San Diego State at Air Force - 2011 Matchup Preview
San Diego State logo San Diego State Aztecs at Air Force FalconsAir Force logo
Thursday, October 13th 2011 (8:00 PM EDT)
San Diego State 41 - Air Force: 27  (Mountain West)

 
Aztecs (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 25 (24 - 21 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
AFA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: SDSU: 27 - AFA: 30 (57)
SDSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
SDSU Travel: 809 miles, 1 hrs behind
Falcons (7 - 6) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 28 (33 - 25 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
San Diego State's 2011 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 San Diego State vs Cal Poly-23.5
Sat 9/10 San Diego State at Army+2.5
Sat 9/17 San Diego State vs Washington State-23.5
Sat 9/24 San Diego State at Michigan+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/8 San Diego State vs TCU-23.5
Thu 10/13 San Diego State at Air Force+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 San Diego State vs Wyoming-23.5
Sat 11/5 San Diego State vs New Mexico-23.5
Sat 11/12 San Diego State at Colorado State+2.5
Sat 11/19 San Diego State vs Boise State-23.5
Sat 11/26 San Diego State at UNLV+2.5
Sat 12/3 San Diego State vs Fresno State-23.5
Sat 12/17 San Diego State vs Louisiana+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for San Diego State's Schedule
Air Force's 2011 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Air Force vs South Dakota-23.5
Sat 9/10 Air Force vs TCU-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24 Air Force vs Tennessee State-23.5
Sat 10/1 Air Force at Navy+2.5
Sat 10/8 Air Force at Notre Dame+2.5
Thu 10/13 Air Force vs San Diego State-23.5
Sat 10/22 Air Force at Boise State+2.5
Sat 10/29 Air Force at New Mexico+2.5
Sat 11/5 Air Force vs Army-23.5
Sat 11/12 Air Force vs Wyoming-23.5
Sat 11/19 Air Force vs UNLV-23.5
Sat 11/26 Air Force at Colorado State+2.5
Wed 12/28 Air Force vs Toledo-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
Important Stats (2011)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SDSU.0540%29.841%2.8618438%2500.08.0738%2539%36%041.11.32.2
AFA.1648%34.948%3.231543%145-0.14.147%28.449%43%0.0943.222
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SDSU#108 (.12)37% (120)37% (124)3 (78)12938% (109)2063.44 (107)#103 (.23)46% (113)49% (117)43% (98)4.28 (111)81.80.81
AFA#103 (.13)42% (77)45% (60)3.03 (68)22531% (131)904.02 (56)#88 (.2)42% (68)41% (47)43% (89)3.97 (84)281.31



Overall Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SDSU Offense1329.82439.9%0.081.3224271842504.951%48%41%38%2%.05
AFA Defense1328.425.147.3%0.092 - - - - - 61%38%49%43%3%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SDSU Defense132520.838.4%02.2 - - - - - 55%44%39%36%2%.07
AFA Offense1334.933.147.9%-0.142234553151455.774%25%48%43%2%.16

Additional Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
San Diego State1318:5921.645%39%4.641.11.32.200231.8
Air Force1317:5823.247%81%4.743.22200030.6
Run Game Stats (2011)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SDSU Offense1351%41%37.4184.54.928-.012.8667%0%0.71
AFA Defense1361%49% - - - - .133.3780%0%0.73
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SDSU Defense1355%39% - - - - .012.7273%0%0.85
AFA Offense1374%48%55.6314.85.743.183.274%0%0.89

Pass Game Stats (2011)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SDSU Offense1348%38%18.334.52507.213.7238.121.435%32%.232%1.5
AFA Defense1338%43% - - - - - - 12.08127%34%.263%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SDSU Defense1344%36% - - - - - - 15.151.534%32%.332%1.9
AFA Offense1325%43%9.515.71459.215.3168.151.126%33%.312%1.7

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: NR
San Diego State's Offense Rating: NR
San Diego State's Defense Rating: NR
2011 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
San Diego State's 2011 Expected Record: -
San Diego State's 2011 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
San Diego State:    Air Force: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San Diego State:    Air Force:




Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Air Force's Offense Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense Rating: NR
2011 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Air Force's 2011 Expected Record: -
Air Force's 2011 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

San Diego State's 2011 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Air Force 30
San Diego State 27

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Air Force 32
San Diego State 26

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
Air Force 29
San Diego State 27

Total Points: 56
Air Force Scoring
Offense: 34.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.1
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.1

Air Force's 2011 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30San Diego State20Air Force31Air Force -6.5Air Force43.5Over
202309/30Air Force49San Diego State10Air Force -10.5Air Force43.5Over
202211/26San Diego State3Air Force13Air Force -2Air Force43.5Under
202110/23Air Force14San Diego State20Air Force -3San Diego State38.5Under
201810/12San Diego State21Air Force17San Diego State -11Air Force43.5Under
201709/23Air Force24San Diego State28San Diego State -1.5San Diego State48.0Over
201512/05San Diego State27Air Force24San Diego State -3.5Air Force46.5Over
201411/21San Diego State30Air Force14San Diego State -2San Diego State0
201310/10Air Force20San Diego State27San Diego State -3.5San Diego State0
201211/10San Diego State28Air Force9
201110/13Air Force27San Diego State41
201010/16San Diego State27Air Force25
200909/26Air Force26San Diego State14
200810/11San Diego State10Air Force35
200711/17Air Force55San Diego State23
200610/21San Diego State19Air Force12
200509/10Air Force41San Diego State29
200411/13Air Force31San Diego State37
200311/22San Diego State24Air Force3
200109/29San Diego State21Air Force45
200011/17Air Force45San Diego State24
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Air Force954 Overs
San Diego State1243 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 92 - 72 - 30 - 4
Road Teams9 - 127 - 24 - 03 - 2

(#) SDSU at (#) AFA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSDSUAFA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
San Diego State on Offense
CategoryCat
SDSU OffAFA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
San Diego State Run Game
CategoryCat
SDSU OffAFA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
San Diego State Pass Game
CategoryCat
SDSU OffAFA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Air Force on Offense
CategoryCatAFA OffSDSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Air Force Run Game
CategoryCat
AFA OffSDSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Air Force Pass Game
CategoryCatAFA OffSDSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
AFA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'11 Profile: Remains Poor G5

SDSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'11 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Falcon Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 66°
Rematch from Week 7
()
San Diego State won at Air Force this year (41-27)

Previous Matchups
Air Force beat San Diego State last year (31-20)
Air Force beat San Diego State in 2023 (49-10)
Air Force beat San Diego State in 2022 (13-3)

  
SDSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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SDSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

AFA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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AFA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD