Northwestern at Illinois - 2013 Matchup Preview
Northwestern logo Northwestern Wildcats at Illinois Fighting IlliniIllinois logo
Saturday, November 30th 2013 (3:30 PM EST)
Northwestern -4 (0)  Open: 0.0
Northwestern 37 - Illinois: 34  (Big Ten)

 
Wildcats (5 - 7) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 27 (24 - 29 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 12.7 MPH
ILL is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: NW: 32 - ILL: 28 (60)
NW Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
NW Travel: 139 miles
Fighting Illini (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 35 (33 - 37 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Northwestern's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Northwestern at California-8.5
Sat 9/7 Northwestern vs Syracuse-12.0
Sat 9/14 Northwestern vs Western Michigan-34.0
Sat 9/21 Northwestern vs Maine-33.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Northwestern vs Ohio State+5.5
Sat 10/12 Northwestern at Wisconsin+10.0
Sat 10/19 Northwestern vs Minnesota-13.0
Sat 10/26 Northwestern at Iowa+3.0
Sat 11/2 Northwestern at Nebraska+7.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Northwestern vs Michigan-1.5
Sat 11/23 Northwestern vs Michigan State+7.0
Sat 11/30 Northwestern at Illinois-4.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule
Illinois's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Illinois vs Southern Illinois-24.0
Sat 9/7 Illinois vs Cincinnati+10.5
Sat 9/14 Illinois vs Washington+7.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Illinois vs Miami (OH)-24.0
Sat 10/5 Illinois at Nebraska+10.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Illinois vs Wisconsin+10.0
Sat 10/26 Illinois vs Michigan State+13.0
Sat 11/2 Illinois at Penn State+10.0
Sat 11/9 Illinois at Indiana+7.5
Sat 11/16 Illinois vs Ohio State+32.0
Sat 11/23 Illinois at Purdue-6.5
Sat 11/30 Illinois vs Northwestern+4.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule
Important Stats (2013)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NW.147%26.242%3.0217250%227-0.26.0946%27.144%45%-0.3434.81.71.9
ILL.1146%29.744%2.9213947%288-0.18.1447%35.445%47%-0.0846.91.80.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NW#129 (.02)37% (123)39% (113)2.63 (124)9936% (116)1863.02 (127)#57 (.15)45% (106)44% (80)46% (117)3.74 (64)38.81.51.3
ILL#31 (.25)45% (45)45% (51)3.14 (49)14044% (44)1984.23 (39)#76 (.18)46% (115)50% (127)43% (90)3.48 (37)390.91.5



Overall Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NW Offense1226.224.247.2%-0.261.7214001722274.155%42%42%50%2%.1
ILL Defense1235.436.846.7%-0.080.9 - - - - - 55%43%45%47%2%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NW Defense1227.128.645.6%-0.341.9 - - - - - 49%49%44%45%3%.09
ILL Offense1229.733.146.2%-0.181.8244271392884.143%55%44%47%2%.11

Additional Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Northwestern1229:1221.340%43%4.134.81.71.900428.2
Illinois1229:062448%33%5.846.91.80.900226.3
Run Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NW Offense1255%42%42.3172.44.116.013.0268%0%0.7
ILL Defense1255%45% - - - - .043.1363%0%0.73
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NW Defense1249%44% - - - - .043.176%0%0.68
ILL Offense1243%44%34.31394.120.052.9269%0%0.75

Pass Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NW Offense1242%50%20.131.8227.27.111.31513.271.128%34%.162%1.1
ILL Defense1243%47% - - - - - - 3.291.327%34%.252%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NW Defense1249%45% - - - - - - 19.141.129%34%.293%1.5
ILL Offense1255%47%25.237.9287.77.611.42314.181.129%39%.42%1.6

Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: NR
Northwestern's Offense Rating: NR
Northwestern's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Northwestern's 2013 Expected Record: -
Northwestern's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Northwestern:    Illinois: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northwestern:    Illinois:




Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Illinois's 2013 Expected Record: -
Illinois's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.2
Defense: 27.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.6

Northwestern's 2013 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Northwestern 32
Illinois 28

Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
Northwestern 32
Illinois 27

Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
Northwestern 31
Illinois 29

Total Points: 60
Illinois Scoring
Offense: 29.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.1
Defense: 35.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 36.8

Illinois's 2013 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 3 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Illinois20Northwestern13Illinois -7Push44.5Under
202411/30Northwestern28Illinois38Illinois -8.5Illinois42.5Over
202311/25Illinois43Northwestern45Illinois -5Northwestern46.5Over
202211/26Northwestern3Illinois41Illinois -15.0Illinois38.0Over
202111/27Illinois47Northwestern14Illinois -7Illinois45.0Over
202012/12Northwestern28Illinois10Northwestern -13Northwestern41.0Under
201911/30Illinois10Northwestern29Illinois -6.5Northwestern38.0Over
201811/24Northwestern24Illinois16Northwestern -14.5Illinois56.0Under
201711/25Illinois7Northwestern42Northwestern -16.5Northwestern46.0Over
201611/26Northwestern42Illinois21Northwestern -15Northwestern48.5Over
201511/28Illinois14Northwestern24Northwestern -3.5Northwestern42.0Under
201411/29Northwestern33Illinois47Northwestern -9Illinois0
201311/30Illinois34Northwestern37Northwestern -4Illinois0
201211/24Northwestern50Illinois14
201110/01Illinois38Northwestern35
201011/20Northwestern27Illinois48
200911/14Illinois16Northwestern21
200811/22Northwestern27Illinois10
200711/17Illinois41Northwestern22
200611/18Northwestern27Illinois16
200511/19Illinois21Northwestern38
200411/20Northwestern28Illinois21
200311/22Illinois20Northwestern37
200111/22Illinois34Northwestern28
200011/17Northwestern61Illinois23
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Illinois967 Overs
Northwestern1664 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 124 - 83 - 41 - 4
Road Teams12 - 138 - 44 - 14 - 3

(#) NW at (#) ILL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNWILL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Northwestern on Offense
CategoryCat
NW OffILL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Northwestern Run Game
CategoryCat
NW OffILL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Northwestern Pass Game
CategoryCat
NW OffILL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Illinois on Offense
CategoryCatILL OffNW Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Illinois Run Game
CategoryCat
ILL OffNW Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Illinois Pass Game
CategoryCatILL OffNW Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ILL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

NW 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 52° - Wind: 13 mph
Rematch from Week 14
Northwestern 4.0 (0)
Northwestern won at Illinois this year (37-34)

Previous Matchups
Illinois beat Northwestern last year (38-28)
Northwestern beat Illinois in 2023 (45-43)
Illinois beat Northwestern in 2022 (41-3)

  
NW's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Northwestern's Full Roster

NW's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ILL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Illinois's Full Roster

ILL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD