UTSA at Southern Miss - 2020 Matchup Preview
UTSA logo   UTSA Roadrunners at Southern Miss Golden Eagles  Southern Miss logo
Saturday, November 21st 2020 (3:00 PM EST)
UT San Antonio -9.5 (52.5)
UTSA 23 - Southern Miss: 20  (Conference USA)

 
Roadrunners (7 - 5) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 36 - 29 (22 - 34 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USM is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2  (SP+ UTSA -1.5)
Projected Score: UTSA: 28 - USM: 31 (59)
UTSA Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
UTSA Travel: 561 miles
Golden Eagles (3 - 7) (4 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (31 - 27 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UTSA's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 UTSA at Texas State+6.056.5W 51 - 48OY
Sat 9/19 UTSA vs Stephen F. Austin-18.054.5W 24 - 10UN
Fri 9/25 UTSA vs Middle Tennessee-6.059.0W 37 - 35ON
Sat 10/3 UTSA at UAB+21.555.5L 13 - 21UY
Sat 10/10 UTSA at BYU+34.063.5L 20 - 27UY
Sat 10/17 UTSA vs Army+8.547.0L 16 - 28UN
Sat 10/24 UTSA vs Louisiana Tech+2.552.5W 27 - 26OY
Sat 10/31 UTSA at Florida Atlantic+4.547.0L 3 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 UTSA vs UTEP-5.545.0W 52 - 21OY
Sat 11/21 UTSA at Southern Miss-9.552.5W 23 - 20UN
Sat 11/28 UTSA vs North Texas-1.567.0W 49 - 17UY
Sat 12/26 UTSA vs Louisiana+14.054.5L 24 - 31OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule
Southern Miss's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/3 Southern Miss vs South Alabama-12.555.0L 21 - 32UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Southern Miss vs Louisiana Tech-7.059.0L 30 - 31ON
Sat 9/26 Southern Miss vs Tulane+3.554.5L 24 - 66ON
Sat 10/3 Southern Miss at North Texas+1.074.0W 41 - 31UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Southern Miss at Liberty+14.059.5L 35 - 56ON
Sat 10/31 Southern Miss vs Rice-3.0
Sat 11/7 Southern Miss vs North Alabama-17.551.5W 24 - 13UN
Sat 11/14 Southern Miss at Western Kentucky+8.045.0L 7 - 10UY
Sat 11/21 Southern Miss vs UTSA+9.552.5L 20 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 12/10 Southern Miss vs Florida Atlantic+9.043.0W 45 - 31OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA.139%35.539%2.8616337%1823.13.2146%28.843%47%3.7269.11.91.9
USM.1540%28.834%2.3911744%2903.1640%27.439%40%3.3855.121.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Offense1235.521.738.8%3.131.9183451631824.352%47%39%37%23%.1
USM Defense1327.427.339.8%3.381.3 - - - - - 48%51%39%40%21%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Defense1228.833.746.3%3.721.9 - - - - - 52%46%43%47%22%.21
USM Offense1328.830.940.3%32194071172903.545%52%34%44%22%.15

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UTSA1229:191836%55%7.469.11.91.99.82.8226.1
Southern Miss1331:2118.939%47%6.255.121.38.54.2527.2
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Offense1252%39%37.7162.54.315.132.8674%15%1.1
USM Defense1348%39% - - - - .022.8676%15%0.87
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Defense1252%43% - - - - .12.7764%17%1.09
USM Offense1345%34%33.4117.53.517-.072.3962%14%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Offense1247%37%17.830.5182.4610.31311.081.434%29%.157%1.6
USM Defense1351%40% - - - - - - 10.291.936%30%.26%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Defense1246%47% - - - - - - 6.361.633%34%.195%1.6
USM Offense1352%44%22.433.7289.58.612.92017.361.835%35%.417%2.1

UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: NR
UTSA's Offense Rating: NR
UTSA's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UTSA's 2020 Expected Record: -
UTSA's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.5  #93
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4  #94
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.3  #96

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UTSA:    Southern Miss: -1.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTSA: -6.5   Southern Miss: -7.9




Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -1.45 NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Southern Miss's 2020 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.9  #98
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2  #97
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1  #95

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UTSA Scoring
Offense: 35.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.7

UTSA's 2020 Record
Record: 7 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Southern Miss 31
UTSA 28

Projected Total Points: 59
Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.9
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Southern Miss's 2020 Record
Record: 3 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202111/13UTSA27Southern Miss17UT San Antonio -32.5Southern Miss54.0Under
202011/21Southern Miss20UTSA23UT San Antonio -9.5Southern Miss52.5Under
201911/16UTSA17Southern Miss36Southern Mississippi -17Southern Miss55.5Under
201810/20Southern Miss27UTSA17Southern Mississippi -16UTSA44.0Push
201710/07UTSA29Southern Miss31UT San Antonio -10.5Southern Miss50.0Over
201610/08UTSA55Southern Miss32Southern Mississippi -14.5UTSA53.0Over
201510/17Southern Miss32UTSA10Southern Mississippi -7.5Southern Miss56.5Under
201411/13UTSA12Southern Miss10UT San Antonio -11.5Southern Miss0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Southern Miss462 Overs
UTSA424 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 33 - 51 - 42 - 1
Road Teams3 - 55 - 31 - 24 - 1

(#) UTSA at (#) USM
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUTSAUSM
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #93 #98
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #82 #91
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UTSA on Offense
CategoryCat
UTSA OffUSM Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #94 #95
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UTSA Run Game
CategoryCat
UTSA OffUSM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UTSA Pass Game
CategoryCat
UTSA OffUSM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Southern Miss on Offense
CategoryCatUSM OffUTSA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #97 #96
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Southern Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
USM OffUTSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Southern Miss Pass Game
CategoryCatUSM OffUTSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'20 Profile: Remains Average G5

UTSA 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'20 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
UTSA 9.5 (52.5)
UTSA won at Southern Miss this year (23-20)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UTSA's OC ()
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USM's OC ()
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