California at Air Force - 2007 Matchup Preview
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California Golden Bears at Air Force Falcons

Air Force logo
Monday, December 31st 2007 (12:30 PM EST)
California 42 - Air Force: 36  (Mountain West)

 
Golden Bears (7 - 6) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (24 - 30 on Road)
'07 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)

Projected Score: CAL: 27 - AFA: 29 (56)
CAL Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
CAL Travel: 1443 miles, 2 hrs behind
Falcons (9 - 4) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (28 - 28 @ Home)
'07 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
California's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 California vs Tennessee-23.5
Sat 9/8 California at Colorado State+2.5
Sat 9/15 California vs Louisiana Tech-23.5
Sat 9/22 California vs Arizona-23.5
Sat 9/29 California at Oregon+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13 California vs Oregon State-23.5
Sat 10/20 California at UCLA+2.5
Sat 10/27 California at Arizona State+2.5
Sat 11/3 California vs Washington State-23.5
Sat 11/10 California vs USC-23.5
Sat 11/17 California at Washington+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/1 California at Stanford+2.5
Mon 12/31 California at Air Force+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for California's Schedule
Air Force's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Air Force vs South Carolina State-23.5
Sat 9/8 Air Force at Utah+2.5
Thu 9/13 Air Force vs TCU-23.5
Sat 9/22 Air Force at BYU+2.5
Sat 9/29 Air Force at Navy+2.5
Sat 10/6 Air Force vs UNLV-23.5
Sat 10/13 Air Force at Colorado State+2.5
Sat 10/20 Air Force vs Wyoming-23.5
Thu 10/25 Air Force at New Mexico+2.5
Sat 11/3 Air Force vs Army-23.5
Sat 11/10 Air Force at Notre Dame+2.5
Sat 11/17 Air Force vs San Diego State-23.5
Mon 12/31 Air Force vs California-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
Important Stats (2006)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL.1344%25.345%2.9816341%260-0.46.0441%27.237%42%047.71.82.2
AFA.0743%29.843%3.2722937%110-0.31.1752%30.351%51%-0.134.21.21.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
AFA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2006
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Offense1325.323.744.1%-0.461.820416163260548%50%45%41%2%.13
AFA Defense1230.327.851.8%-0.11.7 - - - - - 54%44%51%51%2%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Defense1327.229.640.8%02.2 - - - - - 49%50%37%42%3%.04
AFA Offense1229.827.542.8%-0.311.2203312291104.278%21%43%37%2%.07

Additional Stats 2006
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
California1317:4320.242%54%5.547.71.82.200728.8
Air Force1218:2120.155%55%3.934.21.21.700128.7
Run Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Offense1348%45%32.8162.8521.062.9864%0%0.83
AFA Defense1254%51% - - - - .053.2477%0%0.61
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Defense1349%37% - - - - -.042.6360%0%0.75
AFA Offense1278%43%55229.34.221.093.2780%0%0.76

Pass Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Offense1350%41%18.831.8259.78.213.82514.211.431%38%.472%1.8
AFA Defense1244%51% - - - - - - 9.331.326%41%.392%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Defense1350%42% - - - - - - 21.141.235%36%.233%1.4
AFA Offense1221%37%712.2109.8915.7124.051.528%34%.182%1.3

California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: NR
California's Offense Rating: NR
California's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
California's 2007 Expected Record: -
California's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
California's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
California's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
California:    Air Force: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
California:    Air Force:




Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Air Force's Offense Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Air Force's 2007 Expected Record: -
Air Force's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


California Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.7
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.6

California's 2007 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Air Force 29
California 27


Projected Total Points: 56
Air Force Scoring
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.5
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.8

Air Force's 2007 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201512/29Air Force36California55California -6.5California0
200712/31Air Force36California42
200409/04Air Force14California56
200209/21California21Air Force23
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Air Force100 Overs
California310 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 40 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams4 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0

California Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2007N/A California vs Air Force  W 42 - 36
2006N/A California vs Texas A&M  W 45 - 10
2005N/A California vs BYU  W 35 - 28
2004N/A California vs Texas Tech  L 31 - 45
2003N/A California vs Virginia Tech  W 52 - 49
Air Force Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2007N/A Air Force vs California  L 36 - 42
2002N/A Air Force vs Virginia Tech  L 13 - 20
  
(#) CAL at (#) AFA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCALAFA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
California on Offense
CategoryCat
CAL OffAFA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
California Run Game
CategoryCat
CAL OffAFA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
California Pass Game
CategoryCat
CAL OffAFA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Air Force on Offense
CategoryCatAFA OffCAL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Air Force Run Game
CategoryCat
AFA OffCAL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Air Force Pass Game
CategoryCatAFA OffCAL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
AFA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

CAL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
()
California won at Air Force this year (42-36)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
CAL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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CAL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

AFA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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AFA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD