UTSA at Baylor - 2019 Matchup Preview
UTSA logo   UTSA Roadrunners at Baylor Bears  Baylor logo
Saturday, September 7th 2019 (4:00 PM EDT)
Baylor -25 (58.5)
Baylor 63 - UTSA: 14

 
Roadrunners (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 36 - 29 (22 - 34 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BAY 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -23.5  (SP+ BAY -42)
Projected Score: UTSA: 29 - BAY: 31 (60)
BAY Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
UTSA Travel: 169 miles
Bears (11 - 3) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 33 (30 - 28 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UTSA's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 UTSA vs Incarnate Word-9.558.5W 35 - 7UY
Sat 9/7 UTSA at Baylor+25.058.5L 14 - 63ON
Sat 9/14 UTSA vs Army+14.544.0L 13 - 31UN
Sat 9/21 UTSA at North Texas+17.557.0L 3 - 45UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 UTSA at UTEP+1.545.0W 26 - 16UY
Sat 10/12 UTSA vs UAB+12.547.0L 14 - 33UN
Sat 10/19 UTSA vs Rice+5.043.0W 31 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 UTSA at Texas A&M+38.055.0L 14 - 45OY
Sat 11/9 UTSA at Old Dominion+3.041.5W 24 - 23OY
Sat 11/16 UTSA vs Southern Miss+17.055.5L 17 - 36UN
Sat 11/23 UTSA vs Florida Atlantic+21.557.0L 26 - 40OY
Sat 11/30 UTSA at Louisiana Tech+20.556.0L 27 - 41OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule
Baylor's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Baylor vs Stephen F. Austin-43.557.5W 56 - 17ON
Sat 9/7 Baylor vs UTSA-25.058.5W 63 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Baylor at Rice-27.057.5W 21 - 13UN
Sat 9/28 Baylor vs Iowa State+2.555.5W 23 - 21UY
Sat 10/5 Baylor at Kansas State-1.048.5W 31 - 12UY
Sat 10/12 Baylor vs Texas Tech-10.558.5W 33 - 30ON
Sat 10/19 Baylor at Oklahoma State+5.568.5W 45 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/31 Baylor vs West Virginia-19.057.0W 17 - 14UN
Sat 11/9 Baylor at TCU-3.048.5W 29 - 23OY
Sat 11/16 Baylor vs Oklahoma+10.069.5L 31 - 34UY
Sat 11/23 Baylor vs Texas-3.558.0W 24 - 10UY
Sat 11/30 Baylor at Kansas-14.048.0W 61 - 6OY
Sat 12/7 Baylor vs Oklahoma+9.065.5L 23 - 30UY
Wed 1/1 Baylor vs Georgia+4.044.0L 14 - 26UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA-.0434%35.536%2.628731%1602.37.2244%28.840%46%3.7941.61.51.6
BAY.2547%31.152%3.0216842%2903.77.2644%32.643%42%3.61741.50.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BAY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Offense1235.521.734.2%2.371.51524787160343%55%36%31%21%-.04
BAY Defense1332.627.943.6%3.610.8 - - - - - 47%51%43%42%13%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Defense1228.833.744.2%3.791.6 - - - - - 51%47%40%46%16%.22
BAY Offense1331.129.647.3%3.771.5254591682904.447%51%52%42%17%.25

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UTSA1227:3815.333%50%5.441.61.51.66.51.9128.5
Baylor1332:4425.543%59%7.8741.50.84.81.8226.7
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Offense1243%36%29.587.337-.032.6265%13%0.85
BAY Defense1347%43% - - - - .273.1185%8%1.23
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Defense1251%40% - - - - .022.756%11%0.86
BAY Offense1347%52%38.5168.54.425.233.0275%11%0.93

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Offense1255%31%1733.7159.84.89.4910-.061.438%26%.019%1.5
BAY Defense1351%42% - - - - - - 8.271.634%35%.395%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Defense1247%46% - - - - - - 9.461.831%36%.555%2.1
BAY Offense1351%42%22.837.4290.47.812.82213.281.634%37%.46%1.8

UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: NR
UTSA's Offense Rating: NR
UTSA's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UTSA's 2019 Expected Record: -
UTSA's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -23.7  #124
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.9  #116
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.7  #128

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UTSA:    Baylor: 11.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTSA: -23.7   Baylor: 17.8




Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: 11.4 NR
Baylor's Offense Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Baylor's 2019 Expected Record: -
Baylor's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.8  #18
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7  #27
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.3  #18

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UTSA Scoring
Offense: 35.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.7

UTSA's 2019 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Baylor 31
UTSA 29

Projected Total Points: 60
Baylor Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.6
Defense: 32.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9

Baylor's 2019 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201909/07Baylor63UTSA14Baylor -25Baylor58.5Over
201809/08UTSA20Baylor37Baylor -17NA55.0Over
201709/09Baylor10UTSA17Baylor -12UTSA57.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Baylor212 Overs
UTSA111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 21 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams2 - 11 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#) UTSA at (#) BAY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUTSABAY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #124 #18
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #94 #35
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UTSA on Offense
CategoryCat
UTSA OffBAY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #116 #18
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UTSA Run Game
CategoryCat
UTSA OffBAY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UTSA Pass Game
CategoryCat
UTSA OffBAY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Baylor on Offense
CategoryCatBAY OffUTSA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #27 #128
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Baylor Run Game
CategoryCat
BAY OffUTSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Baylor Pass Game
CategoryCatBAY OffUTSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BAY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

UTSA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in McLane Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
Baylor -25.0 (58.5)
Baylor won vs UTSA this year (63-14)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UTSA's OC ()
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