Arkansas at Kentucky - 2019 Matchup Preview
Arkansas logo Arkansas Razorbacks at Kentucky WildcatsKentucky logo
Saturday, October 12th 2019 (7:30 PM EDT)
Kentucky -5 (53.0)
Kentucky 24 - Arkansas: 20  (SEC)

 
Razorbacks (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 37 (16 - 40 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ARK coming off BYE
UK coming off BYE
Our Line: -12.5  (SP+ UK -20)
Projected Score: ARK: 21 - UK: 31 (52)
UK Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
ARK Travel: 550 miles, 1 hrs behind
Wildcats (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 19 (32 - 17 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arkansas's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Arkansas vs Portland State-29.560.5W 20 - 13UN
Sat 9/7 Arkansas at Ole Miss+5.050.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 9/14 Arkansas vs Colorado State-9.063.5W 55 - 34OY
Sat 9/21 Arkansas vs San José State-20.061.0L 24 - 31UN
Sat 9/28 Arkansas vs Texas A&M+23.059.5L 27 - 31UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Arkansas at Kentucky+5.053.0L 20 - 24UY
Sat 10/19 Arkansas vs Auburn+20.556.0L 10 - 51ON
Sat 10/26 Arkansas at Alabama+32.056.0L 7 - 48UN
Sat 11/2 Arkansas vs Mississippi State+7.059.0L 24 - 54ON
Sat 11/9 Arkansas vs Western Kentucky+1.051.0L 19 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Arkansas at LSU+42.069.5L 20 - 56OY
Fri 11/29 Arkansas vs Missouri+15.053.0L 14 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule
Kentucky's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Kentucky vs Toledo-9.560.5W 38 - 24OY
Sat 9/7 Kentucky vs Eastern Michigan-15.551.5W 38 - 17OY
Sat 9/14 Kentucky vs Florida+10.046.5L 21 - 29OY
Sat 9/21 Kentucky at Mississippi State+5.548.0L 13 - 28UN
Sat 9/28 Kentucky at South Carolina+3.554.0L 7 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Kentucky vs Arkansas-5.053.0W 24 - 20UN
Sat 10/19 Kentucky at Georgia+23.545.5L 0 - 21UY
Sat 10/26 Kentucky vs Missouri+10.043.5W 29 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Kentucky vs Tennessee-2.042.0L 13 - 17UN
Sat 11/16 Kentucky at Vanderbilt-9.043.0W 38 - 14OY
Sat 11/23 Kentucky vs UT Martin-30.543.5W 50 - 7OY
Sat 11/30 Kentucky vs Louisville-3.551.0W 45 - 13OY
Tue 12/31 Kentucky vs Virginia Tech+2.047.0W 37 - 30OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARK.0538%21.440%2.9814734%1932.65.2846%36.844%47%4.29411.81.8
UK.1742%27.245%3.2727934%1143.76.1441%19.343%38%3.0150.81.51.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARK#27 (.25)48% (13)52% (5)3.23 (38)16844% (41)2483.95 (64)#45 (.13)42% (66)39% (32)44% (100)3.31 (22)56.31.71
UK#118 (.09)41% (89)47% (31)3.02 (71)14635% (123)1853.49 (104)#62 (.16)46% (111)49% (122)42% (75)3.44 (31)52.11.91.3



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARK Offense1221.41638.1%2.651.8183401471934.743%55%40%34%25%.05
UK Defense1319.316.841.3%3.011.8 - - - - - 54%45%43%38%22%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARK Defense1236.839.846.1%4.291.8 - - - - - 53%45%44%47%18%.28
UK Offense1327.232.342.3%3.761.5193922791146.366%33%45%34%22%.17

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arkansas1227:4918.333%40%5.1411.81.86.32.2029.2
Kentucky1332:0919.439%52%5.850.81.51.85.83.2029.3
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARK Offense1243%40%31.3147.24.714.062.9865%11%1.04
UK Defense1354%43% - - - - .16371%13%1.08
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARK Defense1253%44% - - - - .172.9863%11%1.01
UK Offense1366%45%44.1278.86.336.233.2763%13%1.15

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARK Offense1255%34%16.833.9192.95.711.51415.041.735%31%.314%2.1
UK Defense1345%38% - - - - - - 8.131.533%33%.459%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARK Defense1245%47% - - - - - - 6.421.632%38%.497%1.9
UK Offense1333%34%9.819.8113.75.811.698.021.631%30%.279%2.1

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: NR
Arkansas's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arkansas's 2019 Expected Record: -
Arkansas's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.6  #108
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7  #105
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.3  #88

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas:    Kentucky: 7.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: -10.6   Kentucky: 9.1




Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 7.05 NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Kentucky's 2019 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.1  #34
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1  #49
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.2  #34

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 16
Defense: 36.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.8

Arkansas's 2019 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Kentucky 31
Arkansas 21

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Kentucky 28
Arkansas 24

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Kentucky 34
Arkansas 18

Total Points: 52
Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 27.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.8

Kentucky's 2019 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201910/12Kentucky24Arkansas20Kentucky -5Arkansas53.0Under
201210/13Arkansas49Kentucky7
200810/18Kentucky21Arkansas20
200709/22Arkansas29Kentucky42
200311/01Kentucky63Arkansas71
200210/19Arkansas17Kentucky29
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kentucky400 Overs
Arkansas211 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 30 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams3 - 31 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) ARK at (#) UK
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatARKUK
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #108 #34
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #26 #34
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Arkansas on Offense
CategoryCat
ARK OffUK Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #105 #34
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arkansas Run Game
CategoryCat
ARK OffUK Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Arkansas Pass Game
CategoryCat
ARK OffUK Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCatUK OffARK Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #49 #88
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
UK OffARK Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCatUK OffARK Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UK 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to Average P4

ARK 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 54°
Rematch from Week 7
Kentucky -5.0 (53.0)
Kentucky won vs Arkansas this year (24-20)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ARK's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ARK's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UK's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UK's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD