Arkansas at Kentucky - 2019 Matchup Preview
Arkansas logo   Arkansas Razorbacks at Kentucky Wildcats  Kentucky logo
Saturday, October 12th 2019 (7:30 PM EDT)
Kentucky -5 (53.0)
Kentucky 24 - Arkansas: 20  (SEC)

 
Razorbacks (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 34 (31 - 36 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ARK coming off BYE
UK coming off BYE
Our Line: -12.5  (SP+ UK -20)
Projected Score: ARK: 28 - UK: 31 (59)
UK Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
ARK Travel: 550 miles, 1 hrs behind
Wildcats (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 26 (32 - 23 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arkansas's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Arkansas vs Portland State-29.560.5W 20 - 13UN
Sat 9/7 Arkansas at Ole Miss+5.050.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 9/14 Arkansas vs Colorado State-9.063.5W 55 - 34OY
Sat 9/21 Arkansas vs San José State-20.061.0L 24 - 31UN
Sat 9/28 Arkansas vs Texas A&M+23.059.5L 27 - 31UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Arkansas at Kentucky+5.053.0L 20 - 24UY
Sat 10/19 Arkansas vs Auburn+20.556.0L 10 - 51ON
Sat 10/26 Arkansas at Alabama+32.056.0L 7 - 48UN
Sat 11/2 Arkansas vs Mississippi State+7.059.0L 24 - 54ON
Sat 11/9 Arkansas vs Western Kentucky+1.051.0L 19 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Arkansas at LSU+42.069.5L 20 - 56OY
Fri 11/29 Arkansas vs Missouri+15.053.0L 14 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule
Kentucky's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Kentucky vs Toledo-9.560.5W 38 - 24OY
Sat 9/7 Kentucky vs Eastern Michigan-15.551.5W 38 - 17OY
Sat 9/14 Kentucky vs Florida+10.046.5L 21 - 29OY
Sat 9/21 Kentucky at Mississippi State+5.548.0L 13 - 28UN
Sat 9/28 Kentucky at South Carolina+3.554.0L 7 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Kentucky vs Arkansas-5.053.0W 24 - 20UN
Sat 10/19 Kentucky at Georgia+23.545.5L 0 - 21UY
Sat 10/26 Kentucky vs Missouri+10.043.5W 29 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Kentucky vs Tennessee-2.042.0L 13 - 17UN
Sat 11/16 Kentucky at Vanderbilt-9.043.0W 38 - 14OY
Sat 11/23 Kentucky vs UT Martin-30.543.5W 50 - 7OY
Sat 11/30 Kentucky vs Louisville-3.551.0W 45 - 13OY
Tue 12/31 Kentucky vs Virginia Tech+2.047.0W 37 - 30OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARK.1240%32.942%2.8614334%1923.05.2448%33.848%46%3.6150.52.21.3
UK.1344%2346%3.119940%1613.74.139%26.442%35%2.6155.11.41.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARK Offense1232.931.239.7%3.052.2183351431923.948%49%42%34%22%.12
UK Defense1326.422.639.5%2.611.5 - - - - - 51%48%42%35%21%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARK Defense1233.836.447.6%3.611.3 - - - - - 53%45%48%46%16%.24
UK Offense132331.744.1%3.741.4203601991614.861%38%46%40%18%.13

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arkansas1229:4318.331%36%5.750.52.21.35.72.2026.4
Kentucky1330:2320.139%60%655.11.41.56.92.9328.9
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARK Offense1248%42%36.7143.33.911.12.8675%13%0.92
UK Defense1351%42% - - - - .072.7663%13%0.93
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARK Defense1253%48% - - - - .183.2472%11%0.92
UK Offense1361%46%41.1198.74.827.143.172%13%0.98

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARK Offense1249%34%16.830.8191.86.211.41718.161.636%33%.329%1.7
UK Defense1348%35% - - - - - - 9.141.635%30%.348%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARK Defense1245%46% - - - - - - 5.331.527%37%.446%1.8
UK Offense1338%40%14.822.7161.37.110.91310.111.428%30%.215%1.8

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: NR
Arkansas's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arkansas's 2019 Expected Record: -
Arkansas's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.6  #108
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7  #105
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.3  #88

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas:    Kentucky: 7.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: -10.6   Kentucky: 9.1




Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 7.05 NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Kentucky's 2019 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.1  #34
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1  #49
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.2  #34

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.2
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.4

Arkansas's 2019 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Kentucky 31
Arkansas 28

Projected Total Points: 59
Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.7
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.6

Kentucky's 2019 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201910/12Kentucky24Arkansas20Kentucky -5Arkansas53.0Under
201210/13Arkansas49Kentucky7
200810/18Kentucky21Arkansas20
200709/22Arkansas29Kentucky42
200311/01Kentucky63Arkansas71
200210/19Arkansas17Kentucky29
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kentucky400 Overs
Arkansas211 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 30 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams3 - 31 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) ARK at (#) UK
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatARKUK
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #108 #34
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #26 #34
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Arkansas on Offense
CategoryCat
ARK OffUK Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #105 #34
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arkansas Run Game
CategoryCat
ARK OffUK Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Arkansas Pass Game
CategoryCat
ARK OffUK Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCatUK OffARK Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #49 #88
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
UK OffARK Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCatUK OffARK Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UK 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to Average P4

ARK 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 7
Kentucky -5.0 (53.0)
Kentucky won vs Arkansas this year (24-20)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ARK's OC ()
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Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
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ARK's DC ()
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UK's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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UK's DC ()
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