Sat, Sep 6 2025
·
Week 2
·
🏟 FAU Stadium
Boca Raton, FL
·
Turf
·
30,000 cap
Florida A&M✈ 378 miSame TZ
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2025 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2024 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
76%
Florida Atlantic wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
Florida Atlantic -21.0
O/U 51.0
Bovada
Florida A&M 2025 Schedule
Florida A&M's 2025 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 9/6 | Florida A&M at Florida Atlantic | +21.0L14–56 | 51.0 | L14–56 | O | N |
Florida Atlantic 2025 Schedule
Florida Atlantic's 2025 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8/30 | Florida Atlantic at Maryland | +16.5L7–39 | 57.5 | L7–39 | U | N |
| Sat 9/6 | Florida Atlantic vs Florida A&M | -21.0W56–14 | 51.0 | W56–14 | O | Y |
| Sat 9/13 | Florida Atlantic at Florida International | +2.0L28–38 | 56.5 | L28–38 | O | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 9/27 | Florida Atlantic vs Memphis | +14.0L26–55 | 62.5 | L26–55 | O | N |
| Sat 10/4 | Florida Atlantic at Rice | +4.5W27–21 | 54.5 | W27–21 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/11 | Florida Atlantic vs UAB | -4.5W53–33 | 66.5 | W53–33 | O | Y |
| Sat 10/18 | Florida Atlantic at South Florida | +20.5L13–48 | 72.5 | L13–48 | U | N |
| Sat 10/25 | Florida Atlantic at Navy | +14.5L32–42 | 63.5 | L32–42 | O | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 11/8 | Florida Atlantic vs Tulsa | -4.5W40–21 | 60.5 | W40–21 | O | Y |
| Sat 11/15 | Florida Atlantic at Tulane | +16.5L24–35 | 60.5 | L24–35 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/22 | Florida Atlantic vs UConn | +6.0L45–48 | 64.0 | L45–48 | O | Y |
| Sat 11/29 | Florida Atlantic vs East Carolina | +6.5L3–42 | 66.5 | L3–42 | U | N |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Florida A&M Edge
Florida A&M +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2024 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Florida Atlantic Edge
Florida Atlantic +30.2
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2024 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓