TCU at Baylor - 2012 Matchup Preview
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TCU Horned Frogs at Baylor Bears

Baylor logo
Saturday, October 13th 2012 (7:00 PM EDT)
TCU 49 - Baylor: 21  (Big 12)

 
Horned Frogs (7 - 6) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (26 - 26 on Road)
'12 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BAY coming off BYE
TCU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: TCU: 29 - BAY: 28 (57)
TCU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
TCU Travel: 83 miles
Bears (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 33 (30 - 28 @ Home)
'12 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
TCU's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/8 TCU vs Grambling-23.5
Sat 9/15 TCU at Kansas+2.5
Sat 9/22 TCU vs Virginia-23.5
Sat 9/29 TCU at SMU+2.5
Sat 10/6 TCU vs Iowa State-23.5
Sat 10/13 TCU at Baylor+2.5
Sat 10/20 TCU vs Texas Tech-23.5
Sat 10/27 TCU at Oklahoma State+2.5
Sat 11/3 TCU at West Virginia+2.5
Sat 11/10 TCU vs Kansas State-23.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/22 TCU at Texas+2.5
Sat 12/1 TCU vs Oklahoma-23.5
Sat 12/29 TCU vs Michigan State+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Baylor's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/2 Baylor vs SMU-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/15 Baylor vs Sam Houston-23.5
Fri 9/21 Baylor at UL Monroe+2.5
Sat 9/29 Baylor at West Virginia+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13 Baylor vs TCU-23.5
Sat 10/20 Baylor at Texas+2.5
Sat 10/27 Baylor at Iowa State+2.5
Sat 11/3 Baylor vs Kansas-23.5
Sat 11/10 Baylor at Oklahoma+2.5
Sat 11/17 Baylor vs Kansas State-23.5
Sat 11/24 Baylor vs Texas Tech+2.5
Sat 12/1 Baylor vs Oklahoma State-23.5
Thu 12/27 Baylor vs UCLA+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule
Important Stats (2011)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU.1246%30.746%3.2920944%2400.0338%25.335%39%-0.452.71.61.8
BAY.1950%31.149%3.2523650%3650.1246%32.645%44%-0.264.42.22.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BAY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Offense1330.725.545.9%01.6224402092405.155%43%46%44%2%.12
BAY Defense1332.627.945.6%-0.22.2 - - - - - 48%51%45%44%3%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Defense1325.326.238.3%-0.41.8 - - - - - 47%51%35%39%2%.03
BAY Offense1331.129.650.1%02.2295872363655.354%45%49%50%2%.19

Additional Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
TCU1319:4521.652%82%5.552.71.61.800735.6
Baylor1317:1329.145%70%7.164.42.22.200229.8
Run Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Offense1355%46%40.9208.65.138.123.2965%0%0.81
BAY Defense1348%45% - - - - .083.0872%0%0.83
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Defense1347%35% - - - - -.052.4671%0%0.78
BAY Offense1354%49%44.3235.65.337.123.2565%0%0.81

Pass Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Offense1343%44%17.826.9240.48.913.5257.131.127%35%.322%1.5
BAY Defense1351%44% - - - - - - 16.161.229%38%.243%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Defense1351%39% - - - - - - 10.121.236%32%.252%1.6
BAY Offense1345%50%23.632.6364.811.215.5406.281.126%39%.382%1.5

TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: NR
TCU's Offense Rating: NR
TCU's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
TCU's 2012 Expected Record: -
TCU's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
TCU:    Baylor: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
TCU:    Baylor:




Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Baylor's Offense Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Baylor's 2012 Expected Record: -
Baylor's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


TCU Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.5
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.2

TCU's 2012 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 29
Baylor 28

Projected Total Points: 57
Baylor Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.6
Defense: 32.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9

Baylor's 2012 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18TCU42Baylor36TCU -3.5TCU66.5Over
202411/02Baylor37TCU34Baylor -2.5Baylor64.0Over
202311/18TCU42Baylor17TCU -13.0TCU62.0Under
202211/19Baylor28TCU29TCU -2Baylor58.0Under
202111/06TCU30Baylor28Baylor -7.5TCU57.0Over
202010/31Baylor23TCU33TCU -3.0TCU0
201911/09TCU23Baylor29Baylor -3.0Baylor48.5Over
201811/17Baylor9TCU16Baylor -1TCU50.5Under
201711/24TCU45Baylor22TCU -25.5Baylor53.0Over
201611/05Baylor22TCU62Baylor -9TCU65.0Over
201511/27TCU28Baylor21Baylor -2TCU75.0Under
201410/11Baylor61TCU58Baylor -11TCU0
201311/30TCU38Baylor41Baylor -14TCU0
201210/13Baylor21TCU49
201109/02Baylor50TCU48
201009/18TCU45Baylor10
200709/01TCU27Baylor0
200609/03Baylor7TCU17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Baylor546 Overs
TCU1394 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 87 - 63 - 44 - 2
Road Teams8 - 106 - 72 - 44 - 3

(#) TCU at (#) BAY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTCUBAY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
TCU on Offense
CategoryCat
TCU OffBAY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
TCU Run Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffBAY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
TCU Pass Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffBAY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Baylor on Offense
CategoryCatBAY OffTCU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Baylor Run Game
CategoryCat
BAY OffTCU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Baylor Pass Game
CategoryCatBAY OffTCU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BAY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

TCU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Floyd Casey Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 7
()
TCU won at Baylor this year (49-21)

Previous Matchups
TCU beat Baylor last year (42-36)
Baylor beat TCU in 2024 (37-34)
TCU beat Baylor in 2023 (42-17)

  
TCU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TCU's DC ()
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

BAY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BAY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD