San Diego State at North Carolina - 2014 Matchup Preview
San Diego State logo San Diego State Aztecs at North Carolina Tar HeelsNorth Carolina logo
Saturday, September 6th 2014 (8:00 PM EDT)
North Carolina -13.5 (0)  Open: 0.0
North Carolina 31 - San Diego State: 27

 
Aztecs (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 20 (19 - 28 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UNC 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: SDSU: 27 - UNC: 36 (63)
UNC Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
SDSU Travel: 2169 miles, 3 hrs behind
Tar Heels (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 39 (33 - 34 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
San Diego State's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 San Diego State vs Northern Arizona-17.5
Sat 9/6 San Diego State at North Carolina+13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 San Diego State at Oregon State+8.5
Sat 9/27 San Diego State vs UNLV-17.0
Fri 10/3 San Diego State at Fresno State-2.0
Fri 10/10 San Diego State at New Mexico-6.0
Sat 10/18 San Diego State vs Hawai'i-10.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 San Diego State at Nevada+6.0
Sat 11/8 San Diego State vs Idaho-21.0
Sat 11/15 San Diego State at Boise State+15.0
Fri 11/21 San Diego State vs Air Force-2.0
Sat 11/29 San Diego State vs San José State-13.5
Tue 12/23 San Diego State vs Navy-3.551.0L 16 - 17UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for San Diego State's Schedule
North Carolina's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 North Carolina vs Liberty-26.0
Sat 9/6 North Carolina vs San Diego State-13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 North Carolina at East Carolina-2.0
Sat 9/27 North Carolina at Clemson+10.0
Sat 10/4 North Carolina vs Virginia Tech+1.5
Sat 10/11 North Carolina at Notre Dame+16.0
Sat 10/18 North Carolina vs Georgia Tech-2.568.0W 48 - 43OY
Sat 10/25 North Carolina at Virginia+7.5
Sat 11/1 North Carolina at Miami+11.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 North Carolina vs Pittsburgh-1.5
Thu 11/20 North Carolina at Duke+6.0
Sat 11/29 North Carolina vs NC State-6.0
Fri 12/26 North Carolina vs Rutgers-3.572.0L 21 - 40UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SDSU.1244%2546%3.4221638%1783.07.140%19.842%36%2.8953.41.72
UNC.1846%33.249%3.1415243%2783.91.2749%3951%45%4.2763.21.81.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SDSU#108 (.12)37% (120)37% (124)3 (78)12938% (109)2063.44 (107)#103 (.23)46% (113)49% (117)43% (98)4.28 (111)81.80.81
UNC#65 (.2)42% (80)47% (34)3.32 (22)17537% (114)2164.08 (52)#70 (.17)41% (53)44% (82)37% (26)4.01 (90)59.81.21.2



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SDSU Offense13251944.1%3.071.7193942161785.455%43%46%38%3%.12
UNC Defense133933.849.2%4.271.8 - - - - - 56%43%51%45%2%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SDSU Defense1319.827.540%2.892 - - - - - 57%42%42%36%2%.1
UNC Offense1333.233.246%3.911.824430152278447%52%49%43%2%.18

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
San Diego State1331:1419.442%42%5.953.41.7200232.3
North Carolina1326:0823.942%48%7.563.21.81.800331.5
Run Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SDSU Offense1355%46%39.8216.15.426.193.4279%0%0.91
UNC Defense1356%51% - - - - .193.2380%0%0.93
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SDSU Defense1357%42% - - - - .12.9574%0%0.93
UNC Offense1347%49%38.2151.8426.193.1470%0%0.89

Pass Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SDSU Offense1343%38%14.126.8178.46.612.71015.051.530%33%.233%1.8
UNC Defense1343%45% - - - - - - 12.391.831%41%.562%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SDSU Defense1342%36% - - - - - - 14.121.632%32%.342%2
UNC Offense1352%43%24.239.22787.111.52913.21.529%36%.42%1.8

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: NR
San Diego State's Offense Rating: NR
San Diego State's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
San Diego State's 2014 Expected Record: -
San Diego State's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
San Diego State:    North Carolina: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San Diego State:    North Carolina:




North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Carolina's 2014 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 25 PPG
Offense on Road: 19
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.5

San Diego State's 2014 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
North Carolina 36
San Diego State 27

Total Points: 63

Based on Last 4 Games
North Carolina 42
San Diego State 25

Total Points: 67

Based on Entire Season
San Diego State 29
North Carolina 29

Total Points: 58
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 33.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.2
Defense: 39 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.8

North Carolina's 2014 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201409/06North Carolina31San Diego State27North Carolina -13.5San Diego State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Carolina100 Overs
San Diego State010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) SDSU at (#) UNC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSDSUUNC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
San Diego State on Offense
CategoryCat
SDSU OffUNC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
San Diego State Run Game
CategoryCat
SDSU OffUNC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
San Diego State Pass Game
CategoryCat
SDSU OffUNC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
North Carolina on Offense
CategoryCatUNC OffSDSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffSDSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
North Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCatUNC OffSDSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

SDSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 81°
Rematch from Week 2
North Carolina -13.5 (0)
North Carolina won vs San Diego State this year (31-27)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
SDSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View San Diego State's Full Roster

SDSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UNC's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View North Carolina's Full Roster

UNC's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD