Toledo at Central Michigan - 2011 Matchup Preview
Toledo logo Toledo Rockets at Central Michigan ChippewasCentral Michigan logo
Friday, November 18th 2011 (8:00 PM EST)
Toledo 44 - Central Michigan: 17  (Mid-American)

 
Rockets (9 - 4) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 42 - 32 (34 - 23 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CMU 2nd straight Home Game
CMU is playing their 12th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)

Projected Score: TOL: 37 - CMU: 28 (65)
TOL Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
TOL Travel: 145 miles
Chippewas (3 - 9) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 33 (28 - 34 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Toledo's 2011 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Toledo vs New Hampshire-23.5
Sat 9/10 Toledo at Ohio State+2.5
Fri 9/16 Toledo vs Boise State-23.5
Sat 9/24 Toledo at Syracuse+2.5
Sat 10/1 Toledo at Temple+2.5
Sat 10/8 Toledo vs Eastern Michigan-23.5
Sat 10/15 Toledo at Bowling Green+2.5
Sat 10/22 Toledo vs Miami (OH)-23.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/1 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-23.5
Tue 11/8 Toledo vs Western Michigan-23.5
Fri 11/18 Toledo at Central Michigan+2.5
Fri 11/25 Toledo at Ball State+2.5
Wed 12/28 Toledo vs Air Force+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Central Michigan's 2011 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Central Michigan vs South Carolina State-23.5
Sat 9/10 Central Michigan at Kentucky+2.5
Sat 9/17 Central Michigan at Western Michigan+2.5
Sat 9/24 Central Michigan at Michigan State+2.5
Sat 10/1 Central Michigan vs Northern Illinois-23.5
Sat 10/8 Central Michigan at NC State+2.5
Sat 10/15 Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan-23.5
Sat 10/22 Central Michigan at Ball State+2.5
Sat 10/29 Central Michigan at Akron+2.5
Fri 11/4 Central Michigan at Kent State+2.5
Thu 11/10 Central Michigan vs Ohio-23.5
Fri 11/18 Central Michigan vs Toledo-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Central Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2011)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL.0946%42.244%3.119546%253-0.18.0341%31.739%41%054.41.11.8
CMU.0340%22.636%2.4911641%283-0.2.0743%33.343%41%047.11.90.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL#111 (.11)41% (95)38% (120)2.66 (121)11144% (46)2273.55 (99)#20 (.09)40% (43)42% (60)38% (35)3.87 (79)46.71.31.3
CMU#96 (.15)39% (115)42% (88)3.2 (41)16934% (124)1633.82 (80)#96 (.21)40% (44)41% (48)39% (50)3.6 (45)60.920.4



Overall Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Offense1342.234.245.7%-0.181.122442195253554%44%44%46%2%.09
CMU Defense1233.333.843.1%00.9 - - - - - 53%44%43%41%2%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Defense1331.723.241%01.8 - - - - - 47%52%39%41%1%.03
CMU Offense1222.628.440.3%-0.21.9203901162834.240%58%36%41%3%.03

Additional Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Toledo1317:5421.748%57%6.454.41.11.800334.2
Central Michigan1217:4019.735%40%4.847.11.90.900027.5
Run Game Stats (2011)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Offense1354%44%38.8195.2531.043.176%0%0.76
CMU Defense1253%43% - - - - .042.9669%0%0.75
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Defense1347%39% - - - - -.062.852%0%0.77
CMU Offense1240%36%27.8115.84.27-.072.4965%0%0.77

Pass Game Stats (2011)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Offense1344%46%20.330.2252.68.412.4307.191.130%34%.272%1.5
CMU Defense1244%41% - - - - - - 8.131.230%35%.212%1.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Defense1352%41% - - - - - - 12.121.131%31%.221%1.5
CMU Offense1258%41%21.538.2283.37.413.22518.111.233%30%.163%1.5

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2011 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Toledo's 2011 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2011 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Central Michigan: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Central Michigan:




Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2011 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Central Michigan's 2011 Expected Record: -
Central Michigan's 2011 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Toledo Scoring
Offense: 42.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.2
Defense: 31.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.2

Toledo's 2011 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 37
Central Michigan 28


Total Points: 65

Based on Last 4 Games
Toledo 38
Central Michigan 29

Total Points: 67

Based on Entire Season
Toledo 36
Central Michigan 26

Total Points: 62
Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.4
Defense: 33.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.8

Central Michigan's 2011 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Central Michigan3Toledo21Toledo -11.5Toledo46.5Under
202411/12Toledo37Central Michigan10Toledo -15Toledo52.5Under
202311/24Central Michigan17Toledo32Toledo -12.5Toledo54.5Under
202210/01Toledo38Central Michigan17Toledo -6.5Toledo56.0Under
202110/16Central Michigan26Toledo23Toledo -5Central Michigan53.0Under
202012/12Toledo24Central Michigan23Toledo -10Central Michigan54.5Under
201911/29Central Michigan49Toledo7Central Michigan -14.5Central Michigan64.0Under
201811/23Toledo51Central Michigan13Toledo -19Toledo58.0Over
201710/14Central Michigan10Toledo30Toledo -9.5Toledo55.0Under
201610/22Toledo31Central Michigan17Toledo -10Toledo61.5Under
201511/10Central Michigan23Toledo28Toledo -6Central Michigan54.5Under
201409/27Toledo42Central Michigan28Toledo -15Central Michigan0
201309/21Central Michigan17Toledo38Toledo -14Toledo0
201210/06Toledo50Central Michigan35
201111/18Central Michigan17Toledo44
201011/26Toledo42Central Michigan31
200911/11Central Michigan56Toledo28
200810/25Toledo23Central Michigan24
200709/08Central Michigan52Toledo31
200610/07Toledo20Central Michigan42
200510/29Central Michigan21Toledo17
200410/23Toledo27Central Michigan22
200310/18Central Michigan13Toledo31
200211/09Toledo44Central Michigan17
200109/22Central Michigan28Toledo52
200009/29Toledo41Central Michigan0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Central Michigan751 Overs
Toledo19810 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 107 - 65 - 22 - 4
Road Teams10 - 166 - 74 - 22 - 5

(#) TOL at (#) CMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTOLCMU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCat
TOL OffCMU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffCMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffCMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Central Michigan on Offense
CategoryCatCMU OffTOL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Central Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
CMU OffTOL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Central Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCatCMU OffTOL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
CMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'11 Profile: Remains Poor G5

TOL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'11 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 43° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 12
()
Toledo won at Central Michigan this year (44-17)

Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Central Michigan last year (37-10)
Toledo beat Central Michigan in 2023 (32-17)
Toledo beat Central Michigan in 2022 (38-17)

  
TOL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Toledo's Full Roster

TOL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

CMU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Central Michigan's Full Roster

CMU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD