SMU at UCF - 2012 Matchup Preview
SMU logo SMU Mustangs at UCF KnightsUCF logo
Saturday, November 3rd 2012 (7:00 PM EDT)
UCF 42 - SMU: 17  (Conference USA)

 
Mustangs (7 - 6) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 26 (20 - 33 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UCF is playing their 6th straight game
SMU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: SMU: 25 - UCF: 31 (56)
SMU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
SMU Travel: 970 miles, 1 hrs behind
Knights (10 - 4) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 22 (36 - 22 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
SMU's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/2 SMU at Baylor+2.5
Sat 9/8 SMU vs Stephen F. Austin-23.5
Sat 9/15 SMU vs Texas A&M-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/29 SMU vs TCU-23.5
Sat 10/6 SMU at UTEP+2.5
Sat 10/13 SMU at Tulane+2.5
Thu 10/18 SMU vs Houston-23.5
Sat 10/27 SMU vs Memphis-23.5
Sat 11/3 SMU at UCF+2.5
Sat 11/10 SMU vs Southern Miss-23.5
Sat 11/17 SMU at Rice+2.5
Sat 11/24 SMU vs Tulsa-23.5
Mon 12/24 SMU vs Fresno State-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
UCF's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/30 UCF at Akron+2.5
Sat 9/8 UCF at Ohio State+2.5
Sat 9/15 UCF vs Florida International-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/29 UCF vs Missouri-23.5
Thu 10/4 UCF vs East Carolina-23.5
Sat 10/13 UCF vs Southern Miss-23.5
Sat 10/20 UCF at Memphis+2.5
Sat 10/27 UCF at Marshall+2.5
Sat 11/3 UCF vs SMU-23.5
Sat 11/10 UCF at UTEP+2.5
Sat 11/17 UCF at Tulsa+2.5
Sat 11/24 UCF vs UAB-23.5
Sat 12/1 UCF at Tulsa+2.5
Fri 12/21 UCF vs Ball State-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Important Stats (2012)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU.0139%30.539%3.0213237%235-0.35.0137%25.732%39%-0.6238.71.82.9
UCF.1144%35.444%2.9318241%226-0.08.0140%22.141%38%-0.3436.21.11.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU#38 (.24)44% (53)44% (62)2.97 (83)16944% (45)2634.41 (25)#5 (.03)37% (9)39% (35)35% (10)3.09 (13)77.71.71.6
UCF#58 (.21)46% (28)52% (8)3.62 (2)24838% (103)2003.75 (86)#63 (.16)40% (45)37% (12)42% (84)4.37 (118)54.41.60.9



Overall Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Offense1330.519.638.7%-0.351.8193671322354.338%60%39%37%2%.01
UCF Defense1422.122.240.3%-0.341.9 - - - - - 51%48%41%38%1%.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Defense1325.732.836.8%-0.622.9 - - - - - 42%57%32%39%5%.01
UCF Offense1435.436.343.6%-0.081.1224071822264.851%48%44%41%3%.11

Additional Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
SMU1333:4519.239%31%5.138.71.82.900831.1
UCF1431:4221.549%60%4.336.21.11.900530.9
Run Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Offense1338%39%30.81324.322.043.0274%0%0.8
UCF Defense1451%41% - - - - .022.8764%0%0.77
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Defense1342%32% - - - - -.032.5969%0%0.93
UCF Offense1451%44%37.6181.84.833.052.9364%0%0.73

Pass Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Offense1360%37%2139.7235.35.911.21615-.01136%33%.242%1.4
UCF Defense1448%38% - - - - - - 11.021.132%33%.231%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Defense1357%39% - - - - - - 21.031.237%31%.25%1.8
UCF Offense1448%41%18.429.4225.67.712.3287.191.330%38%.363%1.6

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
SMU's 2012 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
SMU:    UCF: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
SMU:    UCF:




UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UCF's 2012 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


SMU Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.6
Defense: 25.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

SMU's 2012 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UCF 31
SMU 25

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
UCF 29
SMU 27

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
UCF 33
SMU 23

Total Points: 56
UCF Scoring
Offense: 35.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.3
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.2

UCF's 2012 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 14
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202210/05UCF41SMU19UCF -3UCF65.0Under
202111/13SMU55UCF28SMU -7SMU61.5Over
201810/06UCF48SMU20UCF -25UCF73.5Under
201711/04SMU24UCF31UCF -14SMU75.0Under
201411/22UCF53SMU7UCF -26.5UCF0
201312/07SMU13UCF17UCF -10SMU0
201211/03UCF42SMU17
201110/15SMU38UCF17
201012/04UCF17SMU7
200810/04UCF31SMU17
200711/17SMU20UCF49
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCF931 Overs
SMU233 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 36 - 04 - 02 - 0
Road Teams3 - 80 - 60 - 20 - 4

(#) SMU at (#) UCF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSMUUCF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCat
SMU OffUCF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCatUCF OffSMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffSMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCatUCF OffSMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UCF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

SMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bright House Networks Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 77°
Rematch from Week 10
()
UCF won vs SMU this year (42-17)

Previous Matchups
UCF beat SMU in 2022 (41-19)

  
SMU's OC ()
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SMU's DC ()
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UCF's OC ()
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UCF's DC ()
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