Buffalo at Baylor - 2013 Matchup Preview
Buffalo logo   Buffalo Bulls at Baylor Bears  Baylor logo
Saturday, September 7th 2013 (3:30 PM EDT)
Baylor -21.5 (0)  Open: 0.0
Baylor 70 - Buffalo: 13

 
Bulls (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (23 - 23 on Road)
'13 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BUFF 2nd straight Road Game
BAY 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)

Projected Score: BUFF: 27 - BAY: 27 (54)
BAY Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
BUFF Travel: 1279 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Bears (11 - 2) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 33 (30 - 28 @ Home)
'13 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Buffalo's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Buffalo at Ohio State+33.5
Sat 9/7 Buffalo at Baylor+21.5
Sat 9/14 Buffalo vs Stony Brook-6.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Buffalo vs UConn+2.5
Sat 10/5 Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan-13.0
Sat 10/12 Buffalo at Western Michigan-11.0
Sat 10/19 Buffalo vs Massachusetts-20.5
Sat 10/26 Buffalo at Kent State-2.0
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/5 Buffalo vs Ohio-2.5
Tue 11/12 Buffalo at Toledo+3.5
Tue 11/19 Buffalo at Miami (OH)-24.0
Fri 11/29 Buffalo vs Bowling Green+3.552.0L 7 - 24UN
Sat 12/21 Buffalo vs San Diego State-1.049.5L 24 - 49ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Baylor's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Baylor vs Wofford-28.0
Sat 9/7 Baylor vs Buffalo-21.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Baylor vs UL Monroe-30.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Baylor vs West Virginia-30.0
Sat 10/12 Baylor at Kansas State-10.5
Sat 10/19 Baylor vs Iowa State-33.0
Sat 10/26 Baylor at Kansas-35.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/7 Baylor vs Oklahoma-7.0
Sat 11/16 Baylor vs Texas Tech-27.0
Sat 11/23 Baylor at Oklahoma State-13.0
Sat 11/30 Baylor at TCU-14.0
Sat 12/7 Baylor vs Texas-13.0
Wed 1/1 Baylor vs UCF-17.074.0L 42 - 52ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule
Important Stats (2012)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF36%2438%3.0717731%199-0.11.0138%23.536%40%0.0861.81.81.3
BAY.1648%31.147%3.2623246%341-0.06.0945%32.643%46%-0.1357.91.81.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BAY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Offense122423.236.3%-0.111.8203761771994.454%45%38%31%5%
BAY Defense1332.627.945.4%-0.131.9 - - - - - 46%53%43%46%2%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Defense1223.522.638.4%0.081.3 - - - - - 56%42%36%40%1%.01
BAY Offense1331.129.647.6%-0.061.8285722323415.152%47%47%46%2%.16

Additional Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Buffalo1228:5820.234%43%6.161.81.81.300226.9
Baylor1327:3428.246%70%6.657.91.81.900330.6
Run Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense1254%38%40.5176.64.413.093.0775%0%0.92
BAY Defense1346%43% - - - - 2.9176%0%0.73
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense1256%36% - - - - -.082.7565%0%0.69
BAY Offense1352%47%45.9231.75.138.083.2670%0%0.74

Pass Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense1245%31%16.331.7199.36.312.21710-.11.336%26%.085%1.4
BAY Defense1353%46% - - - - - - 18.171.131%36%.222%1.4
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense1242%40% - - - - - - 13.161.531%28%.191%2
BAY Offense1347%46%22.636.5340.59.315.13413.251.327%40%.452%1.6

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Buffalo's 2013 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo:    Baylor: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo:    Baylor:




Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Baylor's Offense Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Baylor's 2013 Expected Record: -
Baylor's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.6

Buffalo's 2013 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Buffalo 27
Baylor 27


Projected Total Points: 54
Baylor Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.6
Defense: 32.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9

Baylor's 2013 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201409/12Buffalo21Baylor63Baylor -27Baylor0
201309/07Baylor70Buffalo13Baylor -21.5Baylor0
201009/11Baylor34Buffalo6
200709/22Buffalo21Baylor34
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Baylor420 Overs
Buffalo000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 21 - 11 - 00 - 1
Road Teams2 - 21 - 11 - 00 - 1

(#) BUFF at (#) BAY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBUFFBAY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Buffalo on Offense
CategoryCat
BUFF OffBAY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Buffalo Run Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffBAY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Buffalo Pass Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffBAY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Baylor on Offense
CategoryCatBAY OffBUFF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Baylor Run Game
CategoryCat
BAY OffBUFF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Baylor Pass Game
CategoryCatBAY OffBUFF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BAY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

BUFF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Floyd Casey Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
Baylor -21.5 (0)
Baylor won vs Buffalo this year (70-13)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
BUFF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BUFF's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

BAY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BAY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD