Cincinnati at Illinois - 2013 Matchup Preview
Cincinnati logo Cincinnati Bearcats at Illinois Fighting Illini(#11)Illinois logo
Saturday, September 7th 2013 (12:00 PM EDT)
Cincinnati -10.5 (0)  Open: 0.0
Illinois 45 - Cincinnati: 17

 
Bearcats (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (27 - 21 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ILL 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: CIN: 31 - ILL: 22 (53)
CIN Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
CIN Travel: 209 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Fighting Illini (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 35 (33 - 37 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Cincinnati's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Cincinnati vs Purdue-14.0
Sat 9/7 Cincinnati at Illinois-10.5
Sat 9/14 Cincinnati vs Northwestern State-31.0
Sat 9/21 Cincinnati at Miami (OH)-24.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Cincinnati at South Florida-13.5
Fri 10/11 Cincinnati vs Temple-20.0
Sat 10/19 Cincinnati vs UConn-14.5
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/30 Cincinnati at Memphis-3.0
Sat 11/9 Cincinnati vs SMU-10.5
Sat 11/16 Cincinnati at Rutgers-2.5
Sat 11/23 Cincinnati at Houston+2.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 12/5 Cincinnati vs Louisville+6.5
Sat 12/28 Cincinnati vs North Carolina+2.560.0L 17 - 39UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
Illinois's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Illinois vs Southern Illinois-24.0
Sat 9/7 Illinois vs Cincinnati+10.5
Sat 9/14 Illinois vs Washington+7.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Illinois vs Miami (OH)-24.0
Sat 10/5 Illinois at Nebraska+10.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Illinois vs Wisconsin+10.0
Sat 10/26 Illinois vs Michigan State+13.0
Sat 11/2 Illinois at Penn State+10.0
Sat 11/9 Illinois at Indiana+7.5
Sat 11/16 Illinois vs Ohio State+32.0
Sat 11/23 Illinois at Purdue-6.5
Sat 11/30 Illinois vs Northwestern+4.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule
Important Stats (2013)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN.1146%32.144%2.816846%304-0.14.0739%2137%40%-0.3257.82.21.6
ILL.1146%29.744%2.9213947%288-0.18.1447%35.445%47%-0.0846.91.80.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN#59 (.21)45% (43)44% (67)3.03 (69)18545% (32)2373.33 (118)#75 (.18)42% (76)46% (94)39% (43)3.51 (40)44.41.51.2
ILL#31 (.25)45% (45)45% (51)3.14 (49)14044% (44)1984.23 (39)#76 (.18)46% (115)50% (127)43% (90)3.48 (37)390.91.5



Overall Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Offense1332.126.845.6%-0.142.2244721683044.250%49%44%46%2%.11
ILL Defense1235.436.846.7%-0.080.9 - - - - - 55%43%45%47%2%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Defense13212139.3%-0.321.6 - - - - - 48%50%37%40%3%.07
ILL Offense1229.733.146.2%-0.181.8244271392884.143%55%44%47%2%.11

Additional Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Cincinnati1331:5924.248%47%6.257.82.21.600130.7
Illinois1229:062448%33%5.846.91.80.900226.3
Run Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Offense1350%44%39.7168.54.228-.042.869%0%0.64
ILL Defense1255%45% - - - - .043.1363%0%0.73
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Defense1348%37% - - - - -.042.5565%0%0.71
ILL Offense1243%44%34.31394.120.052.9269%0%0.75

Pass Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Offense1349%46%23.936.1303.68.412.72817.271.330%35%.382%1.8
ILL Defense1243%47% - - - - - - 3.291.327%34%.252%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Defense1350%40% - - - - - - 13.181.234%29%.233%1.4
ILL Offense1255%47%25.237.9287.77.611.42314.181.129%39%.42%1.6

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Cincinnati's 2013 Expected Record: -
Cincinnati's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati:    Illinois: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati:    Illinois:




Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Illinois's 2013 Expected Record: -
Illinois's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 32.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.8
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense on Road: 21

Cincinnati's 2013 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Cincinnati 31
Illinois 22

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Cincinnati 30
Illinois 19

Total Points: 48

Based on Entire Season
Cincinnati 33
Illinois 26

Total Points: 59
Illinois Scoring
Offense: 29.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.1
Defense: 35.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 36.8

Illinois's 2013 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 3 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201309/07Illinois45Cincinnati17Cincinnati -10.5Illinois0
200911/27Cincinnati49Illinois36
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Illinois110 Overs
Cincinnati100 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 10 - 10 - 0

(#) CIN at (#) ILL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCINILL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Cincinnati on Offense
CategoryCat
CIN OffILL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Cincinnati Run Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffILL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Cincinnati Pass Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffILL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Illinois on Offense
CategoryCatILL OffCIN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Illinois Run Game
CategoryCat
ILL OffCIN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Illinois Pass Game
CategoryCatILL OffCIN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ILL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

CIN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 81°
Rematch from Week 2
Cincinnati 10.5 (0)
Illinois won vs Cincinnati this year (45-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
CIN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ILL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Illinois's Full Roster

ILL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD