East Carolina at North Carolina - 2013 Matchup Preview
East Carolina logo East Carolina Pirates at North Carolina Tar HeelsNorth Carolina logo
Saturday, September 28th 2013 (12:30 PM EDT)
North Carolina -10 (0)  Open: 0.0
East Carolina 55 - North Carolina: 31

 
Pirates (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 40 - 25 (36 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ECU coming off BYE
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: ECU: 25 - UNC: 27 (52)
UNC Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
ECU Travel: 97 miles
Tar Heels (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 25 (40 - 25 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
East Carolina's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 East Carolina vs Old Dominion-14.5
Thu 9/5 East Carolina vs Florida Atlantic-15.0
Sat 9/14 East Carolina vs Virginia Tech+7.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 East Carolina at North Carolina+10.0
Sat 10/5 East Carolina at Middle Tennessee-8.0
Sat 10/12 East Carolina at Tulane-9.0
Sat 10/19 East Carolina vs Southern Miss-21.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 East Carolina at Florida International-20.0
Sat 11/9 East Carolina vs Tulsa-14.0
Sat 11/16 East Carolina vs UAB-25.0
Sat 11/23 East Carolina at NC State-6.0
Fri 11/29 East Carolina at Marshall+3.0
Mon 12/23 East Carolina vs Ohio+14.563.0W 37 - 20UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
North Carolina's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 North Carolina at South Carolina+11.5
Sat 9/7 North Carolina vs Middle Tennessee-21.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 North Carolina at Georgia Tech+3.5
Sat 9/28 North Carolina vs East Carolina-10.0
Sat 10/5 North Carolina at Virginia Tech+7.0
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/17 North Carolina vs Miami+7.5
Sat 10/26 North Carolina vs Boston College-10.0
Sat 11/2 North Carolina at NC State-3.0
Sat 11/9 North Carolina vs Virginia-14.0
Sat 11/16 North Carolina at Pittsburgh-1.053.0W 34 - 27OY
Sat 11/23 North Carolina vs Old Dominion-17.0
Sat 11/30 North Carolina vs Duke-5.5
Sat 12/28 North Carolina vs Cincinnati-2.560.0W 39 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2013)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU.1748%40.243%2.8914051%328-0.13.0640%24.834%42%044.91.21.8
UNC.145%32.742%3.0314845%277-0.23.0842%24.541%41%-0.2663.91.41.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU#49 (.22)43% (62)44% (71)3.07 (57)14743% (54)2533.79 (83)#64 (.16)40% (40)37% (11)43% (86)3.85 (76)612.21.6
UNC#65 (.2)42% (80)47% (34)3.32 (22)17537% (114)2164.08 (52)#70 (.17)41% (53)44% (82)37% (26)4.01 (90)59.81.21.2



Overall Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Offense1340.23648.3%-0.131.2274681403283.940%58%43%51%3%.17
UNC Defense1324.524.742.3%-0.261.5 - - - - - 55%43%41%41%3%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Defense1324.830.739.8%01.8 - - - - - 45%53%34%42%2%.06
UNC Offense1332.739.744.6%-0.231.4214261482773.950%49%42%45%2%.1

Additional Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
East Carolina1329:1726.651%71%5.344.91.21.800232.3
North Carolina1328:3821.541%67%7.463.91.41.500829.4
Run Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Offense1340%43%35.6140.13.930.032.8968%0%0.78
UNC Defense1355%41% - - - - .023.0358%0%0.72
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Defense1345%34% - - - - -.042.8670%0%0.84
UNC Offense1350%42%37.7148.33.9193.0378%0%0.65

Pass Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Offense1358%51%30.543.5328.17.610.73510.291.130%38%.433%1.7
UNC Defense1343%41% - - - - - - 13.181.332%33%.253%1.4
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Defense1353%42% - - - - - - 18.161.231%37%.372%1.6
UNC Offense1349%45%21.834.8277.4812.72811.221.332%34%.322%1.7

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
East Carolina's 2013 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina:    North Carolina: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina:    North Carolina:




North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Carolina's 2013 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 40.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 36
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.7

East Carolina's 2013 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
North Carolina 27
East Carolina 25

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
North Carolina 22
East Carolina 19

Total Points: 41

Based on Entire Season
North Carolina 32
East Carolina 31

Total Points: 63
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.7

North Carolina's 2013 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201809/08East Carolina41North Carolina19North Carolina -16.5East Carolina59.0Over
201409/20East Carolina70North Carolina41North Carolina -2East Carolina0
201309/28North Carolina31East Carolina55North Carolina -10East Carolina0
201209/22North Carolina27East Carolina6
201110/01East Carolina20North Carolina35
201010/02North Carolina42East Carolina17
200909/19North Carolina31East Carolina17
200709/08East Carolina34North Carolina31
200310/11East Carolina17North Carolina28
200110/06North Carolina24East Carolina21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Carolina601 Overs
East Carolina430 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 32 - 10 - 12 - 0
Road Teams3 - 71 - 20 - 21 - 0

(#) ECU at (#) UNC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatECUUNC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
East Carolina on Offense
CategoryCat
ECU OffUNC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
East Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffUNC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
East Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffUNC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
North Carolina on Offense
CategoryCatUNC OffECU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffECU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
North Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCatUNC OffECU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

ECU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 69° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 5
North Carolina -10.0 (0)
East Carolina won at North Carolina this year (55-31)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ECU's OC ()
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ECU's DC ()
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UNC's OC ()
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UNC's DC ()
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