Virginia at NC State - 2012 Matchup Preview
Virginia logo (#15)Virginia Cavaliers at NC State WolfpackNC State logo
Saturday, November 3rd 2012 (12:30 PM EDT)
Virginia 33 - NC State: 6  (ACC)

 
Cavaliers (4 - 8) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (18 - 30 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UVA coming off BYE
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: UVA: 21 - NCST: 29 (50)
UVA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UVA Travel: 155 miles
Wolfpack (7 - 6) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 26 (28 - 14 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Virginia's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Virginia vs Richmond-23.5
Sat 9/8 Virginia vs Penn State-23.5
Sat 9/15 Virginia at Georgia Tech+2.5
Sat 9/22 Virginia at TCU+2.5
Sat 9/29 Virginia vs Louisiana Tech-23.5
Sat 10/6 Virginia at Duke+2.5
Sat 10/13 Virginia vs Maryland-23.5
Sat 10/20 Virginia vs Wake Forest-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3 Virginia at NC State+2.5
Sat 11/10 Virginia vs Miami-23.5
Thu 11/15 Virginia vs North Carolina-23.5
Sat 11/24 Virginia at Virginia Tech+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
NC State's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/31 NC State vs Tennessee+2.5
Sat 9/8 NC State at UConn+2.5
Sat 9/15 NC State vs South Alabama-23.5
Sat 9/22 NC State vs The Citadel-23.5
Sat 9/29 NC State at Miami+2.5
Sat 10/6 NC State vs Florida State-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/20 NC State at Maryland+2.5
Sat 10/27 NC State at North Carolina+2.5
Sat 11/3 NC State vs Virginia-23.5
Sat 11/10 NC State vs Wake Forest-23.5
Sat 11/17 NC State at Clemson+2.5
Sat 11/24 NC State vs Boston College-23.5
Mon 12/31 NC State vs Vanderbilt+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Important Stats (2012)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA.0640%22.842%2.8712936%2680-.0138%28.937%36%058.82.21
NCST.0239%28.138%2.8111139%3100-37%25.638%34%-0.350.52.51.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA#102 (.13)40% (103)43% (77)3.29 (25)13337% (113)2293.47 (106)#116 (.27)43% (80)44% (77)42% (77)4.04 (94)45.31.61.3
NCST#26 (.25)45% (36)44% (68)3.24 (36)13047% (20)2153.97 (61)#86 (.19)41% (59)39% (31)43% (87)3.78 (67)451.71.4



Overall Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Offense1222.818.239.5%02.2193971292683.744%55%42%36%3%.06
NCST Defense1325.614.337.3%-0.31.8 - - - - - 47%51%38%34%2%-
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Defense1228.929.637.5%01 - - - - - 50%48%37%36%2%-.01
NCST Offense1328.128.339.3%02.5224211113103.139%59%38%39%2%.02

Additional Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Virginia1233:051936%56%6.858.82.2100028.7
NC State1330:2821.841%52%6.750.52.51.800429.3
Run Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Offense1244%42%34.8128.53.7102.8769%0%0.74
NCST Defense1347%38% - - - - -.022.6756%0%0.84
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Defense1250%37% - - - - -.062.4659%0%0.73
NCST Offense1339%38%36.2111.13.112-.112.8163%0%0.6

Pass Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Offense1255%36%2339.52686.811.72315.121.234%34%.323%1.5
NCST Defense1351%34% - - - - - - 16.021.233%26%.182%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Defense1248%36% - - - - - - 4.061.233%29%.092%1.3
NCST Offense1359%39%25.443.8310.17.112.23117.121.333%30%.242%1.8

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Virginia's 2012 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia:    NC State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia:    NC State:




NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
NC State's 2012 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Virginia Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.2
Defense: 28.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.6

Virginia's 2012 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
NC State 29
Virginia 21

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
NC State 30
Virginia 21

Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
NC State 29
Virginia 20

Total Points: 49
NC State Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.3
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.3

NC State's 2012 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06NC State35Virginia31NC State -3.0NC State53.0Over
202309/22Virginia21NC State24NC State -8.5Virginia47.5Under
202010/10Virginia21NC State38Virginia -7NC State59.0Push
201809/29NC State35Virginia21NC State -5.5NC State52.5Over
201211/03NC State6Virginia33
201110/22Virginia14NC State28
200710/27NC State29Virginia24
200610/28Virginia14NC State7
200311/01NC State51Virginia37
200211/16Virginia14NC State9
200110/27NC State24Virginia0
200011/17Virginia24NC State17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
NC State832 Overs
Virginia411 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 43 - 12 - 11 - 0
Road Teams4 - 81 - 30 - 11 - 2

(#) UVA at (#) NCST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUVANCST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Virginia on Offense
CategoryCat
UVA OffNCST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Virginia Run Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffNCST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Virginia Pass Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffNCST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
NC State on Offense
CategoryCatNCST OffUVA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
NC State Run Game
CategoryCat
NCST OffUVA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
NC State Pass Game
CategoryCatNCST OffUVA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NCST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UVA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 52° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 10
()
Virginia won at NC State this year (33-6)

Previous Matchups
NC State beat Virginia in 2023 (24-21)

  
UVA's OC ()
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UVA's DC ()
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NCST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NCST's DC ()
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD