Sat, Nov 4 2023
·
Week 10
·
🏟 Bowers Stadium
Huntsville, TX
·
Turf
·
14,000 cap
Kennesaw State✈ 679 mi-1 hr TZ
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2023 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2022 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
58.3%
Kennesaw State wins
Lean
Vegas Spread
Sam Houston State -16.5
O/U 41.5
ESPN Bet
Kennesaw State 2023 Schedule
Kennesaw State's 2023 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 11/4 | Kennesaw State at Sam Houston | +16.5L21–24 | 41.5 | L21–24 | O | Y |
Sam Houston 2023 Schedule
Sam Houston's 2023 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 9/2 | Sam Houston at BYU | +19.0L0–14 | 46.5 | L0–14 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/9 | Sam Houston vs Air Force | +13.5L3–13 | 36.5 | L3–13 | U | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 9/23 | Sam Houston at Houston | +11.5L7–38 | 37.0 | L7–38 | O | N |
| Thu 9/28 | Sam Houston vs Jacksonville State | +6.5L28–35 | 36.5 | L28–35 | O | N |
| Thu 10/5 | Sam Houston at Liberty | +21.0L16–21 | 46.5 | L16–21 | U | Y |
| Wed 10/11 | Sam Houston at New Mexico State | +4.5L13–27 | 43.0 | L13–27 | U | N |
| Wed 10/18 | Sam Houston vs Florida International | -6.0L27–33 | 42.0 | L27–33 | O | N |
| Wed 10/25 | Sam Houston vs UTEP | -4.0L34–37 | 38.5 | L34–37 | O | N |
| Sat 11/4 | Sam Houston vs Kennesaw State | -16.5W24–21 | 41.5 | W24–21 | O | N |
| Sat 11/11 | Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech | +8.5W42–27 | 49.5 | W42–27 | O | Y |
| Sat 11/18 | Sam Houston at Western Kentucky | +12.5L23–28 | 52.0 | L23–28 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/25 | Sam Houston vs Middle Tennessee | +3.5W23–20 | 49.5 | W23–20 | U | Y |
Power Ratings
Team Power Ratings
Overall · Offense · Defense ratings · Updated as season progresses
Power ratings updated throughout the season as results accumulate
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Kennesaw State +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2022 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Kennesaw State Edge
Kennesaw State +5.7
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.3% of games historically
Based on 2022 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: CSS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: GS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: CSS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: GS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓