Virginia at Duke - 2014 Matchup Preview
Virginia logo (#18)Virginia Cavaliers at Duke Blue DevilsDuke logo
Saturday, October 18th 2014 (12:30 PM EDT)
Duke -5 (0)  Open: 0.0
Duke 20 - Virginia: 13  (ACC)

 
Cavaliers (5 - 7) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 24 (19 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UVA coming off BYE
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: UVA: 22 - DUKE: 33 (55)
DUKE Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
UVA Travel: 143 miles
Blue Devils (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 22 (34 - 18 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Virginia's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Virginia vs UCLA+18.050.5L 20 - 28UY
Sat 9/6 Virginia vs Richmond-18.5
Sat 9/13 Virginia vs Louisville+10.0
Sat 9/20 Virginia at BYU+13.5
Sat 9/27 Virginia vs Kent State-21.0
Sat 10/4 Virginia vs Pittsburgh-4.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Virginia at Duke+5.0
Sat 10/25 Virginia vs North Carolina-7.5
Sat 11/1 Virginia at Georgia Tech+2.5
Sat 11/8 Virginia at Florida State+21.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Virginia vs Miami+7.0
Fri 11/28 Virginia at Virginia Tech-2.038.5L 20 - 24ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Duke's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Duke vs Elon-38.0
Sat 9/6 Duke at Troy-18.0
Sat 9/13 Duke vs Kansas-20.5
Sat 9/20 Duke vs Tulane-17.5
Sat 9/27 Duke at Miami+5.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Duke at Georgia Tech+6.0
Sat 10/18 Duke vs Virginia-5.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Duke at Pittsburgh+2.5
Sat 11/8 Duke at Syracuse-4.0
Sat 11/15 Duke vs Virginia Tech-7.0
Thu 11/20 Duke vs North Carolina-6.0
Sat 11/29 Duke vs Wake Forest-18.0
Sat 12/27 Duke vs Arizona State+7.565.0L 31 - 36OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA.0540%25.838%2.5613838%2363.06.0839%24.138%39%2.7857.822.4
DUKE.1244%32.449%3.2118237%2163.35.1145%21.849%39%3.1238.71.21.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA#102 (.13)40% (103)43% (77)3.29 (25)13337% (113)2293.47 (106)#116 (.27)43% (80)44% (77)42% (77)4.04 (94)45.31.61.3
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)35% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)41% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Offense1225.819.239.5%3.062203741382363.747%50%38%38%2%.05
DUKE Defense1321.817.945.3%3.121.6 - - - - - 53%45%49%39%3%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Defense1224.130.839.3%2.782.4 - - - - - 47%51%38%39%2%.08
DUKE Offense1332.433.944.1%3.351.2223981822164.849%49%49%37%2%.12

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Virginia1232:0620.142%47%6.557.822.400333.8
Duke1328:582242%55%4.938.71.21.600534.1
Run Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Offense1247%38%37.6137.83.713-.042.5669%0%0.76
DUKE Defense1353%49% - - - - .133.2671%0%0.8
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Defense1247%38% - - - - -.052.4169%0%0.79
DUKE Offense1349%49%37.8181.84.824.113.2176%0%0.83

Pass Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Offense1250%38%20.736236.46.611.41816.181.734%33%.212%1.8
DUKE Defense1345%39% - - - - - - 11.121.430%32%.233%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Defense1251%39% - - - - - - 15.211.735%30%.192%1.8
DUKE Offense1349%37%20.636.2216.5610.5238.151.532%35%.212%1.6

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Virginia's 2014 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia:    Duke: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia:    Duke:




Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Duke's 2014 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Virginia Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.2
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.8

Virginia's 2014 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 11
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Duke 33
Virginia 22

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Duke 35
Virginia 22

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
Duke 30
Virginia 21

Total Points: 51
Duke Scoring
Offense: 32.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.9
Defense: 21.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.9

Duke's 2014 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202512/06Virginia20Duke27Virginia -3.5Duke58.5Under
202511/15Duke17Virginia34Duke -5.5Virginia59.5Under
202311/18Virginia30Duke27Duke -4Virginia48.5Over
202210/01Duke38Virginia17Duke -2Duke55.0Push
202110/16Virginia48Duke0Virginia -10.5Virginia69.5Under
202009/26Virginia38Duke20Virginia -3.5Virginia44.5Over
201910/19Virginia48Duke14Virginia -3.5Virginia45.0Over
201810/20Duke14Virginia28Duke -6.5Virginia45.5Under
201710/07Virginia28Duke21Duke -1.5Virginia53.0Under
201610/01Duke20Virginia34Duke -5Virginia60.5Under
201511/21Virginia42Duke34Virginia -2.5Virginia53.5Over
201410/18Duke20Virginia13Duke -5Duke0
201310/19Virginia22Duke35Virginia -4Duke0
201210/06Duke42Virginia17
201111/12Virginia31Duke21
201011/06Duke55Virginia48
200910/31Virginia17Duke28
200809/27Duke31Virginia3
200709/08Virginia24Duke13
200609/30Duke0Virginia37
200509/24Virginia38Duke7
200410/23Duke16Virginia37
200308/30Virginia27Duke0
200210/05Duke22Virginia27
200109/29Virginia31Duke10
200009/15Duke10Virginia26
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Duke844 Overs
Virginia1896 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 108 - 56 - 52 - 0
Road Teams10 - 165 - 80 - 25 - 6

(#) UVA at (#) DUKE
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUVADUKE
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Virginia on Offense
CategoryCat
UVA OffDUKE Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Virginia Run Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffDUKE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Virginia Pass Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Duke on Offense
CategoryCatDUKE OffUVA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Duke Run Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffUVA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Duke Pass Game
CategoryCatDUKE OffUVA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UVA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 73° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 8
Duke -5.0 (0)
Duke won vs Virginia this year (20-13)

Previous Matchups
Virginia beat Duke in 2023 (30-27)
Duke beat Virginia in 2022 (38-17)

  
UVA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Virginia's Full Roster

UVA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

DUKE's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD