BYU at Toledo - 2019 Matchup Preview
BYU logo (#25)BYU Cougars at Toledo RocketsToledo logo
Saturday, September 28th 2019 (12:00 PM EDT)
BYU -1.5 (63.5)
Toledo 28 - BYU: 21

 
Cougars (7 - 6) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (29 - 22 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BYU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -5  (SP+ BYU -15)
Projected Score: BYU: 25 - TOL: 32 (57)
BYU Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
BYU Travel: 1460 miles, 2 hrs behind
Rockets (6 - 6) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 32 (34 - 24 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
BYU's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 BYU vs Utah+6.549.0L 12 - 30UN
Sat 9/7 BYU at Tennessee+3.051.5W 29 - 26OY
Sat 9/14 BYU vs USC+4.557.5W 30 - 27UY
Sat 9/21 BYU vs Washington+6.551.0L 19 - 45ON
Sat 9/28 BYU at Toledo-1.563.5L 21 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 BYU at South Florida-4.550.0L 23 - 27UN
Sat 10/19 BYU vs Boise State+7.045.0W 28 - 25OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 BYU at Utah State+3.051.0W 42 - 14OY
Sat 11/9 BYU vs Liberty-17.061.0W 31 - 24UN
Sat 11/16 BYU vs Idaho State-24
Sat 11/23 BYU at Massachusetts-41.569.0W 56 - 24ON
Sat 11/30 BYU at San Diego State-5.539.0L 3 - 13UN
Tue 12/24 BYU vs Hawai'i-3.065.5L 34 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for BYU's Schedule
Toledo's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Toledo at Kentucky+9.560.5L 24 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 Toledo vs Murray State-36.570.0W 45 - 0UY
Sat 9/21 Toledo at Colorado State-6.067.5W 41 - 35ON
Sat 9/28 Toledo vs BYU+1.563.5W 28 - 21UY
Sat 10/5 Toledo vs Western Michigan-1.574.0W 31 - 24UY
Sat 10/12 Toledo at Bowling Green-26.565.0L 7 - 20UN
Sat 10/19 Toledo at Ball State+3.558.5L 14 - 52ON
Sat 10/26 Toledo vs Eastern Michigan-2.552.0W 37 - 34OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/5 Toledo vs Kent State-5.562.5W 35 - 33ON
Wed 11/13 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-2.554.5L 28 - 31ON
Wed 11/20 Toledo at Buffalo+9.555.0L 30 - 49ON
Fri 11/29 Toledo at Central Michigan+14.564.0L 7 - 49UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BYU.1846%28.546%2.915945%2853.22.1644%25.542%44%3.3651.41.62
TOL.1943%27.343%3.2422440%2103.52.2847%32.247%45%4.0650.31.61.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BYU#51 (.22)45% (44)47% (30)3.23 (37)14843% (59)2163.73 (88)#41 (.13)41% (65)46% (99)37% (28)3.79 (68)371.42.1
TOL#111 (.11)41% (95)38% (120)2.66 (121)11144% (46)2273.55 (99)#20 (.09)40% (43)42% (60)38% (35)3.87 (79)46.71.31.3



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BYU Offense1328.52946.3%3.221.6234441592854.545%53%46%45%21%.18
TOL Defense1232.223.847.1%4.061.2 - - - - - 51%47%47%45%20%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BYU Defense1325.52243.9%3.362 - - - - - 54%45%42%44%17%.16
TOL Offense1227.33442.6%3.521.6224342242105.258%41%43%40%22%.19

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
BYU1329:4722.542%37%6.151.41.626.51.5129.8
Toledo1229:4621.838%58%5.650.31.61.281.7027.8
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BYU Offense1345%46%35.8159.14.525.092.965%11%0.91
TOL Defense1251%47% - - - - .243.1365%12%1.09
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BYU Defense1354%42% - - - - .042.9877%11%0.81
TOL Offense1258%43%43224.15.227.183.2462%14%1.08

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BYU Offense1353%45%22.836284.67.912.52011.261.532%39%.3310%1.8
TOL Defense1247%45% - - - - - - 7.331.630%35%.428%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BYU Defense1345%44% - - - - - - 15.311.530%32%.256%1.6
TOL Offense1241%40%16.128.3209.67.413157.231.630%33%.198%1.5

BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: NR
BYU's Offense Rating: NR
BYU's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
BYU's 2019 Expected Record: -
BYU's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3  #59
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6  #67
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2  #56

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
BYU:    Toledo: -4.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
BYU: 1.3   Toledo: -13.7




Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: -4.35 NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Toledo's 2019 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7  #114
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6  #83
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.4  #121

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


BYU Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 29
Defense: 25.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

BYU's 2019 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 32
BYU 25

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Toledo 37
BYU 21

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
BYU 28
Toledo 27

Total Points: 55
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 32.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.8

Toledo's 2019 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201909/28Toledo28BYU21BYU -1.5Toledo63.5Under
201609/30BYU55Toledo53BYU -4.5Toledo51.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Toledo121 Overs
BYU101 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams0 - 21 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#) BYU at (#) TOL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBYUTOL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #59 #114
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #69 #81
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
BYU on Offense
CategoryCat
BYU OffTOL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #67 #121
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
BYU Run Game
CategoryCat
BYU OffTOL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
BYU Pass Game
CategoryCat
BYU OffTOL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCatTOL OffBYU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #83 #56
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffBYU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCatTOL OffBYU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TOL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

BYU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 73° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 5
BYU 1.5 (63.5)
Toledo won vs BYU this year (28-21)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
BYU's OC ()
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BYU's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TOL's OC ()
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TOL's DC ()
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