Baylor at TCU - 2019 Matchup Preview
Baylor logo Baylor Bears at TCU Horned FrogsTCU logo
Saturday, November 9th 2019 (12:00 PM EST)
Baylor -3.0 (48.5)
Baylor 29 - TCU: 23  (Big 12)

 
Bears (11 - 3) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 20 (37 - 16 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TCU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -3  (SP+ BAY -11)
Projected Score: BAY: 31 - TCU: 25 (56)
BAY Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
BAY Travel: 81 miles
Horned Frogs (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (34 - 23 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Baylor's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Baylor vs Stephen F. Austin-43.557.5W 56 - 17ON
Sat 9/7 Baylor vs UTSA-25.058.5W 63 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Baylor at Rice-27.057.5W 21 - 13UN
Sat 9/28 Baylor vs Iowa State+2.555.5W 23 - 21UY
Sat 10/5 Baylor at Kansas State-1.048.5W 31 - 12UY
Sat 10/12 Baylor vs Texas Tech-10.558.5W 33 - 30ON
Sat 10/19 Baylor at Oklahoma State+5.568.5W 45 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/31 Baylor vs West Virginia-19.057.0W 17 - 14UN
Sat 11/9 Baylor at TCU-3.048.5W 29 - 23OY
Sat 11/16 Baylor vs Oklahoma+10.069.5L 31 - 34UY
Sat 11/23 Baylor vs Texas-3.558.0W 24 - 10UY
Sat 11/30 Baylor at Kansas-14.048.0W 61 - 6OY
Sat 12/7 Baylor vs Oklahoma+9.065.5L 23 - 30UY
Wed 1/1 Baylor vs Georgia+4.044.0L 14 - 26UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule
TCU's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 TCU vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff-55.064.5W 39 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 TCU at Purdue-3.552.0W 34 - 13UY
Sat 9/21 TCU vs SMU-7.554.5L 38 - 41ON
Sat 9/28 TCU vs Kansas-14.548.0W 51 - 14OY
Sat 10/5 TCU at Iowa State+3.045.0L 24 - 49ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 TCU at Kansas State-4.543.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 10/26 TCU vs Texas-1.557.0W 37 - 27OY
Sat 11/2 TCU at Oklahoma State-1.058.5L 27 - 34ON
Sat 11/9 TCU vs Baylor+3.048.5L 23 - 29ON
Sat 11/16 TCU at Texas Tech-3.553.0W 33 - 31ON
Sat 11/23 TCU at Oklahoma+18.565.0L 24 - 28UY
Fri 11/29 TCU vs West Virginia-14.044.0L 17 - 20UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BAY.1944%33.645%2.8816641%2553.81.0641%19.838%42%2.7452.91.42.6
TCU.1243%30.347%3.2720435%2043.64.1138%26.439%35%3.6561.31.61.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BAY#29 (.25)47% (23)46% (37)3.19 (43)17448% (14)2274.28 (30)#74 (.18)39% (38)38% (13)42% (78)3.85 (77)58.111.6
TCU#18 (.3)47% (20)45% (53)2.95 (85)10649% (9)2934.46 (20)#82 (.19)42% (67)46% (102)36% (18)3.82 (72)49.71.61.1



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BAY Offense1433.637.444.2%3.811.4224211662554.646%52%45%41%22%.19
TCU Defense1226.42338.1%3.651.7 - - - - - 50%48%39%35%22%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BAY Defense1419.816.241.1%2.742.6 - - - - - 48%51%38%42%26%.06
TCU Offense1230.334.242.8%3.641.6214082042044.851%46%47%35%21%.12

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Baylor1428:1522.142%40%6.452.91.42.610.64.4129.2
TCU1232:5521.447%45%6.561.31.61.76.62.8330.2
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BAY Offense1446%45%36166.44.635.112.8874%15%0.93
TCU Defense1250%39% - - - - .022.5878%12%0.91
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BAY Defense1448%38% - - - - -.022.777%17%0.85
TCU Offense1251%47%42.52044.823.213.2779%13%0.96

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BAY Offense1452%41%19.831.7255.1812.9248.291.634%38%.487%1.9
TCU Defense1248%35% - - - - - - 16.211.835%32%.2610%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BAY Defense1451%42% - - - - - - 16.141.434%33%.229%1.7
TCU Offense1246%35%17.632.8203.76.211.61510.061.533%37%.37%1.6

Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: NR
Baylor's Offense Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Baylor's 2019 Expected Record: -
Baylor's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.8  #18
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7  #27
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.3  #18

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Baylor:    TCU: 5.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 17.8   TCU: 6.7




TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 5.85 NR
TCU's Offense Rating: NR
TCU's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
TCU's 2019 Expected Record: -
TCU's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.7  #42
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8  #65
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9  #35

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Baylor Scoring
Offense: 33.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 37.4
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 16.2

Baylor's 2019 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Baylor 31
TCU 25

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Baylor 33
TCU 26

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
Baylor 30
TCU 25

Total Points: 55
TCU Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.2
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 23

TCU's 2019 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18TCU42Baylor36TCU -3.5TCU66.5Over
202411/02Baylor37TCU34Baylor -2.5Baylor64.0Over
202311/18TCU42Baylor17TCU -13.0TCU62.0Under
202211/19Baylor28TCU29TCU -2Baylor58.0Under
202111/06TCU30Baylor28Baylor -7.5TCU57.0Over
202010/31Baylor23TCU33TCU -3.0TCU0
201911/09TCU23Baylor29Baylor -3.0Baylor48.5Over
201811/17Baylor9TCU16Baylor -1TCU50.5Under
201711/24TCU45Baylor22TCU -25.5Baylor53.0Over
201611/05Baylor22TCU62Baylor -9TCU65.0Over
201511/27TCU28Baylor21Baylor -2TCU75.0Under
201410/11Baylor61TCU58Baylor -11TCU0
201311/30TCU38Baylor41Baylor -14TCU0
201210/13Baylor21TCU49
201109/02Baylor50TCU48
201009/18TCU45Baylor10
200709/01TCU27Baylor0
200609/03Baylor7TCU17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
TCU1396 Overs
Baylor544 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 87 - 63 - 44 - 2
Road Teams8 - 106 - 72 - 44 - 3

(#) BAY at (#) TCU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBAYTCU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #18 #42
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #35 #31
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Baylor on Offense
CategoryCat
BAY OffTCU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #27 #35
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Baylor Run Game
CategoryCat
BAY OffTCU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Baylor Pass Game
CategoryCat
BAY OffTCU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
TCU on Offense
CategoryCatTCU OffBAY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #65 #18
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
TCU Run Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffBAY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
TCU Pass Game
CategoryCatTCU OffBAY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TCU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

BAY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 58° - Wind: 5 mph
Rematch from Week 11
Baylor 3.0 (48.5)
Baylor won at TCU this year (29-23)

Previous Matchups
Baylor beat TCU last year (37-34)
TCU beat Baylor in 2023 (42-17)
TCU beat Baylor in 2022 (29-28)

  
BAY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Baylor's Full Roster

BAY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TCU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View TCU's Full Roster

TCU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD