Middle Tennessee at North Carolina - 2013 Matchup Preview
Middle Tennessee logo Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at North Carolina Tar HeelsNorth Carolina logo
Saturday, September 7th 2013 (12:30 PM EDT)
North Carolina -21.5 (0)  Open: 0.0
North Carolina 40 - Middle Tennessee: 20

 
Blue Raiders (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (24 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: MTSU: 23 - UNC: 35 (58)
UNC Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
MTSU Travel: 410 miles, 1 hrs behind
Tar Heels (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 25 (40 - 25 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Middle Tennessee's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Middle Tennessee vs Western Carolina-12.0
Sat 9/7 Middle Tennessee at North Carolina+21.5
Sat 9/14 Middle Tennessee vs Memphis-4.0
Sat 9/21 Middle Tennessee at Florida Atlantic-4.0
Fri 9/27 Middle Tennessee at BYU+22.0
Sat 10/5 Middle Tennessee vs East Carolina+8.0
Sat 10/12 Middle Tennessee at North Texas+4.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/24 Middle Tennessee vs Marshall+10.5
Sat 11/2 Middle Tennessee at UAB-6.0
Sat 11/9 Middle Tennessee vs Florida International-17.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Middle Tennessee at Southern Miss-20.5
Sat 11/30 Middle Tennessee vs UTEP-21.0
Mon 12/30 Middle Tennessee vs Navy+7.057.5L 6 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule
North Carolina's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 North Carolina at South Carolina+11.5
Sat 9/7 North Carolina vs Middle Tennessee-21.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 North Carolina at Georgia Tech+3.5
Sat 9/28 North Carolina vs East Carolina-10.0
Sat 10/5 North Carolina at Virginia Tech+7.0
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/17 North Carolina vs Miami+7.5
Sat 10/26 North Carolina vs Boston College-10.0
Sat 11/2 North Carolina at NC State-3.0
Sat 11/9 North Carolina vs Virginia-14.0
Sat 11/16 North Carolina at Pittsburgh-1.053.0W 34 - 27OY
Sat 11/23 North Carolina vs Old Dominion-17.0
Sat 11/30 North Carolina vs Duke-5.5
Sat 12/28 North Carolina vs Cincinnati-2.560.0W 39 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2013)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MTSU.0641%2941%3.119940%208-0.33.1247%26.246%46%042.71.62.5
UNC.145%32.742%3.0314845%277-0.23.0842%24.541%41%-0.2663.91.41.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MTSU#107 (.13)39% (105)38% (114)2.82 (104)9140% (83)2613 (128)#129 (.32)49% (130)50% (124)49% (127)4.61 (126)61.31.60.8
UNC#65 (.2)42% (80)47% (34)3.32 (22)17537% (114)2164.08 (52)#70 (.17)41% (53)44% (82)37% (26)4.01 (90)59.81.21.2



Overall Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MTSU Offense132924.241.4%-0.331.6224081992084.953%45%41%40%2%.06
UNC Defense1324.524.742.3%-0.261.5 - - - - - 55%43%41%41%3%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MTSU Defense1326.231.347.1%02.5 - - - - - 59%40%46%46%2%.12
UNC Offense1332.739.744.6%-0.231.4214261482773.950%49%42%45%2%.1

Additional Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Middle Tennessee1328:0821.846%38%4.242.71.62.500630.2
North Carolina1328:3821.541%67%7.463.91.41.500829.4
Run Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MTSU Offense1353%41%40.5199.34.925.023.167%0%0.77
UNC Defense1355%41% - - - - .023.0358%0%0.72
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MTSU Defense1359%46% - - - - .073.2580%0%0.67
UNC Offense1350%42%37.7148.33.9193.0378%0%0.65

Pass Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MTSU Offense1345%40%18.331208.26.711.41715.121.331%34%.272%1.6
UNC Defense1343%41% - - - - - - 13.181.332%33%.253%1.4
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MTSU Defense1340%46% - - - - - - 15.211.128%32%.292%1.5
UNC Offense1349%45%21.834.8277.4812.72811.221.332%34%.322%1.7

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Middle Tennessee's 2013 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee:    North Carolina: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee:    North Carolina:




North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Carolina's 2013 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 29 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.2
Defense: 26.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.3

Middle Tennessee's 2013 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
North Carolina 35
Middle Tennessee 23

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
North Carolina 38
Middle Tennessee 20

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
North Carolina 33
Middle Tennessee 26

Total Points: 59
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.7

North Carolina's 2013 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201309/07North Carolina40Middle Tennessee20North Carolina -21.5Middle Tennessee0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Carolina100 Overs
Middle Tennessee010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) MTSU at (#) UNC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMTSUUNC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Middle Tennessee on Offense
CategoryCat
MTSU OffUNC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Middle Tennessee Run Game
CategoryCat
MTSU OffUNC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Middle Tennessee Pass Game
CategoryCat
MTSU OffUNC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
North Carolina on Offense
CategoryCatUNC OffMTSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffMTSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
North Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCatUNC OffMTSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

MTSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 77°
Rematch from Week 2
North Carolina -21.5 (0)
North Carolina won vs Middle Tennessee this year (40-20)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
MTSU's OC ()
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MTSU's DC ()
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UNC's OC ()
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UNC's DC ()
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