Middle Tennessee at Southern Miss - 2013 Matchup Preview
Middle Tennessee logo Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Southern Miss Golden EaglesSouthern Miss logo
Saturday, November 23rd 2013 (3:30 PM EST)
Middle Tennessee -20.5 (0)  Open: 0.0
Middle Tennessee 42 - Southern Miss: 21  (Conference USA)

 
Blue Raiders (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (24 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USM 2nd straight Home Game
MTSU coming off BYE
USM is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: MTSU: 35 - USM: 21 (56)
MTSU Win prob: 94% | Cover: 54%
MTSU Travel: 356 miles
Golden Eagles (1 - 11) (1 - 10 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 42 (16 - 37 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Middle Tennessee's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Middle Tennessee vs Western Carolina-12.0
Sat 9/7 Middle Tennessee at North Carolina+21.5
Sat 9/14 Middle Tennessee vs Memphis-4.0
Sat 9/21 Middle Tennessee at Florida Atlantic-4.0
Fri 9/27 Middle Tennessee at BYU+22.0
Sat 10/5 Middle Tennessee vs East Carolina+8.0
Sat 10/12 Middle Tennessee at North Texas+4.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/24 Middle Tennessee vs Marshall+10.5
Sat 11/2 Middle Tennessee at UAB-6.0
Sat 11/9 Middle Tennessee vs Florida International-17.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Middle Tennessee at Southern Miss-20.5
Sat 11/30 Middle Tennessee vs UTEP-21.0
Mon 12/30 Middle Tennessee vs Navy+7.057.5L 6 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule
Southern Miss's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Southern Miss vs Texas State-9.5
Sat 9/7 Southern Miss at Nebraska+29.0
Sat 9/14 Southern Miss at Arkansas+21.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Southern Miss at Boise State+28.0
Sat 10/5 Southern Miss vs Florida International-17.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Southern Miss at East Carolina+21.0
Sat 10/26 Southern Miss vs North Texas+9.5
Sat 11/2 Southern Miss at Marshall+28.5
Sat 11/9 Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech+14.0
Sat 11/16 Southern Miss vs Florida Atlantic+14.5
Sat 11/23 Southern Miss vs Middle Tennessee+20.5
Sat 11/30 Southern Miss at UAB+13.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule
Important Stats (2013)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MTSU.0641%2941%3.119940%208-0.33.1247%26.246%46%042.71.62.5
USM-.0835%17.131%2.127336%243-0.32.143%41.940%45%-0.0742.33.21.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MTSU#107 (.13)39% (105)38% (114)2.82 (104)9140% (83)2613 (128)#129 (.32)49% (130)50% (124)49% (127)4.61 (126)61.31.60.8
USM#132 ()35% (130)40% (108)2.59 (126)10930% (133)1752.75 (133)#125 (.3)44% (97)45% (89)43% (93)4.17 (104)48.32.40.8



Overall Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MTSU Offense132924.241.4%-0.331.6224081992084.953%45%41%40%2%.06
USM Defense1241.936.842.8%-0.071.6 - - - - - 59%40%40%45%2%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MTSU Defense1326.231.347.1%02.5 - - - - - 59%40%46%46%2%.12
USM Offense1217.11635.2%-0.323.217316732432.636%62%31%36%3%-.08

Additional Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Middle Tennessee1328:0821.846%38%4.242.71.62.500630.2
Southern Miss1226:5617.330%44%5.642.33.21.600029.1
Run Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MTSU Offense1353%41%40.5199.34.925.023.167%0%0.77
USM Defense1259%40% - - - - .012.8667%0%0.75
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MTSU Defense1359%46% - - - - .073.2580%0%0.67
USM Offense1236%31%27.972.92.65-.192.1259%0%0.75

Pass Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MTSU Offense1345%40%18.331208.26.711.41715.121.331%34%.272%1.6
USM Defense1240%45% - - - - - - 6.261.330%32%.332%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MTSU Defense1340%46% - - - - - - 15.211.128%32%.292%1.5
USM Offense1262%36%20.840.4242.6611.71926-.011.137%26%.013%1.1

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Middle Tennessee's 2013 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee:    Southern Miss: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee:    Southern Miss:




Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Southern Miss's 2013 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 29 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.2
Defense: 26.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.3

Middle Tennessee's 2013 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Middle Tennessee 35
Southern Miss 21

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Middle Tennessee 36
Southern Miss 19

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
Middle Tennessee 33
Southern Miss 23

Total Points: 56
Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 17.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 16
Defense: 41.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 36.8

Southern Miss's 2013 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 1 - 10 - 1
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 8 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202110/30Middle Tennessee35Southern Miss10Middle Tennessee -12.5Middle Tennessee47.0Under
201410/04Middle Tennessee37Southern Miss31Middle Tennessee -16.5Southern Miss0
201311/23Southern Miss21Middle Tennessee42Middle Tennessee -20.5Middle Tennessee0
200912/20Middle Tennessee42Southern Miss32
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Southern Miss010 Overs
Middle Tennessee421 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 11 - 21 - 10 - 1
Road Teams1 - 32 - 11 - 01 - 1

(#) MTSU at (#) USM
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMTSUUSM
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Middle Tennessee on Offense
CategoryCat
MTSU OffUSM Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Middle Tennessee Run Game
CategoryCat
MTSU OffUSM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Middle Tennessee Pass Game
CategoryCat
MTSU OffUSM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Southern Miss on Offense
CategoryCatUSM OffMTSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Southern Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
USM OffMTSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Southern Miss Pass Game
CategoryCatUSM OffMTSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

MTSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 53° - Wind: 11 mph
Rematch from Week 13
Middle Tennessee 20.5 (0)
Middle Tennessee won at Southern Miss this year (42-21)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
MTSU's OC ()
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MTSU's DC ()
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USM's OC ()
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USM's DC ()
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