SMU at Baylor - 2012 Matchup Preview
SMU logo SMU Mustangs at Baylor BearsBaylor logo
Sunday, September 2nd 2012 (6:30 PM EDT)
Baylor 59 - SMU: 24

 
Mustangs (7 - 6) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 26 (20 - 33 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 100° (32% Hum)
Wind: 13.9 MPH
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: SMU: 26 - BAY: 38 (64)
SMU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
SMU Travel: 93 miles
Bears (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 45 - 37 (43 - 29 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
SMU's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/2 SMU at Baylor+2.5
Sat 9/8 SMU vs Stephen F. Austin-23.5
Sat 9/15 SMU vs Texas A&M-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/29 SMU vs TCU-23.5
Sat 10/6 SMU at UTEP+2.5
Sat 10/13 SMU at Tulane+2.5
Thu 10/18 SMU vs Houston-23.5
Sat 10/27 SMU vs Memphis-23.5
Sat 11/3 SMU at UCF+2.5
Sat 11/10 SMU vs Southern Miss-23.5
Sat 11/17 SMU at Rice+2.5
Sat 11/24 SMU vs Tulsa-23.5
Mon 12/24 SMU vs Fresno State-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
Baylor's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/2 Baylor vs SMU-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/15 Baylor vs Sam Houston-23.5
Fri 9/21 Baylor at UL Monroe+2.5
Sat 9/29 Baylor at West Virginia+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13 Baylor vs TCU-23.5
Sat 10/20 Baylor at Texas+2.5
Sat 10/27 Baylor at Iowa State+2.5
Sat 11/3 Baylor vs Kansas-23.5
Sat 11/10 Baylor at Oklahoma+2.5
Sat 11/17 Baylor vs Kansas State-23.5
Sat 11/24 Baylor vs Texas Tech+2.5
Sat 12/1 Baylor vs Oklahoma State-23.5
Thu 12/27 Baylor vs UCLA+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule
Important Stats (2012)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU.0139%30.539%3.0213237%235-0.35.0137%25.732%39%-0.6238.71.82.9
BAY.1648%44.547%3.2623246%341-0.06.0945%37.243%46%-0.1357.91.81.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU#38 (.24)44% (53)44% (62)2.97 (83)16944% (45)2634.41 (25)#5 (.03)37% (9)39% (35)35% (10)3.09 (13)77.71.71.6
BAY#29 (.25)47% (23)46% (37)3.19 (43)17448% (14)2274.28 (30)#74 (.18)39% (38)38% (13)42% (78)3.85 (77)58.111.6



Overall Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Offense1330.519.638.7%-0.351.8193671322354.338%60%39%37%2%.01
BAY Defense1337.22945.4%-0.131.9 - - - - - 46%53%43%46%2%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Defense1325.732.836.8%-0.622.9 - - - - - 42%57%32%39%5%.01
BAY Offense1344.542.847.6%-0.061.8285722323415.152%47%47%46%2%.16

Additional Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
SMU1333:4519.239%31%5.138.71.82.900831.1
Baylor1327:3428.246%70%6.657.91.81.900330.6
Run Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Offense1338%39%30.81324.322.043.0274%0%0.8
BAY Defense1346%43% - - - - 2.9176%0%0.73
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Defense1342%32% - - - - -.032.5969%0%0.93
BAY Offense1352%47%45.9231.75.138.083.2670%0%0.74

Pass Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Offense1360%37%2139.7235.35.911.21615-.01136%33%.242%1.4
BAY Defense1353%46% - - - - - - 18.171.131%36%.222%1.4
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Defense1357%39% - - - - - - 21.031.237%31%.25%1.8
BAY Offense1347%46%22.636.5340.59.315.13413.251.327%40%.452%1.6

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
SMU's 2012 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
SMU:    Baylor: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
SMU:    Baylor:




Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Baylor's Offense Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Baylor's 2012 Expected Record: -
Baylor's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


SMU Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.6
Defense: 25.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

SMU's 2012 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Baylor 38
SMU 26

Total Points: 64

Based on Last 4 Games
Baylor 40
SMU 24

Total Points: 63

Based on Entire Season
Baylor 36
SMU 29

Total Points: 65
Baylor Scoring
Offense: 44.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.8
Defense: 37.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 29

Baylor's 2012 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06SMU45Baylor48SMU -3.0Baylor65.5Over
201609/10Baylor40SMU13Baylor -28.5SMU72.0Under
201509/04SMU21Baylor56Baylor -20Baylor71.0Over
201408/31Baylor45SMU0Baylor -33.5Baylor75.0Under
201209/02Baylor59SMU24
200509/03SMU23Baylor28
200309/13Baylor10SMU7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Baylor732 Overs
SMU012 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 31 - 31 - 20 - 1
Road Teams3 - 43 - 11 - 02 - 1

(#) SMU at (#) BAY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSMUBAY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCat
SMU OffBAY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffBAY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffBAY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Baylor on Offense
CategoryCatBAY OffSMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Baylor Run Game
CategoryCat
BAY OffSMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Baylor Pass Game
CategoryCatBAY OffSMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BAY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

SMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Floyd Casey Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 100° - Wind: 14 mph
Rematch from Week 1
()
Baylor won vs SMU this year (59-24)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
SMU's OC ()
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BAY's OC ()
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BAY's DC ()
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