South Alabama at Southern Miss - 2020 Matchup Preview

South Alabama Jaguars at Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Thursday, September 3rd 2020 (9:00 PM EDT)
Southern Mississippi -12.5 (55.0)
South Alabama 32 - Southern Miss: 21

Jaguars (4 - 7) (5 - 4 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 20 - 27 (21 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -6.5 (SP+ USM -8)
Projected Score: USA: 23 - USM: 27 (50)
USM Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
USA Travel: 88 miles

Golden Eagles (3 - 7) (4 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 32 (24 - 32 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USA Players
USM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

South Alabama's 2020 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/3	South Alabama at Southern Miss	+12.5	55.0	W 32 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/12	South Alabama vs Tulane	+11.5	51.5	L 24 - 27	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 9/24	South Alabama vs UAB	+7.5	48.0	L 10 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17	South Alabama vs Texas State	-4.5	57.5	W 30 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/24	South Alabama vs UL Monroe	-14.5	56.5	W 38 - 14	U	Y
Thu 10/29	South Alabama at Georgia Southern	+7.0
Sat 11/7	South Alabama at Coastal Carolina	+17.0	56.5	L 6 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/14	South Alabama at Louisiana	+14.0	53.0	L 10 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/21	South Alabama vs Georgia State	+3.5	58.5	L 14 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/28	South Alabama at Arkansas State	+7.0	63.5	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 12/5	South Alabama vs Troy	+4.5	53.5	L 0 - 29	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule

Southern Miss's 2020 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/3	Southern Miss vs South Alabama	-12.5	55.0	L 21 - 32	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19	Southern Miss vs Louisiana Tech	-7.0	59.0	L 30 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/26	Southern Miss vs Tulane	+3.5	54.5	L 24 - 66	O	N
Sat 10/3	Southern Miss at North Texas	+1.0	74.0	W 41 - 31	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24	Southern Miss at Liberty	+14.0	59.5	L 35 - 56	O	N
Sat 10/31	Southern Miss vs Rice	-3.0
Sat 11/7	Southern Miss vs North Alabama	-17.5	51.5	W 24 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/14	Southern Miss at Western Kentucky	+8.0	45.0	L 7 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/21	Southern Miss vs UTSA	+9.5	52.5	L 20 - 23	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 12/10	Southern Miss vs Florida Atlantic	+9.0	43.0	W 45 - 31	O	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USA	.11	38%	19.9	39%	2.49	113	38%	247	2.75	.22	47%	27.3	44%	50%	3.55	34.9	1.4	1.2
USM	.17	41%	25.3	43%	2.95	160	40%	211	3.46	.23	45%	32.3	46%	44%	3.68	36.7	1.6	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USA	#5 (.34)	50% (9)		53% (4)	3.57 (6)	199	47% (18)	243	4.66 (13)	#58 (.15)	41% (58)		39% (28)	43% (96)	3.66 (56)	70.8	0.9	1.5
USM	#132 ()	35% (130)		40% (108)	2.59 (126)	109	30% (133)	175	2.75 (133)	#125 (.3)	44% (97)		45% (89)	43% (93)	4.17 (104)	48.3	2.4	0.8

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USA Offense	11	19.9	20.6	38.3%	2.75	1.4	20	360	113	247	3	50%	50%	39%	38%	20%	.11
USM Defense	10	32.3	32.3	44.9%	3.68	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	46%	44%	14%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USA Defense	11	27.3	27.4	46.5%	3.55	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	44%	50%	14%	.22
USM Offense	10	25.3	24.3	41.2%	3.46	1.6	19	371	160	211	4.4	54%	46%	43%	40%	17%	.17

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
South Alabama	11	30:24	19.8	40%	47%	3.8	34.9	1.4	1.2	4.1	1.1	1	27.5
Southern Miss	10	28:36	18.7	42%	35%	4.4	36.7	1.6	1.2	4.9	1.5	1	28.7

Run Game Stats (2020)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USA Offense	11	50%	39%	38.1	112.5	3	7	-.02	2.49	75%	14%	0.85
USM Defense	10	54%	46%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.06	73%	9%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USA Defense	11	54%	44%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.89	56%	8%	0.89
USM Offense	10	54%	43%	36.7	159.5	4.4	18	.15	2.95	65%	13%	1.1

Pass Game Stats (2020)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USA Offense	11	50%	38%	19.8	31.8	247.1	7.8	12.5	18	6	.25	1.9	37%	28%	.33	6%	2.3
USM Defense	10	46%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.32	1.7	31%	36%	.43	5%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USA Defense	11	46%	50%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.38	1.6	28%	34%	.3	6%	2
USM Offense	10	46%	40%	16.9	27.2	211.3	7.8	12.5	12	9	.21	1.7	34%	34%	.26	4%	1.8

South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: NR
South Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
South Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating: #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Alabama's 2020 Expected Record: -
South Alabama's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.1 #117
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #110
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.3 #112

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: Southern Miss: -1.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: -16.1 Southern Miss: -7.9

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -1.45 NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating: #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Southern Miss's 2020 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.9 #98
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #97
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #95

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 19.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.6
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.4

South Alabama's 2020 Record
Record: 4 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 2
Over/Under Record: 2 - 9
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 1 - 2
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 2
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Southern Miss 27
South Alabama 23

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Southern Miss 27
South Alabama 21

Total Points: 48

Based on Entire Season
South Alabama 26
Southern Miss 26

Total Points: 52

Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.3
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.3

Southern Miss's 2020 Record
Record: 3 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/22	South Alabama	42	Southern Miss	35	Southern Miss -2.5	South Alabama	53.0	Over
2024	11/23	Southern Miss	14	South Alabama	35	South Alabama -24	Southern Miss	54.0	Under
2023	10/17	South Alabama	55	Southern Miss	3	South Alabama -18.5	South Alabama	51.0	Over
2022	11/19	Southern Miss	20	South Alabama	27	South Alabama -7.5	Southern Miss	45.0	Over
2021	09/04	South Alabama	31	Southern Miss	7	South Alabama -2	South Alabama	56.5	Under
2020	09/03	Southern Miss	21	South Alabama	32	Southern Mississippi -12.5	South Alabama	55.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Southern Miss	0	2	3 Overs
South Alabama	6	4	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 3	5 - 1	2 - 1	3 - 0
Road Teams	3 - 3	1 - 5	0 - 3	1 - 2

(#) USA at (#) USM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USA	USM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#117	#98
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#117	#91
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

South Alabama Injury Report

Southern Miss Injury Report

South Alabama on Offense


CategoryCat	USA Off	USM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#110	#95
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

South Alabama Run Game


CategoryCat	USA Off	USM Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

South Alabama Pass Game


CategoryCat	USA Off	USM Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Southern Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	USM Off	USA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#97	#112
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Southern Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	USA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Southern Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	USA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
USM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'20 Profile: Remains Average G5

USA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'20 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 80°

Rematch from Week 1
Southern Miss -12.5 (55.0)
South Alabama won at Southern Miss this year (32-21)

Previous Matchups
South Alabama beat Southern Miss last year (35-14)
South Alabama beat Southern Miss in 2023 (55-3)
South Alabama beat Southern Miss in 2022 (27-20)

USA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View South Alabama's Full Roster

USA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

USM's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD