Missouri at Kentucky - 2019 Matchup Preview
Missouri logo   Missouri Tigers at Kentucky Wildcats  Kentucky logo
Saturday, October 26th 2019 (7:30 PM EDT)
Missouri -10 (43.5)
Kentucky 29 - Missouri: 7  (SEC)

 
Tigers (6 - 6) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (18 - 17 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MIZ 2nd straight Road Game
MIZ is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -3  (SP+ UK -1)
Projected Score: MIZ: 24 - UK: 23 (47)
MIZ Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
MIZ Travel: 428 miles, 1 hrs behind
Wildcats (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 26 (32 - 23 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Missouri's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Missouri at Wyoming-16.553.5L 31 - 37ON
Sat 9/7 Missouri vs West Virginia-13.562.5W 38 - 7UY
Sat 9/14 Missouri vs Southeast Missouri State-34.068.5W 50 - 0UY
Sat 9/21 Missouri vs South Carolina-9.561.0W 34 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Missouri vs Troy-25.565.0W 42 - 10UY
Sat 10/12 Missouri vs Ole Miss-12.055.5W 38 - 27ON
Sat 10/19 Missouri at Vanderbilt-21.056.5L 14 - 21UN
Sat 10/26 Missouri at Kentucky-10.043.5L 7 - 29UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Missouri at Georgia+18.548.0L 0 - 27UN
Sat 11/16 Missouri vs Florida+7.051.0L 6 - 23UN
Sat 11/23 Missouri vs Tennessee-3.047.0L 20 - 24UN
Fri 11/29 Missouri at Arkansas-15.053.0W 24 - 14UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule
Kentucky's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Kentucky vs Toledo-9.560.5W 38 - 24OY
Sat 9/7 Kentucky vs Eastern Michigan-15.551.5W 38 - 17OY
Sat 9/14 Kentucky vs Florida+10.046.5L 21 - 29OY
Sat 9/21 Kentucky at Mississippi State+5.548.0L 13 - 28UN
Sat 9/28 Kentucky at South Carolina+3.554.0L 7 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Kentucky vs Arkansas-5.053.0W 24 - 20UN
Sat 10/19 Kentucky at Georgia+23.545.5L 0 - 21UY
Sat 10/26 Kentucky vs Missouri+10.043.5W 29 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Kentucky vs Tennessee-2.042.0L 13 - 17UN
Sat 11/16 Kentucky at Vanderbilt-9.043.0W 38 - 14OY
Sat 11/23 Kentucky vs UT Martin-30.543.5W 50 - 7OY
Sat 11/30 Kentucky vs Louisville-3.551.0W 45 - 13OY
Tue 12/31 Kentucky vs Virginia Tech+2.047.0W 37 - 30OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIZ.2550%30.251%3.0820247%2793.97.1341%18.939%41%3.1261.51.21.2
UK.1344%2346%3.119940%1613.74.139%26.442%35%2.6155.11.41.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIZ0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIZ Offense1330.217.550%3.971.2254822022794.851%46%51%47%12%.25
UK Defense1326.422.639.5%2.611.5 - - - - - 51%48%42%35%21%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIZ Defense1318.91741.2%3.121.2 - - - - - 45%53%39%41%15%.13
UK Offense132331.744.1%3.741.4203601991614.861%38%46%40%18%.13

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Missouri1330:3624.546%53%6.961.51.21.25.82.1130
Kentucky1330:2320.139%60%655.11.41.56.92.9328.9
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIZ Offense1351%51%42.5202.44.827.133.0875%6%0.77
UK Defense1351%42% - - - - .072.7663%13%0.93
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIZ Defense1345%39% - - - - -.032.6349%10%0.9
UK Offense1361%46%41.1198.74.827.143.172%13%0.98

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIZ Offense1346%47%21.634.7279.48.112.9288.431.628%41%.355%1.6
UK Defense1348%35% - - - - - - 9.141.635%30%.348%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIZ Defense1353%41% - - - - - - 10.281.733%34%.295%1.8
UK Offense1338%40%14.822.7161.37.110.91310.111.428%30%.215%1.8

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: NR
Missouri's Offense Rating: NR
Missouri's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Missouri's 2019 Expected Record: -
Missouri's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.8  #39
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5  #89
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.1  #17

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Missouri:    Kentucky: 7.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Missouri: 7.8   Kentucky: 9.1




Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 7.05 NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Kentucky's 2019 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.1  #34
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1  #49
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.2  #34

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Missouri Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.5
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 17

Missouri's 2019 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 10
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Missouri 24
Kentucky 23

Projected Total Points: 47
Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.7
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.6

Kentucky's 2019 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/14Kentucky21Missouri38Kentucky -1.5Missouri50.5Over
202211/05Missouri17Kentucky21Missouri -1Kentucky40.0Under
202109/11Kentucky35Missouri28Kentucky -5.5Kentucky56.5Over
202010/24Missouri20Kentucky10Kentucky -3.5Missouri47.0Under
201910/26Kentucky29Missouri7Missouri -10Kentucky43.5Under
201810/27Missouri14Kentucky16Missouri -7.5Kentucky54.5Under
201710/07Kentucky40Missouri34Kentucky -8.5Missouri59.5Over
201610/29Missouri21Kentucky35Missouri -4.5Kentucky69.0Under
201509/26Kentucky21Missouri13Kentucky -2.5Kentucky44.0Under
201411/01Missouri20Kentucky10Missouri -7Missouri0
201311/09Kentucky17Missouri48Missouri -14Missouri0
201210/27Missouri33Kentucky10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kentucky763 Overs
Missouri556 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 55 - 63 - 52 - 1
Road Teams5 - 76 - 51 - 25 - 3

(#) MIZ at (#) UK
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMIZUK
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #39 #34
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #39 #34
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Missouri on Offense
CategoryCat
MIZ OffUK Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #89 #34
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Missouri Run Game
CategoryCat
MIZ OffUK Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Missouri Pass Game
CategoryCat
MIZ OffUK Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCatUK OffMIZ Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #49 #17
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
UK OffMIZ Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCatUK OffMIZ Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UK 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to Average P4

MIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 9
Missouri 10.0 (43.5)
Kentucky won vs Missouri this year (29-7)

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Kentucky in 2023 (38-21)

  
MIZ's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MIZ's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UK's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UK's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD