Northwestern at Ohio State - 2018 Matchup Preview

Northwestern Wildcats vs Ohio State Buckeyes(#1)

Saturday, December 1st 2018 (8:00 PM EST)
Ohio State -16.5 (62.5)
Ohio State 45 - Northwestern: 24 (Big Ten)

Wildcats (9 - 5) (7 - 5 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 23 (23 - 17 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Game in Dome
OSU 2nd straight Home Game
OSU is playing their 5th straight game
NW is playing their 10th straight game
Our Line: -11 (SP+ OSU -22)
Projected Score: NW: 25 - OSU: 32 (57)
OSU Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
NW Travel: 178 miles, 1 hrs behind

Buckeyes (13 - 1) (6 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 42 - 26 (51 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NW Players
OSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Northwestern's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/30	Northwestern at Purdue	+1.0	52.5	W 31 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/8	Northwestern vs Duke	-2.5	47.5	L 7 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/15	Northwestern vs Akron	-21.5	45.5	L 34 - 39	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/29	Northwestern vs Michigan	+14.5	46.5	L 17 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/6	Northwestern at Michigan State	+10.5	43.0	W 29 - 19	O	Y
Sat 10/13	Northwestern vs Nebraska	-3.0	59.0	W 34 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/20	Northwestern at Rutgers	-20.0	48.5	W 18 - 15	U	N
Sat 10/27	Northwestern vs Wisconsin	+4.5	50.0	W 31 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/3	Northwestern vs Notre Dame	+10.0	49.5	L 21 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/10	Northwestern at Iowa	+10.0	46.5	W 14 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/17	Northwestern at Minnesota	+3.0	48.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/24	Northwestern vs Illinois	-14.5	56.0	W 24 - 16	U	N
Sat 12/1	Northwestern vs Ohio State	+16.5	62.5	L 24 - 45	O	N
Mon 12/31	Northwestern vs Utah	+7.0	43.0	W 31 - 20	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule

Ohio State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Ohio State vs Oregon State	-40.0	62.0	W 77 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/8	Ohio State vs Rutgers	-34.5	58.0	W 52 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/15	Ohio State vs TCU	-13.0	58.5	W 40 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/22	Ohio State vs Tulane	-37.5	66.5	W 49 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/29	Ohio State at Penn State	-3.0	68.5	W 27 - 26	U	N
Sat 10/6	Ohio State vs Indiana	-27.5	63.0	W 49 - 26	O	N
Sat 10/13	Ohio State vs Minnesota	-29.5	60.5	W 30 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/20	Ohio State at Purdue	-12.0	66.0	L 20 - 49	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3	Ohio State vs Nebraska	-17.0	75.5	W 36 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/10	Ohio State at Michigan State	-3.0	50.0	W 26 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/17	Ohio State at Maryland	-13.5	61.5	W 52 - 51	O	N
Sat 11/24	Ohio State vs Michigan	+4.5	52.5	W 62 - 39	O	Y
Sat 12/1	Ohio State vs Northwestern	-16.5	62.5	W 45 - 24	O	Y
Tue 1/1	Ohio State vs Washington	-5.5	55.5	W 28 - 23	U	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NW	.06	40%	24.2	38%	2.52	115	40%	239	3.26	.1	42%	23.2	38%	44%	3.11	25.9	1.4	1.7
OSU	.28	50%	42.4	46%	2.96	176	52%	359	3.95	.12	40%	25.5	41%	38%	3.16	74.3	1.2	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NW	#129 (.02)	37% (123)		39% (113)	2.63 (124)	99	36% (116)	186	3.02 (127)	#57 (.15)	45% (106)		44% (80)	46% (117)	3.74 (64)	38.8	1.5	1.3
OSU	#1 (.43)	52% (3)		48% (19)	3.37 (15)	137	56% (1)	211	4.6 (15)	#2 (-.01)	36% (7)		39% (26)	34% (8)	2.05 (1)	31.6	0.8	1.1

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NW Offense	14	24.2	23.2	39.5%	3.26	1.4	21	354	115	239	3.1	46%	53%	38%	40%	16%	.06
OSU Defense	14	25.5	21.4	39.9%	3.16	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	45%	53%	41%	38%	19%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NW Defense	14	23.2	17	42%	3.11	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	46%	52%	38%	44%	16%	.1
OSU Offense	14	42.4	50.7	50.1%	3.95	1.2	29	534	176	359	4.4	46%	53%	46%	52%	12%	.28

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Northwestern	14	29:57	20.5	39%	38%	2.9	25.9	1.4	1.7	5.6	1.9	0	30.8
Ohio State	14	30:32	28.5	46%	67%	8.2	74.3	1.2	1.6	7	2.9	3	31.1

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NW Offense	14	46%	38%	37.1	115.1	3.1	25	.01	2.52	68%	8%	0.94
OSU Defense	14	45%	41%	-	-	-	-	.15	2.51	73%	12%	1.29

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NW Defense	14	46%	38%	-	-	-	-	-.05	2.44	64%	10%	0.89
OSU Offense	14	46%	46%	40.4	175.7	4.4	24	.07	2.96	67%	8%	0.83

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NW Offense	14	53%	40%	22.7	37.6	239.3	6.4	10.5	17	16	.12	1.4	33%	27%	.19	8%	2
OSU Defense	14	53%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.14	1.5	34%	27%	.26	7%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NW Defense	14	52%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.26	1.4	31%	32%	.25	7%	1.6
OSU Offense	14	53%	52%	28.1	39.9	358.6	9	12.7	50	8	.48	1.5	28%	40%	.51	4%	2

Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: NR
Northwestern's Offense Rating: NR
Northwestern's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Northwestern's 2018 Expected Record: -
Northwestern's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.9 #68
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #93
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #29

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Northwestern: Ohio State: 12.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northwestern: 1.9 Ohio State: 24.1

Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: 12.05 NR
Ohio State's Offense Rating: NR
Ohio State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ohio State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Ohio State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.1 #6
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.4 #4
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #26

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 24.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 17

Northwestern's 2018 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 2
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Ohio State 32
Northwestern 25

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Ohio State 31
Northwestern 27

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
Ohio State 33
Northwestern 24

Total Points: 57

Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 42.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 50.7
Defense: 25.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

Ohio State's 2018 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 6 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/16	Northwestern	7	Ohio State	31	Ohio State -28	Northwestern	43.5	Under
2022	11/05	Northwestern	7	Ohio State	21	Ohio State -37.5	Northwestern	55.0	Under
2020	12/19	Ohio State	22	Northwestern	10	Ohio State -16.5	Northwestern	57.5	Under
2019	10/18	Northwestern	3	Ohio State	52	Ohio State -26.5	Ohio State	50.0	Over
2018	12/01	Ohio State	45	Northwestern	24	Ohio State -16.5	Ohio State	62.5	Over
2016	10/29	Ohio State	24	Northwestern	20	Ohio State -24	Northwestern	53.5	Under
2013	10/05	Northwestern	30	Ohio State	40	Ohio State -5.5	Ohio State	0
2008	11/08	Northwestern	10	Ohio State	45
2007	09/22	Ohio State	58	Northwestern	7
2006	11/11	Northwestern	10	Ohio State	54
2005	11/12	Ohio State	48	Northwestern	7
2004	10/02	Northwestern	33	Ohio State	27
2003	09/27	Ohio State	20	Northwestern	0
2002	10/05	Northwestern	16	Ohio State	27
2001	10/06	Ohio State	38	Northwestern	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ohio State	14	3	2 Overs
Northwestern	1	4	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 7	3 - 4	1 - 2	2 - 2
Road Teams	7 - 8	4 - 3	2 - 2	2 - 1

(#) NW at (#) OSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NW	OSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#68	#6
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#44	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Northwestern Injury Report

Ohio State Injury Report

Northwestern on Offense


CategoryCat	NW Off	OSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#93	#26
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Northwestern Run Game


CategoryCat	NW Off	OSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Northwestern Pass Game


CategoryCat	NW Off	OSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Ohio State on Offense


CategoryCat	OSU Off	NW Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#4	#29
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ohio State Run Game


CategoryCat	OSU Off	NW Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Ohio State Pass Game


CategoryCat	OSU Off	NW Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
OSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

NW 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Lucas Oil Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 55° - Wind: 12 mph
Rain: 0.016

Rematch from Week 14
Ohio State -16.5 (62.5)
Ohio State won vs Northwestern this year (45-24)

Previous Matchups
Ohio State beat Northwestern last year (31-7)
Ohio State beat Northwestern in 2022 (21-7)

NW's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Northwestern's Full Roster

NW's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

OSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ohio State's Full Roster

OSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD