Virginia at North Carolina - 2013 Matchup Preview
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Virginia Cavaliers at North Carolina Tar Heels

North Carolina logo
Saturday, November 9th 2013 (12:30 PM EST)
North Carolina -14 (0)  Open: 0.0
North Carolina 45 - Virginia: 14  (ACC)

 
Cavaliers (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (29 - 23 on Road)
'13 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UNC is playing their 4th straight game
UVA is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: UVA: 28 - UNC: 21 (49)
UNC Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
UVA Travel: 150 miles
Tar Heels (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (21 - 26 @ Home)
'13 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Virginia's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Virginia vs BYU+4.0
Sat 9/7 Virginia vs Oregon+23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Virginia vs VMI-35.0
Sat 9/28 Virginia at Pittsburgh+6.5
Sat 10/5 Virginia vs Ball State-6.0
Sat 10/12 Virginia at Maryland+5.5
Sat 10/19 Virginia vs Duke-4.0
Sat 10/26 Virginia vs Georgia Tech+8.5
Sat 11/2 Virginia vs Clemson+20.0
Sat 11/9 Virginia at North Carolina+14.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Virginia at Miami+19.5
Sat 11/30 Virginia vs Virginia Tech+13.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
North Carolina's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 North Carolina at South Carolina+11.5
Sat 9/7 North Carolina vs Middle Tennessee-21.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 North Carolina at Georgia Tech+3.5
Sat 9/28 North Carolina vs East Carolina-10.0
Sat 10/5 North Carolina at Virginia Tech+7.0
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/17 North Carolina vs Miami+7.5
Sat 10/26 North Carolina vs Boston College-10.0
Sat 11/2 North Carolina at NC State-3.0
Sat 11/9 North Carolina vs Virginia-14.0
Sat 11/16 North Carolina at Pittsburgh-1.053.0W 34 - 27OY
Sat 11/23 North Carolina vs Old Dominion-17.0
Sat 11/30 North Carolina vs Duke-5.5
Sat 12/28 North Carolina vs Cincinnati-2.560.0W 39 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2012)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA.0640%30.842%2.8712936%2680-.0138%19.637%36%058.82.21
UNC.1547%19.347%319445%292-0.14.0538%24.538%37%-0.0964.31.52.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Offense1230.828.639.5%02.2193971292683.744%55%42%36%3%.06
UNC Defense1224.52638.4%-0.092.1 - - - - - 49%50%38%37%3%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Defense1219.623.237.5%01 - - - - - 50%48%37%36%2%-.01
UNC Offense1219.32147%-0.141.5244861942925.146%52%47%45%1%.15

Additional Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Virginia1233:051936%56%6.858.82.2100028.7
North Carolina1227:5024.342%67%7.564.31.52.100532
Run Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Offense1244%42%34.8128.53.7102.8769%0%0.74
UNC Defense1249%38% - - - - -.012.7268%0%0.77
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Defense1250%37% - - - - -.062.4659%0%0.73
UNC Offense1246%47%38.1193.85.128.09369%0%0.73

Pass Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Offense1255%36%2339.52686.811.72315.121.234%34%.323%1.5
UNC Defense1250%37% - - - - - - 16.121.436%34%.343%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Defense1248%36% - - - - - - 4.061.233%29%.092%1.3
UNC Offense1252%45%23.936.8291.87.912.2297.211.231%38%.331%1.5

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Virginia's 2013 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia:    North Carolina: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia:    North Carolina:




North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Carolina's 2013 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Virginia Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.2

Virginia's 2013 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 0 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia 28
North Carolina 21

Projected Total Points: 49
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

North Carolina's 2013 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25North Carolina16Virginia17Virginia -12.5North Carolina51.5Under
202410/26Virginia14North Carolina41Virginia -3.5North Carolina58.5Under
202310/21North Carolina27Virginia31North Carolina -24Virginia58.0Push
202211/05Virginia28North Carolina31North Carolina -7Virginia61.5Under
202109/18North Carolina59Virginia39North Carolina -7.5North Carolina67.0Over
202010/31Virginia44North Carolina41North Carolina -7.0Virginia0
201911/02North Carolina31Virginia38Virginia -1Virginia48.0Over
201810/27Virginia31North Carolina21Virginia -7.5Virginia51.0Over
201710/14North Carolina14Virginia20Virginia -3Virginia54.5Under
201610/22Virginia14North Carolina35North Carolina -9North Carolina68.5Under
201510/24North Carolina26Virginia13North Carolina -12North Carolina58.0Under
201410/25Virginia27North Carolina28Virginia -7.5North Carolina0
201311/09North Carolina45Virginia14North Carolina -14North Carolina0
201211/15Virginia13North Carolina37
201109/17North Carolina28Virginia17
201010/16Virginia10North Carolina44
200910/03North Carolina3Virginia16
200810/18Virginia16North Carolina13
200709/15North Carolina20Virginia22
200610/19Virginia23North Carolina0
200510/22North Carolina7Virginia5
200409/11Virginia56North Carolina24
200310/04North Carolina13Virginia38
200210/19Virginia37North Carolina27
200110/13North Carolina30Virginia24
200010/27Virginia17North Carolina6
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Carolina1273 Overs
Virginia1466 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 137 - 64 - 33 - 3
Road Teams13 - 136 - 73 - 33 - 4

(#) UVA at (#) UNC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUVAUNC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Virginia on Offense
CategoryCat
UVA OffUNC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Virginia Run Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffUNC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Virginia Pass Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffUNC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
North Carolina on Offense
CategoryCatUNC OffUVA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffUVA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
North Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCatUNC OffUVA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UVA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 11
North Carolina -14.0 (0)
North Carolina won vs Virginia this year (45-14)

Previous Matchups
Virginia beat North Carolina last year (17-16)
North Carolina beat Virginia in 2024 (41-14)
Virginia beat North Carolina in 2023 (31-27)

  
UVA's OC ()
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Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UVA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UNC's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UNC's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD