Toledo at Kentucky - 2019 Matchup Preview
Toledo logo Toledo Rockets at Kentucky WildcatsKentucky logo
Saturday, August 31st 2019 (12:00 PM EDT)
Kentucky -9.5 (60.5)
Kentucky 38 - Toledo: 24

 
Rockets (6 - 6) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 32 (21 - 41 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -14  (SP+ UK -23)
Projected Score: TOL: 27 - UK: 31 (58)
UK Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
TOL Travel: 256 miles
Wildcats (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 19 (32 - 17 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Toledo's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Toledo at Kentucky+9.560.5L 24 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 Toledo vs Murray State-36.570.0W 45 - 0UY
Sat 9/21 Toledo at Colorado State-6.067.5W 41 - 35ON
Sat 9/28 Toledo vs BYU+1.563.5W 28 - 21UY
Sat 10/5 Toledo vs Western Michigan-1.574.0W 31 - 24UY
Sat 10/12 Toledo at Bowling Green-26.565.0L 7 - 20UN
Sat 10/19 Toledo at Ball State+3.558.5L 14 - 52ON
Sat 10/26 Toledo vs Eastern Michigan-2.552.0W 37 - 34OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/5 Toledo vs Kent State-5.562.5W 35 - 33ON
Wed 11/13 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-2.554.5L 28 - 31ON
Wed 11/20 Toledo at Buffalo+9.555.0L 30 - 49ON
Fri 11/29 Toledo at Central Michigan+14.564.0L 7 - 49UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Kentucky's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Kentucky vs Toledo-9.560.5W 38 - 24OY
Sat 9/7 Kentucky vs Eastern Michigan-15.551.5W 38 - 17OY
Sat 9/14 Kentucky vs Florida+10.046.5L 21 - 29OY
Sat 9/21 Kentucky at Mississippi State+5.548.0L 13 - 28UN
Sat 9/28 Kentucky at South Carolina+3.554.0L 7 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Kentucky vs Arkansas-5.053.0W 24 - 20UN
Sat 10/19 Kentucky at Georgia+23.545.5L 0 - 21UY
Sat 10/26 Kentucky vs Missouri+10.043.5W 29 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Kentucky vs Tennessee-2.042.0L 13 - 17UN
Sat 11/16 Kentucky at Vanderbilt-9.043.0W 38 - 14OY
Sat 11/23 Kentucky vs UT Martin-30.543.5W 50 - 7OY
Sat 11/30 Kentucky vs Louisville-3.551.0W 45 - 13OY
Tue 12/31 Kentucky vs Virginia Tech+2.047.0W 37 - 30OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL.1943%27.343%3.2422440%2103.52.2847%32.247%45%4.0650.31.61.2
UK.1742%27.245%3.2727934%1143.76.1441%19.343%38%3.0150.81.51.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL#111 (.11)41% (95)38% (120)2.66 (121)11144% (46)2273.55 (99)#20 (.09)40% (43)42% (60)38% (35)3.87 (79)46.71.31.3
UK#118 (.09)41% (89)47% (31)3.02 (71)14635% (123)1853.49 (104)#62 (.16)46% (111)49% (122)42% (75)3.44 (31)52.11.91.3



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Offense1227.320.542.6%3.521.6224342242105.258%41%43%40%22%.19
UK Defense1319.316.841.3%3.011.8 - - - - - 54%45%43%38%22%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Defense1232.240.547.1%4.061.2 - - - - - 51%47%47%45%20%.28
UK Offense1327.232.342.3%3.761.5193922791146.366%33%45%34%22%.17

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Toledo1229:4621.838%58%5.650.31.61.281.7027.8
Kentucky1332:0919.439%52%5.850.81.51.85.83.2029.3
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Offense1258%43%43224.15.227.183.2462%14%1.08
UK Defense1354%43% - - - - .16371%13%1.08
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Defense1251%47% - - - - .243.1365%12%1.09
UK Offense1366%45%44.1278.86.336.233.2763%13%1.15

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Offense1241%40%16.128.3209.67.413157.231.630%33%.198%1.5
UK Defense1345%38% - - - - - - 8.131.533%33%.459%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Defense1247%45% - - - - - - 7.331.630%35%.428%2.1
UK Offense1333%34%9.819.8113.75.811.698.021.631%30%.279%2.1

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Toledo's 2019 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7  #114
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6  #83
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.4  #121

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Kentucky: 7.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: -13.7   Kentucky: 9.1




Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 7.05 NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Kentucky's 2019 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.1  #34
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1  #49
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.2  #34

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Toledo Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.5
Defense: 32.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 40.5

Toledo's 2019 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 5 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Kentucky 31
Toledo 27

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
Toledo 32
Kentucky 29

Total Points: 61

Based on Entire Season
Kentucky 33
Toledo 21

Total Points: 54
Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 27.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.8

Kentucky's 2019 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/30Kentucky24Toledo16Kentucky -10Toledo48.5Under
201908/31Kentucky38Toledo24Kentucky -9.5Kentucky60.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kentucky211 Overs
Toledo011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 21 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#) TOL at (#) UK
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTOLUK
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #114 #34
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #81 #34
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCat
TOL OffUK Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #83 #34
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffUK Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffUK Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCatUK OffTOL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #49 #121
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
UK OffTOL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCatUK OffTOL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UK 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to Average P4

TOL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 84° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 1
Kentucky -9.5 (60.5)
Kentucky won vs Toledo this year (38-24)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
TOL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TOL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UK's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD