UTSA at Southern Miss - 2020 Matchup Preview
UTSA logo UTSA Roadrunners at Southern Miss Golden EaglesSouthern Miss logo
Saturday, November 21st 2020 (3:00 PM EST)
UT San Antonio -9.5 (52.5)
UTSA 23 - Southern Miss: 20  (Conference USA)

 
Roadrunners (7 - 5) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 26 (22 - 28 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USM is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2  (SP+ UTSA -1.5)

Projected Score: UTSA: 24 - USM: 23 (47)
UTSA Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
UTSA Travel: 561 miles
Golden Eagles (3 - 7) (4 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 32 (24 - 32 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UTSA's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 UTSA at Texas State+6.056.5W 51 - 48OY
Sat 9/19 UTSA vs Stephen F. Austin-18.054.5W 24 - 10UN
Fri 9/25 UTSA vs Middle Tennessee-6.059.0W 37 - 35ON
Sat 10/3 UTSA at UAB+21.555.5L 13 - 21UY
Sat 10/10 UTSA at BYU+34.063.5L 20 - 27UY
Sat 10/17 UTSA vs Army+8.547.0L 16 - 28UN
Sat 10/24 UTSA vs Louisiana Tech+2.552.5W 27 - 26OY
Sat 10/31 UTSA at Florida Atlantic+4.547.0L 3 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 UTSA vs UTEP-5.545.0W 52 - 21OY
Sat 11/21 UTSA at Southern Miss-9.552.5W 23 - 20UN
Sat 11/28 UTSA vs North Texas-1.567.0W 49 - 17UY
Sat 12/26 UTSA vs Louisiana+14.054.5L 24 - 31OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule
Southern Miss's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/3 Southern Miss vs South Alabama-12.555.0L 21 - 32UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Southern Miss vs Louisiana Tech-7.059.0L 30 - 31ON
Sat 9/26 Southern Miss vs Tulane+3.554.5L 24 - 66ON
Sat 10/3 Southern Miss at North Texas+1.074.0W 41 - 31UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Southern Miss at Liberty+14.059.5L 35 - 56ON
Sat 10/31 Southern Miss vs Rice-3.0
Sat 11/7 Southern Miss vs North Alabama-17.551.5W 24 - 13UN
Sat 11/14 Southern Miss at Western Kentucky+8.045.0L 7 - 10UY
Sat 11/21 Southern Miss vs UTSA+9.552.5L 20 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 12/10 Southern Miss vs Florida Atlantic+9.043.0W 45 - 31OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA.1540%28.339%3.0521541%2003.7.1641%25.744%38%3.5766.911.6
USM.1741%25.343%2.9516040%2113.46.2345%32.346%44%3.6836.71.61.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA#61 (.2)40% (100)37% (123)3.03 (70)16943% (61)2833.63 (94)#42 (.13)34% (2)32% (1)36% (16)3.78 (66)81.11.71.6
USM#132 ()35% (130)40% (108)2.59 (126)10930% (133)1752.75 (133)#125 (.3)44% (97)45% (89)43% (93)4.17 (104)48.32.40.8



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Offense1228.32239.7%3.71224152152005.254%46%39%41%14%.15
USM Defense1032.332.344.9%3.681.2 - - - - - 54%46%46%44%14%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Defense1225.72841.2%3.571.6 - - - - - 53%47%44%38%18%.16
USM Offense1025.324.341.2%3.461.6193711602114.454%46%43%40%17%.17

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UTSA1229:3221.844%53%766.911.67.12.1129.2
Southern Miss1028:3618.742%35%4.436.71.61.24.91.5128.7
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Offense1254%39%41.3215.45.224.153.0571%9%1.17
USM Defense1054%46% - - - - .163.0673%9%0.96
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Defense1253%44% - - - - .112.8881%13%0.96
USM Offense1054%43%36.7159.54.418.152.9565%13%1.1

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Offense1246%41%18.530.8199.96.510.8168.161.631%31%.255%2.1
USM Defense1046%44% - - - - - - 6.321.731%36%.435%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Defense1247%38% - - - - - - 11.211.733%34%.295%1.7
USM Offense1046%40%16.927.2211.37.812.5129.211.734%34%.264%1.8

UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: NR
UTSA's Offense Rating: NR
UTSA's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UTSA's 2020 Expected Record: -
UTSA's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.5  #93
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4  #94
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.3  #96

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
UTSA:    Southern Miss: -1.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTSA: -6.5   Southern Miss: -7.9




Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -1.45 NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Southern Miss's 2020 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.9  #98
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2  #97
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1  #95

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


UTSA Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 22
Defense: 25.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 28

UTSA's 2020 Record
Record: 7 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
UTSA 24
Southern Miss 23


Total Points: 47

Based on Last 4 Games
Southern Miss 20
UTSA 19

Total Points: 40

Based on Entire Season
UTSA 29
Southern Miss 26

Total Points: 55
Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.3
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.3

Southern Miss's 2020 Record
Record: 3 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202111/13UTSA27Southern Miss17UT San Antonio -32.5Southern Miss54.0Under
202011/21Southern Miss20UTSA23UT San Antonio -9.5Southern Miss52.5Under
201911/16UTSA17Southern Miss36Southern Mississippi -17Southern Miss55.5Under
201810/20Southern Miss27UTSA17Southern Mississippi -16UTSA44.0Push
201710/07UTSA29Southern Miss31UT San Antonio -10.5Southern Miss50.0Over
201610/08UTSA55Southern Miss32Southern Mississippi -14.5UTSA53.0Over
201510/17Southern Miss32UTSA10Southern Mississippi -7.5Southern Miss56.5Under
201411/13UTSA12Southern Miss10UT San Antonio -11.5Southern Miss0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Southern Miss462 Overs
UTSA424 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 33 - 51 - 42 - 1
Road Teams3 - 55 - 31 - 24 - 1

(#) UTSA at (#) USM
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUTSAUSM
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #93 #98
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #82 #91
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UTSA on Offense
CategoryCat
UTSA OffUSM Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #94 #95
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UTSA Run Game
CategoryCat
UTSA OffUSM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UTSA Pass Game
CategoryCat
UTSA OffUSM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Southern Miss on Offense
CategoryCatUSM OffUTSA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #97 #96
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Southern Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
USM OffUTSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Southern Miss Pass Game
CategoryCatUSM OffUTSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'20 Profile: Remains Average G5

UTSA 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'20 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 73°
Rematch from Week 12
UTSA 9.5 (52.5)
UTSA won at Southern Miss this year (23-20)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UTSA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UTSA's Full Roster

UTSA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

USM's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD