Baylor at Rice - 2019 Matchup Preview
Baylor logo Baylor Bears at Rice OwlsRice logo
Saturday, September 21st 2019 (7:00 PM EDT)
Baylor -27 (57.5)
Baylor 21 - Rice: 13

 
Bears (11 - 3) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 20 (37 - 16 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 12.4 MPH
RICE 3rd straight Home Game
BAY coming off BYE
RICE is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -15.5  (SP+ BAY -36)
Projected Score: BAY: 27 - RICE: 16 (43)
BAY Win prob: 98% | Cover: 56%
BAY Travel: 163 miles
Owls (3 - 9) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 18 - 26 (15 - 23 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Baylor's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Baylor vs Stephen F. Austin-43.557.5W 56 - 17ON
Sat 9/7 Baylor vs UTSA-25.058.5W 63 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Baylor at Rice-27.057.5W 21 - 13UN
Sat 9/28 Baylor vs Iowa State+2.555.5W 23 - 21UY
Sat 10/5 Baylor at Kansas State-1.048.5W 31 - 12UY
Sat 10/12 Baylor vs Texas Tech-10.558.5W 33 - 30ON
Sat 10/19 Baylor at Oklahoma State+5.568.5W 45 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/31 Baylor vs West Virginia-19.057.0W 17 - 14UN
Sat 11/9 Baylor at TCU-3.048.5W 29 - 23OY
Sat 11/16 Baylor vs Oklahoma+10.069.5L 31 - 34UY
Sat 11/23 Baylor vs Texas-3.558.0W 24 - 10UY
Sat 11/30 Baylor at Kansas-14.048.0W 61 - 6OY
Sat 12/7 Baylor vs Oklahoma+9.065.5L 23 - 30UY
Wed 1/1 Baylor vs Georgia+4.044.0L 14 - 26UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule
Rice's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Rice at Army+23.546.5L 7 - 14UY
Fri 9/6 Rice vs Wake Forest+20.059.5L 21 - 41OY
Sat 9/14 Rice vs Texas+32.057.5L 13 - 48ON
Sat 9/21 Rice vs Baylor+27.057.5L 13 - 21UY
Sat 9/28 Rice vs Louisiana Tech+9.048.5L 20 - 23UY
Sat 10/5 Rice at UAB+10.043.5L 20 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Rice at UTSA-5.043.0L 27 - 31ON
Sat 10/26 Rice vs Southern Miss+10.051.5L 6 - 20UN
Sat 11/2 Rice vs Marshall+11.548.0L 7 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Rice at Middle Tennessee+13.046.5W 31 - 28OY
Sat 11/23 Rice vs North Texas+6.555.0W 20 - 14UY
Sat 11/30 Rice at UTEP-7.043.0W 30 - 16OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Rice's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BAY.1944%33.645%2.8816641%2553.81.0641%19.838%42%2.7452.91.42.6
RICE.0237%17.935%2.6312837%1663.32.2143%25.939%46%3.8128.81.31.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BAY#29 (.25)47% (23)46% (37)3.19 (43)17448% (14)2274.28 (30)#74 (.18)39% (38)38% (13)42% (78)3.85 (77)58.111.6
RICE#126 (.05)35% (127)36% (127)2.7 (118)11535% (121)2393.27 (119)#60 (.16)37% (11)40% (37)34% (4)3.72 (62)57.41.81



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BAY Offense1433.637.444.2%3.811.4224211662554.646%52%45%41%22%.19
RICE Defense1225.923.242.8%3.811.2 - - - - - 52%47%39%46%22%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BAY Defense1419.816.241.1%2.742.6 - - - - - 48%51%38%42%26%.06
RICE Offense1217.914.537%3.321.3172941281663.654%45%35%37%23%.02

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Baylor1428:1522.142%40%6.452.91.42.610.64.4129.2
Rice1231:121738%44%3.828.81.31.28.11.7030.3
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BAY Offense1446%45%36166.44.635.112.8874%15%0.93
RICE Defense1252%39% - - - - .042.5870%14%0.9
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BAY Defense1448%38% - - - - -.022.777%17%0.85
RICE Offense1254%35%36.1128.23.614-.022.6367%15%0.98

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BAY Offense1452%41%19.831.7255.1812.9248.291.634%38%.487%1.9
RICE Defense1247%46% - - - - - - 6.411.632%34%.348%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BAY Defense1451%42% - - - - - - 16.141.434%33%.229%1.7
RICE Offense1245%37%1526.71666.211.1134.081.535%28%.158%1.8

Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: NR
Baylor's Offense Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Baylor's 2019 Expected Record: -
Baylor's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.8  #18
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7  #27
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.3  #18

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Baylor:    Rice: -6.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 17.8   Rice: -18.0




Rice's Power Ratings
Rice's Power Rating: -6.5 NR
Rice's Offense Rating: NR
Rice's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Rice's 2019 Expected Record: -
Rice's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.0  #121
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.1  #127
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2  #96

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Baylor Scoring
Offense: 33.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 37.4
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 16.2

Baylor's 2019 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Baylor 27
Rice 16

Total Points: 43

Based on Last 4 Games
Baylor 25
Rice 15

Total Points: 40

Based on Entire Season
Baylor 30
Rice 17

Total Points: 47
Rice Scoring
Offense: 17.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 14.5
Defense: 25.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.2

Rice's 2019 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201909/21Rice13Baylor21Baylor -27Rice57.5Under
201609/16Rice10Baylor38Baylor -27.5Baylor66.0Under
201509/26Baylor70Rice17Baylor -33Baylor74.0Over
201109/24Baylor56Rice31
201009/25Rice13Baylor30
200709/08Baylor42Rice17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Rice011 Overs
Baylor622 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 32 - 11 - 01 - 1
Road Teams3 - 31 - 21 - 10 - 1

(#) BAY at (#) RICE
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBAYRICE
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #18 #121
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #35 #115
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Baylor on Offense
CategoryCat
BAY OffRICE Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #27 #96
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Baylor Run Game
CategoryCat
BAY OffRICE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Baylor Pass Game
CategoryCat
BAY OffRICE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Rice on Offense
CategoryCatRICE OffBAY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #127 #18
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Rice Run Game
CategoryCat
RICE OffBAY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Rice Pass Game
CategoryCatRICE OffBAY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
RICE 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Remains Poor G5

BAY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rice Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 85° - Wind: 12 mph
Rematch from Week 4
Baylor 27.0 (57.5)
Baylor won at Rice this year (21-13)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
BAY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BAY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

RICE's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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RICE's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD