Sun, Sep 8 2024
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Week 2
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🏟 Arizona Stadium
Tucson, AZ
·
Turf
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56,029 cap
Northern Arizona✈ 207 miSame TZ
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2024 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2023 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
76%
Arizona wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
Arizona -43
O/U 65.0
DraftKings
Northern Arizona 2024 Schedule
Northern Arizona's 2024 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 9/7 | Northern Arizona at Arizona | +43.0L10–22 | 65.0 | L10–22 | U | Y |
Arizona 2024 Schedule
Arizona's 2024 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8/31 | Arizona vs New Mexico | -28.0W61–39 | 60.0 | W61–39 | O | N |
| Sat 9/7 | Arizona vs Northern Arizona | -43.0W22–10 | 65.0 | W22–10 | U | N |
| Fri 9/13 | Arizona at Kansas State | +7.0L7–31 | 58.0 | L7–31 | U | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 9/28 | Arizona at Utah | +7.5W23–10 | 47.0 | W23–10 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/5 | Arizona vs Texas Tech | -6.0L22–28 | 64.0 | L22–28 | U | N |
| Sat 10/12 | Arizona at BYU | +3.0L19–41 | 48.5 | L19–41 | O | N |
| Sat 10/19 | Arizona vs Colorado | -2.5L7–34 | 57.5 | L7–34 | U | N |
| Sat 10/26 | Arizona vs West Virginia | -5.5L26–31 | 51.5 | L26–31 | O | N |
| Sat 11/2 | Arizona at UCF | +6.5L12–56 | 55.0 | L12–56 | O | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Fri 11/15 | Arizona vs Houston | -1.0W27–3 | 46.5 | W27–3 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/23 | Arizona at TCU | +10.5L28–49 | 60.0 | L28–49 | O | N |
| Sat 11/30 | Arizona vs Arizona State | +7.5L7–49 | 52.5 | L7–49 | O | N |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Northern Arizona Edge
Northern Arizona +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2023 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Arizona Edge
Arizona +48.3
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2023 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓