Texas State at Texas A&M - 2019 Matchup Preview
Texas State logo   Texas State Bobcats at Texas A&M Aggies  Texas A&M logo
Thursday, August 29th 2019 (8:30 PM EDT)
Texas A&M -33.5 (56.5)
Texas A&M 41 - Texas State: 7

 
Bobcats (3 - 9) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 29 (34 - 33 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -18  (SP+ TA&M -31)
Projected Score: TXST: 27 - TA&M: 32 (59)
TA&M Win prob: 100% | Cover: 46%
TXST Travel: 107 miles
Aggies (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 21 (31 - 15 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas State's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Texas State at Texas A&M+33.556.5L 7 - 41UN
Sat 9/7 Texas State vs Wyoming+7.548.0L 14 - 23UN
Sat 9/14 Texas State at SMU+17.562.0L 17 - 47ON
Sat 9/21 Texas State vs Georgia State-3.062.5W 37 - 34ON
Sat 9/28 Texas State vs Nicholls-2.555.0W 24 - 3UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/10 Texas State vs UL Monroe+3.560.5L 14 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Texas State at Arkansas State+11.560.5L 14 - 38UN
Sat 11/2 Texas State at Louisiana+23.055.0L 3 - 31UN
Sat 11/9 Texas State vs South Alabama-7.041.0W 30 - 28ON
Sat 11/16 Texas State vs Troy+7.065.0L 27 - 63ON
Sat 11/23 Texas State at App State+28.051.0L 13 - 35UY
Sat 11/30 Texas State at Coastal Carolina+7.052.0L 21 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule
Texas A&M's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Texas A&M vs Texas State-33.556.5W 41 - 7UY
Sat 9/7 Texas A&M at Clemson+16.562.5L 10 - 24UY
Sat 9/14 Texas A&M vs Lamar-45.063.0W 62 - 3OY
Sat 9/21 Texas A&M vs Auburn-4.048.5L 20 - 28UN
Sat 9/28 Texas A&M vs Arkansas-23.059.5W 31 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Texas A&M vs Alabama+17.061.0L 28 - 47ON
Sat 10/19 Texas A&M at Ole Miss-6.054.5W 24 - 17UY
Sat 10/26 Texas A&M vs Mississippi State-10.550.0W 49 - 30OY
Sat 11/2 Texas A&M vs UTSA-38.055.0W 45 - 14ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Texas A&M vs South Carolina-10.549.0W 30 - 6UY
Sat 11/23 Texas A&M at Georgia+11.543.5L 13 - 19UY
Sat 11/30 Texas A&M at LSU+17.063.0L 7 - 50UN
Fri 12/27 Texas A&M vs Oklahoma State-4.555.5W 24 - 21UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TXST.0739%36.540%2.4214737%1822.62.0937%2936%34%3.349.21.91.3
TA&M.2147%33.849%3.0922043%2523.46.1739%2138%38%3.350.21.30.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TXST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TA&M0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TXST Offense1236.534.239.3%2.621.917330147182454%45%40%37%19%.07
TA&M Defense132115.339%3.30.8 - - - - - 44%55%38%38%21%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TXST Defense122932.836.9%3.31.3 - - - - - 53%45%36%34%15%.09
TA&M Offense1333.831.147.5%3.461.3264712202525.349%48%49%43%17%.21

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas State1227:4617.332%50%649.21.91.34.81.3130.2
Texas A&M1334:2225.841%50%6.150.21.30.87.63228.2
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TXST Offense1254%40%37.3147.2415-.012.4257%12%0.97
TA&M Defense1344%38% - - - - .012.372%15%0.98
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TXST Defense1253%36% - - - - .052.9958%9%0.98
TA&M Offense1349%49%41.3219.55.328.163.0978%11%0.88

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TXST Offense1245%37%16.127.5182.36.611.31512.21.734%28%.247%1.9
TA&M Defense1355%38% - - - - - - 7.31.837%29%.347%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TXST Defense1245%34% - - - - - - 6.151.736%31%.246%1.7
TA&M Offense1348%43%19.533.8251.97.512.9259.261.632%41%.436%1.8

Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: NR
Texas State's Offense Rating: NR
Texas State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Texas State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Texas State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.2  #118
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.6  #120
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.0  #94

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas State:    Texas A&M: 10

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas State: -16.2   Texas A&M: 15.0




Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 10 NR
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: NR
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Texas A&M's 2019 Expected Record: -
Texas A&M's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.0  #21
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0  #33
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.4  #23

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.2
Defense: 29 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Texas State's 2019 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Texas A&M 32
Texas State 27

Projected Total Points: 59
Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.1
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.3

Texas A&M's 2019 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201908/29Texas A&M41Texas State7Texas A&M -33.5Texas A&M56.5Under
200509/22Texas A&M44Texas State31
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas A&M210 Overs
Texas State001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) TXST at (#) TA&M
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTXSTTA&M
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #118 #21
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #108 #23
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Texas State on Offense
CategoryCat
TXST OffTA&M Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #120 #23
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Texas State Run Game
CategoryCat
TXST OffTA&M Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Texas State Pass Game
CategoryCat
TXST OffTA&M Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Texas A&M on Offense
CategoryCatTA&M OffTXST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #33 #94
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Texas A&M Run Game
CategoryCat
TA&M OffTXST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Texas A&M Pass Game
CategoryCatTA&M OffTXST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TA&M 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

TXST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kyle Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Texas A&M -33.5 (56.5)
Texas A&M won vs Texas State this year (41-7)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
TXST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TXST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TA&M's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TA&M's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD