Sat, Sep 2 2023
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Week 1
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🏟 Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium
Memphis, TN
·
Turf
·
62,380 cap
Bethune-Cookman✈ 660 mi-1 hr TZ
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2023 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2022 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
76%
Memphis wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
Memphis -49
O/U 59.5
William Hill (New Jersey)
Bethune-Cookman 2023 Schedule
Bethune-Cookman's 2023 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 9/2 | Bethune-Cookman at Memphis | +49.0L14–56 | 59.5 | L14–56 | O | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Thu 9/14 | Bethune-Cookman at Miami | +54.0L7–48 | 63.5 | L7–48 | U | Y |
Memphis 2023 Schedule
Memphis's 2023 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 9/2 | Memphis vs Bethune-Cookman | -49.0W56–14 | 59.5 | W56–14 | O | N |
| Sat 9/9 | Memphis at Arkansas State | -21.0W37–3 | 57.0 | W37–3 | U | Y |
| Thu 9/14 | Memphis vs Navy | -12.5W28–24 | 47.0 | W28–24 | O | N |
| Sat 9/23 | Memphis vs Missouri | +6.5L27–34 | 52.0 | L27–34 | O | N |
| Sat 9/30 | Memphis vs Boise State | -3.0W35–32 | 58.0 | W35–32 | O | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Fri 10/13 | Memphis vs Tulane | +4.5L21–31 | 54.5 | L21–31 | U | N |
| Sat 10/21 | Memphis at UAB | -7.5W45–21 | 61.5 | W45–21 | O | Y |
| Sat 10/28 | Memphis at North Texas | -6.5W45–42 | 70.0 | W45–42 | O | N |
| Sat 11/4 | Memphis vs South Florida | -13.5W59–50 | 68.5 | W59–50 | O | N |
| Sat 11/11 | Memphis at Charlotte | -9.5W44–38 | 51.5 | W44–38 | O | N |
| Sat 11/18 | Memphis vs SMU | +9.5L34–38 | 64.5 | L34–38 | O | Y |
| Fri 11/24 | Memphis at Temple | -13.5W45–21 | 63.5 | W45–21 | O | Y |
| Fri 12/29 | Memphis at Iowa State | +10.5W36–26 | 58.0 | W36–26 | O | Y |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Bethune-Cookman Edge
Bethune-Cookman +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2022 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Memphis Edge
Memphis +56.9
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2022 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓