UCF at Penn State - 2013 Matchup Preview
UCF logo UCF Knights at Penn State Nittany Lions(#2)Penn State logo
Saturday, September 14th 2013 (6:00 PM EDT)
Penn State -3.5 (0)  Open: 0.0
UCF 34 - Penn State: 31

 
Knights (12 - 1) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (32 - 22 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UCF 2nd straight Road Game
PSU 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: UCF: 27 - PSU: 27 (54)
PSU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
UCF Travel: 864 miles
Nittany Lions (7 - 5) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (35 - 20 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UCF's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 UCF vs Akron-28.0
Fri 9/6 UCF at Florida International-22.0
Sat 9/14 UCF at Penn State+3.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 UCF vs South Carolina+7.5
Sat 10/5 UCF at Memphis-10.5
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/18 UCF at Louisville+17.5
Sat 10/26 UCF vs UConn-23.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 UCF vs Houston-10.0
Sat 11/16 UCF at Temple-17.0
Thu 11/21 UCF vs Rutgers-14.5
Fri 11/29 UCF vs South Florida-26.0
Sat 12/7 UCF at SMU-10.0
Wed 1/1 UCF vs Baylor+17.074.0W 52 - 42OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Penn State's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Penn State vs Syracuse+5.0
Sat 9/7 Penn State vs Eastern Michigan-24.0
Sat 9/14 Penn State vs UCF-3.5
Sat 9/21 Penn State vs Kent State-14.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Penn State at Indiana-4.0
Sat 10/12 Penn State vs Michigan+1.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Penn State at Ohio State+14.0
Sat 11/2 Penn State vs Illinois-10.0
Sat 11/9 Penn State at Minnesota+2.547.5L 10 - 24UN
Sat 11/16 Penn State vs Purdue-20.5
Sat 11/23 Penn State vs Nebraska-2.5
Sat 11/30 Penn State at Wisconsin+23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
Important Stats (2013)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF.1449%34.644%2.8216052%282-0.28.1140%21.339%40%041.61.62
PSU.0944%28.745%3.0817441%259-0.08.0540%26.233%43%033.61.81.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF#58 (.21)46% (28)52% (8)3.62 (2)24838% (103)2003.75 (86)#63 (.16)40% (45)37% (12)42% (84)4.37 (118)54.41.60.9
PSU#11 (.32)51% (4)52% (9)3.42 (10)17651% (4)2094.69 (9)#9 (.05)38% (21)39% (27)37% (25)3.22 (18)41.40.81.3



Overall Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Offense1334.631.748.9%-0.281.6224421602824.449%48%44%52%3%.14
PSU Defense1226.220.339.5%01.7 - - - - - 48%50%33%43%2%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Defense1321.32240.1%02 - - - - - 42%57%39%40%2%.11
PSU Offense1228.734.644.4%-0.081.8234331742594.252%46%45%41%2%.09

Additional Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UCF1332:0822.449%38%4.841.61.6200032.4
Penn State1229:5222.534%54%4.633.61.81.700028.5
Run Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Offense1349%44%36.2159.94.428.032.8270%0%0.72
PSU Defense1248%33% - - - - -.092.3958%0%0.85
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Defense1342%39% - - - - 2.6457%0%0.92
PSU Offense1252%45%41.81744.2223.0867%0%0.6

Pass Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Offense1348%52%20.731.1281.69.113.62611.291.128%43%.323%1.3
PSU Defense1250%43% - - - - - - 13.21.336%32%.242%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Defense1357%40% - - - - - - 14.191.436%33%.312%1.8
PSU Offense1246%41%20.134.1259.27.612.92110.211.329%30%.22%1.5

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UCF's 2013 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
UCF:    Penn State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCF:    Penn State:




Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Penn State's 2013 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


UCF Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.7
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

UCF's 2013 Record
Record: 12 - 1
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record on Road: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UCF 27
Penn State 27

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Penn State 27
UCF 26

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
UCF 28
Penn State 27

Total Points: 55
Penn State Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.6
Defense: 26.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.3

Penn State's 2013 Record
Record: 7 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201408/30UCF24Penn State26UCF -2Penn State44.0Over
201309/14Penn State31UCF34Penn State -3.5UCF0
200409/18Penn State37UCF13
200208/31Penn State27UCF24
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Penn State311 Overs
UCF110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 20 - 20 - 20 - 0
Road Teams2 - 22 - 00 - 02 - 0

(#) UCF at (#) PSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUCFPSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCat
UCF OffPSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffPSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffPSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Penn State on Offense
CategoryCatPSU OffUCF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Penn State Run Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Penn State Pass Game
CategoryCatPSU OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UCF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 64° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 3
Penn State -3.5 (0)
UCF won at Penn State this year (34-31)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UCF's OC ()
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UCF's DC ()
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PSU's OC ()
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PSU's DC ()
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