.192%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Defense1343%45% - - - - - - 12.391.831%41%.562%2
UVA Offense1250%38%20.736236.46.611.41816.181.734%33%.212%1.8

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Carolina's 2014 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina:    Virginia: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina:    Virginia:




Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Virginia's 2014 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 33.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 35.3
Defense: 39 PPG
Defense on Road: 44

North Carolina's 2014 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia 37
North Carolina 28

Total Points: 65

Based on Last 4 Games
Virginia 39
North Carolina 29

Total Points: 68

Based on Entire Season
Virginia 35
North Carolina 28

Total Points: 63
Virginia Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.6
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.3

Virginia's 2014 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 11
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25North Carolina16Virginia17Virginia -12.5North Carolina51.5Under
202410/26Virginia14North Carolina41Virginia -3.5North Carolina58.5Under
202310/21North Carolina27Virginia31North Carolina -24Virginia58.0Push
202211/05Virginia28North Carolina31North Carolina -7Virginia61.5Under
202109/18North Carolina59Virginia39North Carolina -7.5North Carolina67.0Over
202010/31Virginia44North Carolina41North Carolina -7.0Virginia0
201911/02North Carolina31Virginia38Virginia -1Virginia48.0Over
201810/27Virginia31North Carolina21Virginia -7.5Virginia51.0Over
201710/14North Carolina14Virginia20Virginia -3Virginia54.5Under
201610/22Virginia14North Carolina35North Carolina -9North Carolina68.5Under
201510/24North Carolina26Virginia13North Carolina -12North Carolina58.0Under
201410/25Virginia27North Carolina28Virginia -7.5North Carolina0
201311/09North Carolina45Virginia14North Carolina -14North Carolina0
201211/15Virginia13North Carolina37
201109/17North Carolina28Virginia17
201010/16Virginia10North Carolina44
200910/03North Carolina3Virginia16
200810/18Virginia16North Carolina13
200709/15North Carolina20Virginia22
200610/19Virginia23North Carolina0
200510/22North Carolina7Virginia5
200409/11Virginia56North Carolina24
200310/04North Carolina13Virginia38
200210/19Virginia37North Carolina27
200110/13North Carolina30Virginia24
200010/27Virginia17North Carolina6
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia1463 Overs
North Carolina1276 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 137 - 64 - 33 - 3
Road Teams13 - 136 - 73 - 33 - 4

(#) UNC at (#) UVA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNCUVA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
North Carolina on Offense
CategoryCat
UNC OffUVA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffUVA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
North Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffUVA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Virginia on Offense
CategoryCatUVA OffUNC Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Virginia Run Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffUNC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Virginia Pass Game
CategoryCatUVA OffUNC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UVA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 66° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 9
Virginia -7.5 (0)
North Carolina won at Virginia this year (28-27)

Previous Matchups
North Carolina beat Virginia last year (41-14)
Virginia beat North Carolina in 2023 (31-27)
North Carolina beat Virginia in 2022 (31-28)

  
UNC's OC ()
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UNC's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UVA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UVA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD