Florida at Kentucky - 2019 Matchup Preview
Florida logo   Florida Gators at Kentucky Wildcats  Kentucky logo
Saturday, September 14th 2019 (7:00 PM EDT)
Florida -10 (46.5)
Florida 29 - Kentucky: 21  (SEC)

 
Gators (11 - 2) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 24 (13 - 30 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UK 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: -5  (SP+ FLA -15)
Projected Score: FLA: 21 - UK: 28 (49)
FLA Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
FLA Travel: 592 miles
Wildcats (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 26 (32 - 23 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Florida's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/24 Florida vs Miami-7.046.0W 24 - 20UN
Sat 9/7 Florida vs UT Martin-44.559.5W 45 - 0UY
Sat 9/14 Florida at Kentucky-10.046.5W 29 - 21ON
Sat 9/21 Florida vs Tennessee-12.549.5W 34 - 3UY
Sat 9/28 Florida vs Towson-37.062.5W 38 - 0UY
Sat 10/5 Florida vs Auburn+2.548.5W 24 - 13UY
Sat 10/12 Florida at LSU+14.055.5L 28 - 42OY
Sat 10/19 Florida at South Carolina-3.544.5W 38 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Florida vs Georgia+6.547.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 11/9 Florida vs Vanderbilt-26.550.0W 56 - 0OY
Sat 11/16 Florida at Missouri-7.051.0W 23 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/30 Florida vs Florida State-16.555.0W 40 - 17OY
Mon 12/30 Florida vs Virginia-16.055.5W 36 - 28ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida's Schedule
Kentucky's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Kentucky vs Toledo-9.560.5W 38 - 24OY
Sat 9/7 Kentucky vs Eastern Michigan-15.551.5W 38 - 17OY
Sat 9/14 Kentucky vs Florida+10.046.5L 21 - 29OY
Sat 9/21 Kentucky at Mississippi State+5.548.0L 13 - 28UN
Sat 9/28 Kentucky at South Carolina+3.554.0L 7 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Kentucky vs Arkansas-5.053.0W 24 - 20UN
Sat 10/19 Kentucky at Georgia+23.545.5L 0 - 21UY
Sat 10/26 Kentucky vs Missouri+10.043.5W 29 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Kentucky vs Tennessee-2.042.0L 13 - 17UN
Sat 11/16 Kentucky at Vanderbilt-9.043.0W 38 - 14OY
Sat 11/23 Kentucky vs UT Martin-30.543.5W 50 - 7OY
Sat 11/30 Kentucky vs Louisville-3.551.0W 45 - 13OY
Tue 12/31 Kentucky vs Virginia Tech+2.047.0W 37 - 30OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FLA.2448%21.650%3.3921243%2144.46.138%2439%35%2.9460.61.12
UK.1344%2346%3.119940%1613.74.139%26.442%35%2.6155.11.41.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FLA Offense1321.61348.1%4.461.1224262122145.354%44%50%43%13%.24
UK Defense1326.422.639.5%2.611.5 - - - - - 51%48%42%35%21%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FLA Defense132430.438.2%2.942 - - - - - 51%46%39%35%19%.1
UK Offense132331.744.1%3.741.4203601991614.861%38%46%40%18%.13

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida1329:4821.941%58%7.360.61.126.82.8630.8
Kentucky1330:2320.139%60%655.11.41.56.92.9328.9
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FLA Offense1354%50%40.2212.35.323.243.3971%8%0.99
UK Defense1351%42% - - - - .072.7663%13%0.93
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FLA Defense1351%39% - - - - .112.8562%12%0.97
UK Offense1361%46%41.1198.74.827.143.172%13%0.98

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FLA Offense1344%43%16.728213.57.612.8286.291.627%36%.465%1.8
UK Defense1348%35% - - - - - - 9.141.635%30%.348%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FLA Defense1346%35% - - - - - - 14.121.634%30%.37%1.9
UK Offense1338%40%14.822.7161.37.110.91310.111.428%30%.215%1.8

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: NR
Florida's Offense Rating: NR
Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Florida's 2019 Expected Record: -
Florida's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.0  #7
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.8  #11
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.5  #7

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida:    Kentucky: 7.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida: 24.0   Kentucky: 9.1




Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 7.05 NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Kentucky's 2019 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.1  #34
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1  #49
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.2  #34

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Florida Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.4

Florida's 2019 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Kentucky 28
Florida 21

Projected Total Points: 49
Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.7
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.6

Kentucky's 2019 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/08Kentucky38Florida7Florida -4.5Kentucky44.5Over
202410/19Florida48Kentucky20Kentucky -2.5Florida42.5Over
202309/30Kentucky33Florida14Kentucky -1Kentucky44.0Over
202209/10Florida16Kentucky26Florida -6Kentucky53.0Under
202110/02Kentucky20Florida13Florida -7.5Kentucky56.5Under
202011/28Florida34Kentucky10Florida -23.5Florida60.5Under
201909/14Kentucky21Florida29Florida -10Kentucky46.5Over
201809/08Florida16Kentucky27Florida -13.5Kentucky52.5Under
201709/23Kentucky27Florida28Florida -3Kentucky44.0Over
201609/10Florida45Kentucky7Florida -16.5Florida48.5Over
201509/19Kentucky9Florida14Florida -4.5Florida52.5Under
201409/13Florida36Kentucky30Florida -17Kentucky0
201309/28Kentucky7Florida24Florida -12.5Florida0
201209/22Florida38Kentucky0
201109/24Kentucky10Florida48
201009/25Florida48Kentucky14
200909/26Kentucky7Florida41
200810/25Florida63Kentucky5
200710/20Kentucky37Florida45
200609/23Florida26Kentucky7
200509/24Kentucky28Florida49
200409/25Florida20Kentucky3
200309/27Kentucky21Florida24
200209/28Florida41Kentucky34
200109/22Kentucky10Florida44
200009/22Florida59Kentucky31
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kentucky586 Overs
Florida2155 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 128 - 53 - 35 - 2
Road Teams12 - 145 - 82 - 53 - 3

(#) FLA at (#) UK
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFLAUK
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #7 #34
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #15 #34
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Florida on Offense
CategoryCat
FLA OffUK Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #11 #34
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
FLA OffUK Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Florida Pass Game
CategoryCat
FLA OffUK Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCatUK OffFLA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #49 #7
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
UK OffFLA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCatUK OffFLA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UK 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to Average P4

FLA 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'19 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
Florida 10.0 (46.5)
Florida won at Kentucky this year (29-21)

Previous Matchups
Kentucky beat Florida last year (38-7)
Florida beat Kentucky in 2024 (48-20)
Kentucky beat Florida in 2023 (33-14)

  
FLA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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FLA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UK's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD