Toledo at Kentucky - 2019 Matchup Preview
Toledo logo   Toledo Rockets at Kentucky Wildcats  Kentucky logo
Saturday, August 31st 2019 (12:00 PM EDT)
Kentucky -9.5 (60.5)
Kentucky 38 - Toledo: 24

 
Rockets (6 - 6) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 13 (17 - 17 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -14  (SP+ UK -23)
Projected Score: TOL: 25 - UK: 21 (46)
UK Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
TOL Travel: 256 miles
Wildcats (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 26 (32 - 23 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Toledo's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Toledo at Kentucky+9.560.5L 24 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 Toledo vs Murray State-36.570.0W 45 - 0UY
Sat 9/21 Toledo at Colorado State-6.067.5W 41 - 35ON
Sat 9/28 Toledo vs BYU+1.563.5W 28 - 21UY
Sat 10/5 Toledo vs Western Michigan-1.574.0W 31 - 24UY
Sat 10/12 Toledo at Bowling Green-26.565.0L 7 - 20UN
Sat 10/19 Toledo at Ball State+3.558.5L 14 - 52ON
Sat 10/26 Toledo vs Eastern Michigan-2.552.0W 37 - 34OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/5 Toledo vs Kent State-5.562.5W 35 - 33ON
Wed 11/13 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-2.554.5L 28 - 31ON
Wed 11/20 Toledo at Buffalo+9.555.0L 30 - 49ON
Fri 11/29 Toledo at Central Michigan+14.564.0L 7 - 49UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Kentucky's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Kentucky vs Toledo-9.560.5W 38 - 24OY
Sat 9/7 Kentucky vs Eastern Michigan-15.551.5W 38 - 17OY
Sat 9/14 Kentucky vs Florida+10.046.5L 21 - 29OY
Sat 9/21 Kentucky at Mississippi State+5.548.0L 13 - 28UN
Sat 9/28 Kentucky at South Carolina+3.554.0L 7 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Kentucky vs Arkansas-5.053.0W 24 - 20UN
Sat 10/19 Kentucky at Georgia+23.545.5L 0 - 21UY
Sat 10/26 Kentucky vs Missouri+10.043.5W 29 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Kentucky vs Tennessee-2.042.0L 13 - 17UN
Sat 11/16 Kentucky at Vanderbilt-9.043.0W 38 - 14OY
Sat 11/23 Kentucky vs UT Martin-30.543.5W 50 - 7OY
Sat 11/30 Kentucky vs Louisville-3.551.0W 45 - 13OY
Tue 12/31 Kentucky vs Virginia Tech+2.047.0W 37 - 30OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL.2246%30.849%3.4421641%2283.91.2245%13.346%43%4.1170.11.41.6
UK.1344%2346%3.119940%1613.74.139%26.442%35%2.6155.11.41.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Offense1330.817.346.1%3.911.4234442162285.353%45%49%41%16%.22
UK Defense1326.422.639.5%2.611.5 - - - - - 51%48%42%35%21%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Defense1313.316.744.9%4.111.6 - - - - - 50%49%46%43%18%.22
UK Offense132331.744.1%3.741.4203601991614.861%38%46%40%18%.13

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Toledo1329:1923.137%45%7.570.11.41.66.92.5634.6
Kentucky1330:2320.139%60%655.11.41.56.92.9328.9
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Offense1353%49%41216.15.330.253.4474%10%1.05
UK Defense1351%42% - - - - .072.7663%13%0.93
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Defense1350%46% - - - - .222.9964%12%1.08
UK Offense1361%46%41.1198.74.827.143.172%13%0.98

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Offense1345%41%16.930.3227.97.513.53211.211.631%34%.266%1.8
UK Defense1348%35% - - - - - - 9.141.635%30%.348%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Defense1349%43% - - - - - - 12.221.529%34%.417%2
UK Offense1338%40%14.822.7161.37.110.91310.111.428%30%.215%1.8

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Toledo's 2019 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7  #114
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6  #83
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.4  #121

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Kentucky: 7.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: -13.7   Kentucky: 9.1




Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 7.05 NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Kentucky's 2019 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.1  #34
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1  #49
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.2  #34

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Toledo Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.3
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 16.7

Toledo's 2019 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 5 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 25
Kentucky 21

Projected Total Points: 46
Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.7
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.6

Kentucky's 2019 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/30Kentucky24Toledo16Kentucky -10Toledo48.5Under
201908/31Kentucky38Toledo24Kentucky -9.5Kentucky60.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kentucky211 Overs
Toledo011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 21 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#) TOL at (#) UK
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTOLUK
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #114 #34
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #81 #34
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCat
TOL OffUK Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #83 #34
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffUK Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffUK Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCatUK OffTOL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #49 #121
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
UK OffTOL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCatUK OffTOL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UK 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to Average P4

TOL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Kentucky -9.5 (60.5)
Kentucky won vs Toledo this year (38-24)

Previous Matchups
Kentucky beat Toledo last year (24-16)

  
TOL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Toledo's Full Roster

TOL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UK's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD