Southern Miss at Alabama - 2019 Matchup Preview

Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Alabama Crimson Tide

Saturday, September 21st 2019 (12:00 PM EDT)
Alabama -36.5 (63.0)
Alabama 49 - Southern Miss: 7

Golden Eagles (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (28 - 28 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

USM 3rd straight Road Game
ALA is playing their 4th straight game
USM is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -21 (SP+ ALA -37)
Projected Score: USM: 22 - ALA: 31 (53)
ALA Win prob: 94% | Cover: 38%
USM Travel: 166 miles

Crimson Tide (11 - 2) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (39 - 11 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USM Players
ALA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Southern Miss's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Southern Miss vs Alcorn State	-27.0	55.0	W 38 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Southern Miss at Mississippi State	+16.5	51.0	L 15 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/14	Southern Miss at Troy	+3.0	49.0	W 47 - 42	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Southern Miss at Alabama	+36.5	63.0	L 7 - 49	U	N
Sat 9/28	Southern Miss vs UTEP	-25.5	48.5	W 31 - 13	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Southern Miss vs North Texas	-3.0	58.5	W 45 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech	-3.0	58.5	L 30 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/26	Southern Miss at Rice	-10.0	51.5	W 20 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Southern Miss vs UAB	-7.0	49.5	W 37 - 2	U	Y
Sat 11/16	Southern Miss at UTSA	-17.0	55.5	W 36 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Southern Miss vs Western Kentucky	-3.0	51.0	L 10 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/30	Southern Miss at Florida Atlantic	+8.0	57.5	L 17 - 34	U	N
Sat 1/4	Southern Miss vs Tulane	+7.5	58.0	L 13 - 30	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule

Alabama's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Alabama vs Duke	-33.5	57.5	W 42 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Alabama vs New Mexico State	-54.5	65.0	W 62 - 10	O	N
Sat 9/14	Alabama at South Carolina	-25.5	59.5	W 47 - 23	O	N
Sat 9/21	Alabama vs Southern Miss	-36.5	63.0	W 49 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Alabama vs Ole Miss	-37.5	62.5	W 59 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Alabama at Texas A&M	-17.0	61.0	W 47 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Alabama vs Tennessee	-35.0	62.0	W 35 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/26	Alabama vs Arkansas	-32.0	56.0	W 48 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Alabama vs LSU	-5.0	65.5	L 41 - 46	O	N
Sat 11/16	Alabama at Mississippi State	-19.0	61.0	W 38 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Alabama vs Western Carolina	-58.5	61.5	W 66 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Alabama at Auburn	-3.5	51.0	L 45 - 48	O	N
Wed 1/1	Alabama vs Michigan	-8.5	62.0	W 35 - 16	U	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USM	.07	40%	28.8	35%	2.52	113	41%	255	3.01	-.01	34%	27.4	32%	34%	2.66	41.4	2.1	2
ALA	.44	57%	29.5	57%	3.64	198	55%	324	4.54	.08	35%	19.2	33%	36%	2.87	53.1	1.1	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ALA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USM Offense	11	28.8	28.4	39.5%	3.01	2.1	19	368	113	255	3.1	44%	54%	35%	41%	20%	.07
ALA Defense	15	19.2	11.4	35.4%	2.87	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	44%	54%	33%	36%	20%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USM Defense	11	27.4	27.6	33.8%	2.66	2	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	32%	34%	17%	-.01
ALA Offense	15	29.5	39.3	56.7%	4.54	1.1	25	522	198	324	5.2	49%	49%	57%	55%	11%	.44

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Southern Miss	11	29:59	19.5	38%	44%	4.8	41.4	2.1	2	5.2	1.6	2	29.4
Alabama	15	30:27	24.8	52%	44%	5.7	53.1	1.1	1.3	7	2.9	6	31.3

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USM Offense	11	44%	35%	36.3	112.6	3.1	11	-.07	2.52	67%	14%	0.87
ALA Defense	15	44%	33%	-	-	-	-	-.02	2.5	66%	12%	0.99

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USM Defense	11	48%	32%	-	-	-	-	-.06	2.49	71%	11%	0.9
ALA Offense	15	49%	57%	38.1	198.3	5.2	33	.28	3.64	79%	7%	0.87

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USM Offense	11	54%	41%	24.5	35.4	255	7.2	10.4	19	13	.18	1.6	37%	34%	.32	7%	1.8
ALA Defense	15	54%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.16	1.7	40%	31%	.36	8%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USM Defense	11	50%	34%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.05	1.6	39%	23%	.06	6%	1.9
ALA Offense	15	49%	55%	20.1	29.2	323.6	11.1	16.1	52	8	.62	1.8	25%	46%	.73	4%	2.1

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Southern Miss's 2019 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.8 #89
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #96
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #64

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: Alabama: 18.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -4.8 Alabama: 32.4

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 18.7 NR
Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Alabama's 2019 Expected Record: -
Alabama's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 32.4 #3
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 47.7 #2
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #3

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.6

Southern Miss's 2019 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Alabama 31
Southern Miss 22

Projected Total Points: 53

Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.4

Alabama's 2019 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	09/25	Alabama	63	Southern Miss	14	Alabama -45	Alabama	57.5	Over
2019	09/21	Alabama	49	Southern Miss	7	Alabama -36.5	Alabama	63.0	Under
2014	09/13	Alabama	52	Southern Miss	12	Alabama -49	Southern Miss	0
2005	09/10	Alabama	30	Southern Miss	21
2004	10/16	Alabama	27	Southern Miss	3
2003	10/11	Alabama	17	Southern Miss	3
2002	09/21	Alabama	20	Southern Miss	7
2001	11/29	Alabama	28	Southern Miss	15
2000	09/15	Alabama	0	Southern Miss	21

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Alabama	8	2	1 Overs
Southern Miss	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 1	2 - 1	2 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 8	1 - 2	0 - 0	1 - 2

(#) USM at (#) ALA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USM	ALA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#89	#3
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#98	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Southern Miss Injury Report

Alabama Injury Report

Southern Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	USM Off	ALA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#96	#3
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Southern Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	ALA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Southern Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	ALA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Alabama on Offense


CategoryCat	ALA Off	USM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#2	#64
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Alabama Run Game


CategoryCat	ALA Off	USM Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Alabama Pass Game


CategoryCat	ALA Off	USM Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ALA 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'19 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

USM 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bryant Denny Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Alabama -36.5 (63.0)
Alabama won vs Southern Miss this year (49-7)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

USM's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ALA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD