South Florida at Houston - 2020 Matchup Preview
South Florida logo   South Florida Bulls at Houston Cougars  Houston logo
Saturday, November 14th 2020 (3:30 PM EST)
Houston -15 (58.5)
Houston 56 - South Florida: 21  (American Athletic)

 
Bulls (1 - 8) (5 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 41 - 23 (35 - 32 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USF 2nd straight Road Game
HOU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -9.5  (SP+ HOU -14)

Projected Score: USF: 31 - HOU: 28 (59)
HOU Win prob: 85% | Cover: 46%
USF Travel: 786 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Cougars (3 - 5) (3 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 23 (26 - 24 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
South Florida's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 South Florida vs The Citadel-17.552.5W 27 - 6UY
Sat 9/19 South Florida at Notre Dame+23.549.5L 0 - 52ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 South Florida at Cincinnati+22.044.5L 7 - 28UY
Sat 10/10 South Florida vs East Carolina-5.558.5L 24 - 44ON
Sat 10/17 South Florida at Temple+14.053.0L 37 - 39OY
Fri 10/23 South Florida vs Tulsa+11.551.5L 13 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 South Florida at Memphis+17.567.0L 33 - 34UY
Sat 11/14 South Florida at Houston+15.058.5L 21 - 56ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/27 South Florida vs UCF+26.070.5L 46 - 58OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
Houston's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/8 Houston vs Tulane-6.058.0W 49 - 31OY
Fri 10/16 Houston vs BYU+3.062.0L 26 - 43ON
Sat 10/24 Houston at Navy-14.556.0W 37 - 21OY
Sat 10/31 Houston vs UCF+3.081.0L 21 - 44UN
Sat 11/7 Houston at Cincinnati+12.551.5L 10 - 38UN
Sat 11/14 Houston vs South Florida-15.058.5W 56 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/5 Houston at SMU-2.068.0
Sat 12/12 Houston at Memphis-7.563.5L 27 - 30UN
Thu 12/24 Houston vs Hawai'i-7.060.5L 14 - 28UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Houston's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF.1139%40.546%3.0816131%1703.55.1546%23.449%40%3.2871.21.62.7
HOU.1642%29.144%3.0618837%2033.43.2945%22.843%46%448.31.81.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
HOU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Offense1240.53539.3%3.551.6173311611704.452%47%46%31%23%.11
HOU Defense1222.824.245.3%41.4 - - - - - 47%51%43%46%20%.29
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Defense1223.432.345.9%3.282.7 - - - - - 58%41%49%40%24%.15
HOU Offense1229.125.742.4%3.431.8193921882034.954%43%44%37%23%.16

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Florida1227:5016.740%41%8.471.21.62.712.82.5029.2
Houston1230:5719.335%71%4.848.31.81.46.71.8530.1
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Offense1252%46%37.1161.34.415.163.0885%17%0.95
HOU Defense1247%43% - - - - .172.761%11%1.17
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Defense1258%49% - - - - .113.0872%19%0.94
HOU Offense1254%44%38.8188.24.920.183.0662%16%1.04

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Offense1247%31%14.827.3169.66.211.51810.071.734%29%.265%2.1
HOU Defense1251%46% - - - - - - 8.41.733%38%.559%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Defense1241%40% - - - - - - 12.211.629%33%.295%1.9
HOU Offense1243%37%14.726.2203.37.813.91912.171.935%32%.248%1.9

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Florida's 2020 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.4  #107
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6  #115
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8  #89

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida:    Houston: 3.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida: -11.4   Houston: 2.1




Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: 3.55 NR
Houston's Offense Rating: NR
Houston's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Houston's 2020 Expected Record: -
Houston's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.1  #59
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5  #59
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6  #67

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


South Florida Scoring
Offense: 40.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.3

South Florida's 2020 Record
Record: 1 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 3
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
South Florida 31
Houston 28


Projected Total Points: 59
Houston Scoring
Offense: 29.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Houston's 2020 Record
Record: 3 - 5
Record vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 4
Record at home: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202210/29Houston42South Florida27Houston -17South Florida59.0Over
202111/06South Florida42Houston54Houston -13.5South Florida53.0Over
202011/14Houston56South Florida21Houston -15Houston58.5Over
201810/27Houston57South Florida36Houston -10Houston76.0Over
201710/28South Florida24Houston28South Florida -10Houston55.0Under
201411/01South Florida3Houston27Houston -10Houston0
201310/31Houston35South Florida23Houston -10.5Houston0
200111/03South Florida45Houston6
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Houston754 Overs
South Florida121 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 34 - 33 - 21 - 1
Road Teams3 - 53 - 41 - 12 - 3

(#) USF at (#) HOU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSFHOU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #107 #59
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #70 #53
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
South Florida on Offense
CategoryCat
USF OffHOU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #115 #67
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
USF OffHOU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
South Florida Pass Game
CategoryCat
USF OffHOU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Houston on Offense
CategoryCatHOU OffUSF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #59 #89
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Houston Run Game
CategoryCat
HOU OffUSF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Houston Pass Game
CategoryCatHOU OffUSF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
HOU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'20 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

USF 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'20 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in O'Quinn Field at TDECU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 11
Houston -15.0 (58.5)
Houston won vs South Florida this year (56-21)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
USF's OC ()
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HOU's OC ()
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HOU's DC ()
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