Ohio State at Northwestern - 2019 Matchup Preview

(#1)Ohio State Buckeyes at Northwestern Wildcats

Friday, October 18th 2019 (8:30 PM EDT)
Ohio State -26.5 (50.0)
Ohio State 52 - Northwestern: 3 (Big Ten)

Buckeyes (13 - 1) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 47 - 14 (53 - 14 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

OSU coming off BYE
NW coming off BYE
Our Line: -18 (SP+ OSU -41)
Projected Score: OSU: 37 - NW: 15 (52)
OSU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 51%
OSU Travel: 282 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Wildcats (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 16 - 24 (19 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
OSU Players
NW Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ohio State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Ohio State vs Florida Atlantic	-27.0	66.0	W 45 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/7	Ohio State vs Cincinnati	-14.5	52.0	W 42 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Ohio State at Indiana	-17.0	60.5	W 51 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Ohio State vs Miami (OH)	-38.5	56.5	W 76 - 5	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Ohio State at Nebraska	-17.0	66.0	W 48 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Ohio State vs Michigan State	-19.0	51.0	W 34 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/18	Ohio State at Northwestern	-26.5	50.0	W 52 - 3	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Ohio State vs Wisconsin	-14.5	47.0	W 38 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Ohio State vs Maryland	-42.5	66.0	W 73 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Ohio State at Rutgers	-52.0	63.0	W 56 - 21	O	N
Sat 11/23	Ohio State vs Penn State	-20.0	59.0	W 28 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/30	Ohio State at Michigan	-9.0	53.0	W 56 - 27	O	Y
Sat 12/7	Ohio State vs Wisconsin	-17.0	58.0	W 34 - 21	U	N
Sat 12/28	Ohio State vs Clemson	+3.0	63.5	L 23 - 29	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio State's Schedule

Northwestern's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Northwestern at Stanford	+6.5	46.5	L 7 - 17	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14	Northwestern vs UNLV	-18.5	52.0	W 30 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/21	Northwestern vs Michigan State	+7.5	35.0	L 10 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/28	Northwestern at Wisconsin	+23.0	46.0	L 15 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Northwestern at Nebraska	+7.5	48.5	L 10 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/18	Northwestern vs Ohio State	+26.5	50.0	L 3 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/26	Northwestern vs Iowa	+7.5	35.5	L 0 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/2	Northwestern at Indiana	+8.5	44.5	L 3 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/9	Northwestern vs Purdue	+0.0	38.5	L 22 - 24	O	N
Sat 11/16	Northwestern vs Massachusetts	-39.5	57.5	W 45 - 6	U	N
Sat 11/23	Northwestern vs Minnesota	+15.5	41.0	L 22 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/30	Northwestern at Illinois	+6.5	38.0	W 29 - 10	O	Y

Important Stats (2019)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OSU	.41	52%	46.9	50%	3.45	267	54%	263	4.58	.03	34%	13.7	36%	30%	2.52	55	1.1	2.3
NW	.01	36%	16.3	37%	2.88	180	34%	118	2.88	.08	40%	23.6	36%	42%	3.26	48.5	1.9	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OSU	#1 (.43)	52% (3)		48% (19)	3.37 (15)	137	56% (1)	211	4.6 (15)	#2 (-.01)	36% (7)		39% (26)	34% (8)	2.05 (1)	31.6	0.8	1.1
NW	#129 (.02)	37% (123)		39% (113)	2.63 (124)	99	36% (116)	186	3.02 (127)	#57 (.15)	45% (106)		44% (80)	46% (117)	3.74 (64)	38.8	1.5	1.3

Overall Stats 2019

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OSU Offense	14	46.9	52.6	52.3%	4.58	1.1	28	530	267	263	5.6	55%	44%	50%	54%	13%	.41
NW Defense	12	23.6	26.4	40%	3.26	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	36%	42%	21%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OSU Defense	14	13.7	13.6	34%	2.52	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	36%	30%	28%	.03
NW Offense	12	16.3	18.9	36.4%	2.88	1.9	18	298	180	118	4.1	59%	40%	37%	34%	25%	.01

Additional Stats 2019

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ohio State	14	31:58	28.1	55%	62%	5.8	55	1.1	2.3	9.6	4.7	1	33
Northwestern	12	29:57	17.6	36%	39%	5.4	48.5	1.9	1.8	6.5	2.5	0	27.9

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OSU Offense	14	55%	50%	47.4	266.8	5.6	39	.32	3.45	83%	10%	1.14
NW Defense	12	50%	36%	-	-	-	-	.01	2.51	75%	12%	0.97

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OSU Defense	14	48%	36%	-	-	-	-	.03	2.32	63%	18%	1.06
NW Offense	12	59%	37%	44.2	180	4.1	17	.03	2.88	64%	16%	0.92

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OSU Offense	14	44%	54%	19.4	29	263.1	9.1	13.6	48	3	.53	1.6	28%	47%	.69	3%	2
NW Defense	12	48%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.18	1.4	35%	33%	.31	9%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OSU Defense	14	50%	30%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.03	1.6	38%	26%	.15	10%	1.7
NW Offense	12	40%	34%	12.9	25.9	117.8	4.6	9.1	6	15	-.01	1.5	37%	27%	.14	9%	1.7

Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: NR
Ohio State's Offense Rating: NR
Ohio State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ohio State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Ohio State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 35.4 #1
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.4 #4
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.6 #2

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: Northwestern: -0.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 35.4 Northwestern: -5.5

Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: -0.25 NR
Northwestern's Offense Rating: NR
Northwestern's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Northwestern's 2019 Expected Record: -
Northwestern's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5 #91
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.5 #123
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #27

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 46.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 52.6
Defense: 13.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 13.6

Ohio State's 2019 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Ohio State 37
Northwestern 15

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Ohio State 36
Northwestern 13

Total Points: 49

Based on Entire Season
Ohio State 37
Northwestern 16

Total Points: 53

Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 16.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.9
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.4

Northwestern's 2019 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 7 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/16	Northwestern	7	Ohio State	31	Ohio State -28	Northwestern	43.5	Under
2022	11/05	Northwestern	7	Ohio State	21	Ohio State -37.5	Northwestern	55.0	Under
2020	12/19	Ohio State	22	Northwestern	10	Ohio State -16.5	Northwestern	57.5	Under
2019	10/18	Northwestern	3	Ohio State	52	Ohio State -26.5	Ohio State	50.0	Over
2018	12/01	Ohio State	45	Northwestern	24	Ohio State -16.5	Ohio State	62.5	Over
2016	10/29	Ohio State	24	Northwestern	20	Ohio State -24	Northwestern	53.5	Under
2013	10/05	Northwestern	30	Ohio State	40	Ohio State -5.5	Ohio State	0
2008	11/08	Northwestern	10	Ohio State	45
2007	09/22	Ohio State	58	Northwestern	7
2006	11/11	Northwestern	10	Ohio State	54
2005	11/12	Ohio State	48	Northwestern	7
2004	10/02	Northwestern	33	Ohio State	27
2003	09/27	Ohio State	20	Northwestern	0
2002	10/05	Northwestern	16	Ohio State	27
2001	10/06	Ohio State	38	Northwestern	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Northwestern	1	4	2 Overs
Ohio State	14	3	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 7	3 - 4	1 - 2	2 - 2
Road Teams	7 - 8	4 - 3	2 - 2	2 - 1

(#) OSU at (#) NW

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	OSU	NW
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#1	#91
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#2	#49
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Ohio State Injury Report

Northwestern Injury Report

Ohio State on Offense


CategoryCat	OSU Off	NW Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#4	#27
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ohio State Run Game


CategoryCat	OSU Off	NW Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Ohio State Pass Game


CategoryCat	OSU Off	NW Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Northwestern on Offense


CategoryCat	NW Off	OSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#123	#2
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Northwestern Run Game


CategoryCat	NW Off	OSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Northwestern Pass Game


CategoryCat	NW Off	OSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NW 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Average G5

OSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'19 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ryan Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 53° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 8
Ohio State 26.5 (50.0)
Ohio State won at Northwestern this year (52-3)

Previous Matchups
Ohio State beat Northwestern last year (31-7)
Ohio State beat Northwestern in 2022 (21-7)

OSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ohio State's Full Roster

OSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NW's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Northwestern's Full Roster

NW's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD