Florida Atlantic at Southern Miss - 2020 Matchup Preview

Florida Atlantic Owls at Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Thursday, December 10th 2020 (6:30 PM EST)
Florida Atlantic -9 (43.0)
Southern Miss 45 - Florida Atlantic: 31 (Conference USA)

Owls (5 - 4) (3 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 36 (22 - 37 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FAU 2nd straight Road Game
USM coming off BYE
Our Line: -2 (SP+ FAU -1)
Projected Score: FAU: 27 - USM: 34 (61)
FAU Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
FAU Travel: 655 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Golden Eagles (3 - 7) (4 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (31 - 27 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FAU Players
USM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida Atlantic's 2020 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3	Florida Atlantic vs Charlotte	-5.0	63.0	W 21 - 17	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24	Florida Atlantic at Marshall	+20.0	50.5	L 9 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/31	Florida Atlantic vs UTSA	-4.5	47.0	W 24 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/7	Florida Atlantic vs Western Kentucky	-6.5	38.5	W 10 - 6	U	N
Fri 11/13	Florida Atlantic at Florida International	-9.5	42.0	W 38 - 19	O	Y
Fri 11/20	Florida Atlantic vs Massachusetts	-33.5	50.5	W 24 - 2	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 12/5	Florida Atlantic at Georgia Southern	-2.5	40.5	L 3 - 20	U	N
Thu 12/10	Florida Atlantic at Southern Miss	-9.0	43.0	L 31 - 45	O	N
Wed 12/23	Florida Atlantic vs Memphis	+9.0	52.5	L 10 - 25	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule

Southern Miss's 2020 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/3	Southern Miss vs South Alabama	-12.5	55.0	L 21 - 32	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19	Southern Miss vs Louisiana Tech	-7.0	59.0	L 30 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/26	Southern Miss vs Tulane	+3.5	54.5	L 24 - 66	O	N
Sat 10/3	Southern Miss at North Texas	+1.0	74.0	W 41 - 31	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24	Southern Miss at Liberty	+14.0	59.5	L 35 - 56	O	N
Sat 10/31	Southern Miss vs Rice	-3.0
Sat 11/7	Southern Miss vs North Alabama	-17.5	51.5	W 24 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/14	Southern Miss at Western Kentucky	+8.0	45.0	L 7 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/21	Southern Miss vs UTSA	+9.5	52.5	L 20 - 23	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 12/10	Southern Miss vs Florida Atlantic	+9.0	43.0	W 45 - 31	O	Y

Important Stats (2019)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FAU	.21	42%	29.5	39%	2.68	166	44%	280	3.98	.1	38%	36.3	36%	37%	3	60.9	0.9	2.7
USM	.15	40%	28.8	34%	2.39	117	44%	290	3	.16	40%	27.4	39%	40%	3.38	55.1	2	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FAU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2019

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FAU Offense	14	29.5	21.8	42.3%	3.98	0.9	24	446	166	280	4.2	48%	50%	39%	44%	18%	.21
USM Defense	13	27.4	27.3	39.8%	3.38	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	39%	40%	21%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FAU Defense	14	36.3	37.2	37.6%	3	2.7	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	36%	37%	21%	.1
USM Offense	13	28.8	30.9	40.3%	3	2	19	407	117	290	3.5	45%	52%	34%	44%	22%	.15

Additional Stats 2019

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida Atlantic	14	28:29	23.5	40%	59%	6.8	60.9	0.9	2.7	9	3.4	1	31.8
Southern Miss	13	31:21	18.9	39%	47%	6.2	55.1	2	1.3	8.5	4.2	5	27.2

Run Game Stats (2020)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FAU Offense	14	48%	39%	39.4	166.1	4.2	32	.09	2.68	71%	12%	1.09
USM Defense	13	48%	39%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.86	76%	15%	0.87

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FAU Defense	14	47%	36%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.48	67%	15%	0.99
USM Offense	13	45%	34%	33.4	117.5	3.5	17	-.07	2.39	62%	14%	0.91

Pass Game Stats (2020)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FAU Offense	14	50%	44%	22.4	35.9	280.1	7.8	12.5	30	8	.35	1.7	37%	37%	.38	6%	1.9
USM Defense	13	51%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.29	1.9	36%	30%	.2	6%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FAU Defense	14	52%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	22	.19	1.7	35%	25%	.16	7%	1.9
USM Offense	13	52%	44%	22.4	33.7	289.5	8.6	12.9	20	17	.36	1.8	35%	35%	.41	7%	2.1

Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: NR
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: NR
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating: #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Florida Atlantic's 2020 Expected Record: -
Florida Atlantic's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.1 #95
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #116
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #57

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: Southern Miss: -1.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -7.1 Southern Miss: -7.9

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -1.45 NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating: #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Southern Miss's 2020 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.9 #98
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #97
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #95

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.2

Florida Atlantic's 2020 Record
Record: 5 - 4
Record vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Southern Miss 34
Florida Atlantic 27

Projected Total Points: 61

Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.9
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Southern Miss's 2020 Record
Record: 3 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2020	12/10	Southern Miss	45	Florida Atlantic	31	Florida Atlantic -9	Southern Miss	43.0	Over
2019	11/30	Florida Atlantic	34	Southern Miss	17	Florida Atlantic -8	Florida Atlantic	57.5	Under
2013	11/16	Southern Miss	7	Florida Atlantic	41	Florida Atlantic -14.5	Florida Atlantic	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Southern Miss	1	1	1 Overs
Florida Atlantic	2	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 1	2 - 1	1 - 0	1 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 2	1 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 1

(#) FAU at (#) USM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FAU	USM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#95	#98
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#76	#91
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Florida Atlantic Injury Report

Southern Miss Injury Report

Florida Atlantic on Offense


CategoryCat	FAU Off	USM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#116	#95
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida Atlantic Run Game


CategoryCat	FAU Off	USM Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Florida Atlantic Pass Game


CategoryCat	FAU Off	USM Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Southern Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	USM Off	FAU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#97	#57
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Southern Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	FAU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Southern Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	FAU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
USM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'20 Profile: Remains Average G5

FAU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'20 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 15
Florida Atlantic 9.0 (43.0)
Southern Miss won vs Florida Atlantic this year (45-31)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

FAU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster

FAU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

USM's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD