North Carolina at Notre Dame - 2014 Matchup Preview
North Carolina logo North Carolina Tar Heels at Notre Dame Fighting Irish(#16)Notre Dame logo
Saturday, October 11th 2014 (3:30 PM EDT)
Notre Dame -16 (0)  Open: 0.0
Notre Dame 50 - North Carolina: 43

 
Tar Heels (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 39 (35 - 44 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ND 2nd straight Home Game
UNC is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: UNC: 26 - ND: 39 (65)
ND Win prob: 88% | Cover: 54%
UNC Travel: 556 miles
Fighting Irish (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 29 (36 - 25 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
North Carolina's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 North Carolina vs Liberty-26.0
Sat 9/6 North Carolina vs San Diego State-13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 North Carolina at East Carolina-2.0
Sat 9/27 North Carolina at Clemson+10.0
Sat 10/4 North Carolina vs Virginia Tech+1.5
Sat 10/11 North Carolina at Notre Dame+16.0
Sat 10/18 North Carolina vs Georgia Tech-2.568.0W 48 - 43OY
Sat 10/25 North Carolina at Virginia+7.5
Sat 11/1 North Carolina at Miami+11.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 North Carolina vs Pittsburgh-1.5
Thu 11/20 North Carolina at Duke+6.0
Sat 11/29 North Carolina vs NC State-6.0
Fri 12/26 North Carolina vs Rutgers-3.572.0L 21 - 40UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Notre Dame's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Notre Dame vs Rice-20.552.5W 48 - 17OY
Sat 9/6 Notre Dame vs Michigan-6.0
Sat 9/13 Notre Dame vs Purdue-29.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Notre Dame vs Syracuse-13.0
Sat 10/4 Notre Dame vs Stanford+2.546.0W 17 - 14UY
Sat 10/11 Notre Dame vs North Carolina-16.0
Sat 10/18 Notre Dame at Florida State+13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Notre Dame vs Navy-13.5
Sat 11/8 Notre Dame at Arizona State+1.0
Sat 11/15 Notre Dame vs Northwestern-16.5
Sat 11/22 Notre Dame vs Louisville-9.0
Sat 11/29 Notre Dame at USC+7.0
Tue 12/30 Notre Dame vs LSU+8.550.5W 31 - 28OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC.1846%33.249%3.1415243%2783.91.2749%3951%45%4.2763.21.81.8
ND.1746%32.845%2.9515946%2853.76.1845%29.244%44%3.4437.521.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC#65 (.2)42% (80)47% (34)3.32 (22)17537% (114)2164.08 (52)#70 (.17)41% (53)44% (82)37% (26)4.01 (90)59.81.21.2
ND#8 (.32)47% (22)47% (26)3.31 (24)18147% (21)1604.8 (5)#1 (-.02)36% (8)43% (73)29% (1)2.75 (4)42.40.81.8



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Offense1333.235.346%3.911.824430152278447%52%49%43%2%.18
ND Defense1329.224.744.7%3.441.8 - - - - - 53%46%44%44%2%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Defense13394449.2%4.271.8 - - - - - 56%43%51%45%2%.27
ND Offense1332.835.745.8%3.762244451592854.347%51%45%46%2%.17

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Carolina1326:0823.942%48%7.563.21.81.800331.5
Notre Dame1329:4723.847%50%4.537.521.800032.4
Run Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Offense1347%49%38.2151.8426.193.1470%0%0.89
ND Defense1353%44% - - - - .122.8167%0%0.98
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Defense1356%51% - - - - .193.2380%0%0.93
ND Offense1347%45%37.2159.54.324.062.9574%0%0.86

Pass Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Offense1352%43%24.239.22787.111.52913.21.529%36%.42%1.8
ND Defense1346%44% - - - - - - 16.261.531%36%.352%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Defense1343%45% - - - - - - 12.391.831%41%.562%2
ND Offense1351%46%21.335.6285.5813.43014.281.732%39%.42%1.9

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Carolina's 2014 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina:    Notre Dame: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina:    Notre Dame:




Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: NR
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Notre Dame's 2014 Expected Record: -
Notre Dame's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 33.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 35.3
Defense: 39 PPG
Defense on Road: 44

North Carolina's 2014 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 39
North Carolina 26

Total Points: 65

Based on Last 4 Games
Notre Dame 39
North Carolina 22

Total Points: 61

Based on Entire Season
Notre Dame 38
North Carolina 31

Total Points: 69
Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 32.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.7
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.7

Notre Dame's 2014 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 11
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202209/24North Carolina32Notre Dame45North Carolina -2.5Notre Dame55.0Over
202110/30Notre Dame44North Carolina34Notre Dame -3.5Notre Dame63.0Over
202011/27North Carolina17Notre Dame31Notre Dame -4.5Notre Dame69.5Under
201710/07North Carolina10Notre Dame33Notre Dame -13Notre Dame63.5Under
201410/11Notre Dame50North Carolina43Notre Dame -16North Carolina0
200810/11North Carolina29Notre Dame24
200611/04Notre Dame45North Carolina26
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Notre Dame642 Overs
North Carolina112 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 31 - 41 - 20 - 2
Road Teams3 - 44 - 12 - 02 - 1

(#) UNC at (#) ND
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNCND
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
North Carolina on Offense
CategoryCat
UNC OffND Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffND Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
North Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffND Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Notre Dame on Offense
CategoryCatND OffUNC Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Notre Dame Run Game
CategoryCat
ND OffUNC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Notre Dame Pass Game
CategoryCatND OffUNC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ND 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Notre Dame Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 60° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 7
Notre Dame -16.0 (0)
Notre Dame won vs North Carolina this year (50-43)

Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat North Carolina in 2022 (45-32)

  
UNC's OC ()
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UNC's DC ()
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ND's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ND's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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