Illinois at Penn State - 2013 Matchup Preview
Illinois logo Illinois Fighting Illini at Penn State Nittany LionsPenn State logo
Saturday, November 2nd 2013 (12:00 PM EDT)
Penn State -10 (0)  Open: 0.0
Penn State 24 - Illinois: 17  (Big Ten)

 
Fighting Illini (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 35 (23 - 33 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: ILL: 25 - PSU: 35 (60)
PSU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
ILL Travel: 548 miles, 1 hrs behind
Nittany Lions (7 - 5) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (35 - 20 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Illinois's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Illinois vs Southern Illinois-24.0
Sat 9/7 Illinois vs Cincinnati+10.5
Sat 9/14 Illinois vs Washington+7.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Illinois vs Miami (OH)-24.0
Sat 10/5 Illinois at Nebraska+10.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Illinois vs Wisconsin+10.0
Sat 10/26 Illinois vs Michigan State+13.0
Sat 11/2 Illinois at Penn State+10.0
Sat 11/9 Illinois at Indiana+7.5
Sat 11/16 Illinois vs Ohio State+32.0
Sat 11/23 Illinois at Purdue-6.5
Sat 11/30 Illinois vs Northwestern+4.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule
Penn State's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Penn State vs Syracuse+5.0
Sat 9/7 Penn State vs Eastern Michigan-24.0
Sat 9/14 Penn State vs UCF-3.5
Sat 9/21 Penn State vs Kent State-14.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Penn State at Indiana-4.0
Sat 10/12 Penn State vs Michigan+1.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Penn State at Ohio State+14.0
Sat 11/2 Penn State vs Illinois-10.0
Sat 11/9 Penn State at Minnesota+2.547.5L 10 - 24UN
Sat 11/16 Penn State vs Purdue-20.5
Sat 11/23 Penn State vs Nebraska-2.5
Sat 11/30 Penn State at Wisconsin+23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
Important Stats (2013)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILL.1146%29.744%2.9213947%288-0.18.1447%35.445%47%-0.0846.91.80.9
PSU.0944%28.745%3.0817441%259-0.08.0540%26.233%43%033.61.81.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILL#31 (.25)45% (45)45% (51)3.14 (49)14044% (44)1984.23 (39)#76 (.18)46% (115)50% (127)43% (90)3.48 (37)390.91.5
PSU#11 (.32)51% (4)52% (9)3.42 (10)17651% (4)2094.69 (9)#9 (.05)38% (21)39% (27)37% (25)3.22 (18)41.40.81.3



Overall Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILL Offense1229.722.846.2%-0.181.8244271392884.143%55%44%47%2%.11
PSU Defense1226.220.339.5%01.7 - - - - - 48%50%33%43%2%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILL Defense1235.432.846.7%-0.080.9 - - - - - 55%43%45%47%2%.14
PSU Offense1228.734.644.4%-0.081.8234331742594.252%46%45%41%2%.09

Additional Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Illinois1229:062448%33%5.846.91.80.900226.3
Penn State1229:5222.534%54%4.633.61.81.700028.5
Run Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILL Offense1243%44%34.31394.120.052.9269%0%0.75
PSU Defense1248%33% - - - - -.092.3958%0%0.85
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILL Defense1255%45% - - - - .043.1363%0%0.73
PSU Offense1252%45%41.81744.2223.0867%0%0.6

Pass Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILL Offense1255%47%25.237.9287.77.611.42314.181.129%39%.42%1.6
PSU Defense1250%43% - - - - - - 13.21.336%32%.242%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILL Defense1243%47% - - - - - - 3.291.327%34%.252%1.5
PSU Offense1246%41%20.134.1259.27.612.92110.211.329%30%.22%1.5

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: NR
Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Illinois's 2013 Expected Record: -
Illinois's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Illinois:    Penn State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Illinois:    Penn State:




Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Penn State's 2013 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Illinois Scoring
Offense: 29.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.8
Defense: 35.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Illinois's 2013 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 35
Illinois 25

Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
Penn State 36
Illinois 25

Total Points: 61

Based on Entire Season
Penn State 33
Illinois 25

Total Points: 58
Penn State Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.6
Defense: 26.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.3

Penn State's 2013 Record
Record: 7 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28Penn State21Illinois7Penn State -19.5Illinois48.0Under
202309/16Illinois13Penn State30Penn State -14Penn State47.5Under
202110/23Penn State18Illinois20Penn State -24.5Illinois46.0Under
202012/19Penn State56Illinois21Penn State -16Penn State53.5Over
201809/21Illinois24Penn State63Penn State -26.5Penn State61.0Over
201510/31Penn State39Illinois0Penn State -4Penn State44.5Under
201411/22Illinois16Penn State14Penn State -4.5Illinois0
201311/02Penn State24Illinois17Penn State -10Illinois0
201209/29Illinois7Penn State35
201110/29Penn State10Illinois7
201010/09Penn State13Illinois33
200910/03Illinois17Penn State35
200809/27Penn State38Illinois24
200709/29Illinois27Penn State20
200610/21Penn State26Illinois12
200510/22Illinois10Penn State63
200211/02Penn State18Illinois7
200111/10Illinois33Penn State28
200010/20Penn State39Illinois25
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Penn State1442 Overs
Illinois544 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 73 - 52 - 31 - 2
Road Teams7 - 125 - 32 - 13 - 2

(#) ILL at (#) PSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatILLPSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Illinois on Offense
CategoryCat
ILL OffPSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Illinois Run Game
CategoryCat
ILL OffPSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Illinois Pass Game
CategoryCat
ILL OffPSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Penn State on Offense
CategoryCatPSU OffILL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Penn State Run Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffILL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Penn State Pass Game
CategoryCatPSU OffILL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

ILL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 54° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 10
Penn State -10.0 (0)
Penn State won vs Illinois this year (24-17)

Previous Matchups
Penn State beat Illinois last year (21-7)
Penn State beat Illinois in 2023 (30-13)

  
ILL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ILL's DC ()
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

PSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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PSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD