Bethune-Cookman at Miami Week 3 College Football Matchup Bethune-Cookman at Miami Matchup - Week 3
Thu, Sep 14 2023 · Week 3 · 🏟 Hard Rock Stadium Miami Gardens, FL · Turf · 65,326 cap
Bethune-Cookman✈ 228 miSame TZ
7 48
Final
Home
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2023 in-season data is not yet available. Edges are based on 2022 full-season performance. Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
📊 Punt & Rally Projection
Bethune-Cookman
24
Miami
37
P&R Line Miami -13.5
P&R Total O/U 61
Confidence 75 Good
Vegas Miami -54 · O/U 63.5
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
Lean
Game Control
76%
Miami wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
Miami -54
O/U 63.5
William Hill (New Jersey)
🏠 Miami 3rd straight Home Game 🛋 Bethune-Cookman Coming off BYE
Bethune-Cookman 2023 Schedule
Bethune-Cookman's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2Bethune-Cookman at Memphis+49.0L14–5659.5L14–56OY
— Bye Week —
Thu 9/14Bethune-Cookman at Miami+54.0L7–4863.5L7–48UY
Miami 2023 Schedule
Miami's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1Miami vs Miami (OH)-16.5W38–345.0W38–3UY
Sat 9/9Miami vs Texas A&M+3.0W48–3350.5W48–33OY
Thu 9/14Miami vs Bethune-Cookman-54.0W48–763.5W48–7UN
Sat 9/23Miami at Temple-23.0W41–746.5W41–7OY
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/7Miami vs Georgia Tech-19.0L20–2357.0L20–23UN
Sat 10/14Miami at North Carolina+2.5L31–4157.5L31–41ON
Sat 10/21Miami vs Clemson+3.0W28–2048.5W28–20UY
Sat 10/28Miami vs Virginia-18.5W29–2648.0W29–26ON
Sat 11/4Miami at NC State-6.5L6–2044.0L6–20UN
Sat 11/11Miami at Florida State+14.5L20–2750.5L20–27UY
Sat 11/18Miami vs Louisville-1.5L31–3846.5L31–38ON
Fri 11/24Miami at Boston College-13.5W45–2050.5W45–20OY
Thu 12/28Miami vs Rutgers+3.0L24–3141.0L24–31ON
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences Who builds scoring momentum? Bethune-Cookman Edge
Avg sequences created per game
Bethune-Cookman
0.00
Miami #94
0.64
Avg sequences allowed per game (lower is better)
Bethune-Cookman
0.00
Miami #22
0.55
Bethune-Cookman +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2022 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance Who controls games start to finish? Miami Edge
Avg GC score per game (offense)
Bethune-Cookman #142
0.8
Miami #94
37.4
Avg GC score allowed per game (lower is better)
Bethune-Cookman #140
92.5
Miami #100
51.0
Miami +36.6
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2022 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games.

Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set.

Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set.

Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself