Louisville at Kentucky - 2019 Matchup Preview
Louisville logo Louisville Cardinals at Kentucky WildcatsKentucky logo
Saturday, November 30th 2019 (12:00 PM EST)
Kentucky -3.5 (51.0)
Kentucky 45 - Louisville: 13

 
Cardinals (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 33 (32 - 42 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Heavy Rain Predicted
UK 2nd straight Home Game
UK is playing their 4th straight game
LOU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -7  (SP+ UK -9)
Projected Score: LOU: 24 - UK: 33 (57)
UK Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
LOU Travel: 69 miles
Wildcats (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 19 (32 - 17 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Louisville's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/2 Louisville vs Notre Dame+19.055.0L 17 - 35UY
Sat 9/7 Louisville vs Eastern Kentucky-21.060.0W 42 - 0UY
Sat 9/14 Louisville vs Western Kentucky-10.549.0W 38 - 21OY
Sat 9/21 Louisville at Florida State+6.561.0L 24 - 35UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Louisville vs Boston College-3.561.0W 41 - 39ON
Sat 10/12 Louisville at Wake Forest+7.065.0W 62 - 59OY
Sat 10/19 Louisville vs Clemson+24.062.0L 10 - 45UN
Sat 10/26 Louisville vs Virginia+4.551.0W 28 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Louisville at Miami+6.549.0L 27 - 52ON
Sat 11/16 Louisville at NC State-4.552.0W 34 - 20OY
Sat 11/23 Louisville vs Syracuse-9.064.0W 56 - 34OY
Sat 11/30 Louisville at Kentucky+3.551.0L 13 - 45ON
Mon 12/30 Louisville vs Mississippi State+5.064.5W 38 - 28OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule
Kentucky's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Kentucky vs Toledo-9.560.5W 38 - 24OY
Sat 9/7 Kentucky vs Eastern Michigan-15.551.5W 38 - 17OY
Sat 9/14 Kentucky vs Florida+10.046.5L 21 - 29OY
Sat 9/21 Kentucky at Mississippi State+5.548.0L 13 - 28UN
Sat 9/28 Kentucky at South Carolina+3.554.0L 7 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Kentucky vs Arkansas-5.053.0W 24 - 20UN
Sat 10/19 Kentucky at Georgia+23.545.5L 0 - 21UY
Sat 10/26 Kentucky vs Missouri+10.043.5W 29 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Kentucky vs Tennessee-2.042.0L 13 - 17UN
Sat 11/16 Kentucky at Vanderbilt-9.043.0W 38 - 14OY
Sat 11/23 Kentucky vs UT Martin-30.543.5W 50 - 7OY
Sat 11/30 Kentucky vs Louisville-3.551.0W 45 - 13OY
Tue 12/31 Kentucky vs Virginia Tech+2.047.0W 37 - 30OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LOU.2844%33.143%2.7921343%2344.03.2245%33.446%43%4.24601.51.7
UK.1742%27.245%3.2727934%1143.76.1441%19.343%38%3.0150.81.51.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LOU#15 (.31)46% (26)48% (20)3.09 (56)17345% (30)2514.27 (31)#73 (.18)40% (49)40% (44)40% (65)3.98 (87)46.10.81.2
UK#118 (.09)41% (89)47% (31)3.02 (71)14635% (123)1853.49 (104)#62 (.16)46% (111)49% (122)42% (75)3.44 (31)52.11.91.3



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LOU Offense1333.13243.5%4.031.5204472132344.960%39%43%43%24%.28
UK Defense1319.316.841.3%3.011.8 - - - - - 54%45%43%38%22%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LOU Defense1333.442.245.2%4.241.7 - - - - - 52%47%46%43%22%.22
UK Offense1327.232.342.3%3.761.5193922791146.366%33%45%34%22%.17

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Louisville1331:1220.244%59%7.2601.51.77.92.9129.1
Kentucky1332:0919.439%52%5.850.81.51.85.83.2029.3
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LOU Offense1360%43%43.6212.94.923.152.7970%18%1.12
UK Defense1354%43% - - - - .16371%13%1.08
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LOU Defense1352%46% - - - - .23.2669%14%1.03
UK Offense1366%45%44.1278.86.336.233.2763%13%1.15

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LOU Offense1339%43%13.723.2234.510.117.1329.492.135%36%.556%2.2
UK Defense1345%38% - - - - - - 8.131.533%33%.459%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LOU Defense1347%43% - - - - - - 7.251.732%33%.279%1.9
UK Offense1333%34%9.819.8113.75.811.698.021.631%30%.279%2.1

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: NR
Louisville's Offense Rating: NR
Louisville's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Louisville's 2019 Expected Record: -
Louisville's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.2  #61
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6  #29
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6  #98

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisville:    Kentucky: 7.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 0.2   Kentucky: 9.1




Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 7.05 NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Kentucky's 2019 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.1  #34
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1  #49
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.2  #34

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Louisville Scoring
Offense: 33.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 32
Defense: 33.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 42.2

Louisville's 2019 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Kentucky 33
Louisville 24

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Kentucky 33
Louisville 22

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
Kentucky 34
Louisville 25

Total Points: 59
Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 27.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.8

Kentucky's 2019 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Louisville41Kentucky0Louisville -1.0Louisville45.5Under
202411/30Kentucky14Louisville41Louisville -3.5Louisville48.5Over
202311/25Louisville31Kentucky38Louisville -7.5Kentucky47.5Over
202211/26Kentucky26Louisville13Kentucky -3.5Kentucky42.5Under
202111/27Louisville21Kentucky52Louisville -3Kentucky58.0Over
201911/30Kentucky45Louisville13Kentucky -3.5Kentucky51.0Over
201811/24Louisville10Kentucky56Kentucky -17Kentucky53.0Over
201711/25Kentucky17Louisville44Louisville -10Louisville68.0Under
201611/26Louisville38Kentucky41Louisville -26Kentucky70.5Over
201511/28Kentucky24Louisville38Louisville -4Louisville51.5Over
201411/29Louisville44Kentucky40Louisville -14Kentucky0
201309/14Kentucky13Louisville27Louisville -10.5Louisville0
201209/02Louisville32Kentucky14
201109/17Kentucky17Louisville24
201009/04Louisville16Kentucky23
200909/19Kentucky31Louisville27
200808/31Louisville2Kentucky27
200709/15Kentucky40Louisville34
200609/03Louisville59Kentucky28
200509/04Kentucky24Louisville31
200409/05Louisville28Kentucky0
200308/31Kentucky24Louisville40
200209/01Louisville17Kentucky22
200109/01Kentucky10Louisville36
200009/01Louisville40Kentucky34
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kentucky1177 Overs
Louisville1453 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 153 - 93 - 40 - 5
Road Teams15 - 109 - 35 - 04 - 3

(#) LOU at (#) UK
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLOUUK
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #61 #34
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #43 #34
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Louisville on Offense
CategoryCat
LOU OffUK Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #29 #34
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Louisville Run Game
CategoryCat
LOU OffUK Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Louisville Pass Game
CategoryCat
LOU OffUK Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCatUK OffLOU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #49 #98
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
UK OffLOU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCatUK OffLOU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UK 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to Average P4

LOU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions: Heavy Rain
Temp: 43° - Wind: 7 mph
Rain: 0.209
Rematch from Week 14
Kentucky -3.5 (51.0)
Kentucky won vs Louisville this year (45-13)

Previous Matchups
Louisville beat Kentucky last year (41-14)
Kentucky beat Louisville in 2023 (38-31)
Kentucky beat Louisville in 2022 (26-13)

  
LOU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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LOU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UK's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UK's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD