Air Force at Boise State - 2011 Matchup Preview
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Air Force Falcons at Boise State Broncos

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Saturday, October 22nd 2011 (3:30 PM EDT)
Boise State 37 - Air Force: 26  (Mountain West)

 
Falcons (7 - 6) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (32 - 33 on Road)
'11 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BSU is playing their 6th straight game
AFA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: AFA: 27 - BSU: 34 (61)
AFA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
AFA Travel: 669 miles
Broncos (12 - 1) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (41 - 22 @ Home)
'11 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Air Force's 2011 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Air Force vs South Dakota-23.5
Sat 9/10 Air Force vs TCU-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24 Air Force vs Tennessee State-23.5
Sat 10/1 Air Force at Navy+2.5
Sat 10/8 Air Force at Notre Dame+2.5
Thu 10/13 Air Force vs San Diego State-23.5
Sat 10/22 Air Force at Boise State+2.5
Sat 10/29 Air Force at New Mexico+2.5
Sat 11/5 Air Force vs Army-23.5
Sat 11/12 Air Force vs Wyoming-23.5
Sat 11/19 Air Force vs UNLV-23.5
Sat 11/26 Air Force at Colorado State+2.5
Wed 12/28 Air Force vs Toledo-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
Boise State's 2011 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Boise State at Georgia+2.5
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/16 Boise State at Toledo+2.5
Sat 9/24 Boise State vs Tulsa-23.5
Sat 10/1 Boise State vs Nevada-23.5
Fri 10/7 Boise State at Fresno State+2.5
Sat 10/15 Boise State at Colorado State+2.5
Sat 10/22 Boise State vs Air Force-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Boise State at UNLV+2.5
Sat 11/12 Boise State vs TCU-23.5
Sat 11/19 Boise State at San Diego State+2.5
Sat 11/26 Boise State vs Wyoming-23.5
Sat 12/3 Boise State vs New Mexico-23.5
Thu 12/22 Boise State vs Arizona State-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule
Important Stats (2010)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA.1444%29.844%3.3430741%121-0.08.0441%30.342%37%040.51.31.7
BSU.1849%29.944%2.8920052%326-0.12-.0632%24.130%32%-0.4454.71.52.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2010
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Offense1329.832.244.1%-0.081.3224263071215.381%18%44%41%2%.14
BSU Defense1324.122.331.6%-0.442.1 - - - - - 48%51%30%32%4%-.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Defense1330.332.841.3%01.7 - - - - - 61%38%42%37%2%.04
BSU Offense1329.941.349.3%-0.121.5255212003265.444%54%44%52%1%.18

Additional Stats 2010
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Air Force1318:492251%60%4.540.51.31.700130.3
Boise State1318:5725.149%38%5.654.71.52.100433.9
Run Game Stats (2011)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Offense1381%44%57.5306.55.341.123.3474%0%0.84
BSU Defense1348%30% - - - - -.122.265%0%0.89
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Defense1361%42% - - - - .073.1980%0%0.82
BSU Offense1344%44%37.3200.25.434-.012.8968%0%0.62

Pass Game Stats (2011)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Offense1318%41%6.812.9121.29.417.9126.241.626%31%.322%1.7
BSU Defense1351%32% - - - - - - 14.011.341%27%.164%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Defense1338%37% - - - - - - 12.021.332%29%.132%1.3
BSU Offense1354%52%2332.63261014.2386.361.229%43%.371%1.4

Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: NR
Air Force's Offense Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense Rating: NR
2011 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Air Force's 2011 Expected Record: -
Air Force's 2011 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Air Force:    Boise State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Air Force:    Boise State:




Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Boise State's Offense Rating: NR
Boise State's Defense Rating: NR
2011 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Boise State's 2011 Expected Record: -
Boise State's 2011 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Air Force Scoring
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.2
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Air Force's 2011 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Boise State 34
Air Force 27

Projected Total Points: 61
Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.3
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Boise State's 2011 Record
Record: 12 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20Air Force37Boise State49Boise State -10.5Boise State51.5Over
202311/24Boise State27Air Force19Boise State -6.5Boise State44.5Over
202210/22Air Force14Boise State19Air Force -2.5Boise State46.5Under
202110/16Boise State17Air Force24Boise State -3Air Force52.0Under
202010/31Air Force30Boise State49Boise State -10.5Boise State0
201909/20Boise State30Air Force19Boise State -7.5Boise State53.0Under
201810/27Air Force38Boise State48Boise State -10NA58.0Over
201711/18Boise State44Air Force19Boise State -17.5Boise State60.5Over
201611/25Air Force27Boise State20Boise State -9Air Force63.5Under
201511/20Boise State30Air Force37Boise State -14.5Air Force55.0Over
201409/27Air Force28Boise State14Boise State -15Air Force0
201309/13Boise State42Air Force20Boise State -24Air Force0
201110/22Boise State37Air Force26
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Boise State965 Overs
Air Force454 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 65 - 63 - 42 - 2
Road Teams6 - 76 - 52 - 24 - 3

(#) AFA at (#) BSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAFABSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Air Force on Offense
CategoryCat
AFA OffBSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Air Force Run Game
CategoryCat
AFA OffBSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Air Force Pass Game
CategoryCat
AFA OffBSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Boise State on Offense
CategoryCatBSU OffAFA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Boise State Run Game
CategoryCat
BSU OffAFA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Boise State Pass Game
CategoryCatBSU OffAFA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'11 Profile: Remains Poor G5

AFA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'11 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Albertsons Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
()
Boise State won vs Air Force this year (37-26)

Previous Matchups
Boise State beat Air Force last year (49-37)
Boise State beat Air Force in 2023 (27-19)

  
AFA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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AFA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

BSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD