Notre Dame at Northwestern - 2018 Matchup Preview

Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Northwestern Wildcats

Saturday, November 3rd 2018 (7:15 PM EDT)
Notre Dame -10 (49.5)
Notre Dame 31 - Northwestern: 21

Fighting Irish (12 - 1) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 42 - 18 (38 - 17 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ND 2nd straight Road Game
NW 2nd straight Home Game
NW is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -7 (SP+ ND -19)
Projected Score: ND: 28 - NW: 21 (49)
ND Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
ND Travel: 79 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Wildcats (9 - 5) (7 - 5 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (27 - 12 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ND Players
NW Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Notre Dame's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Notre Dame vs Michigan	+2.5	46.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/8	Notre Dame vs Ball State	-34.0	60.5	W 24 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/15	Notre Dame vs Vanderbilt	-14.0	51.5	W 22 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/22	Notre Dame at Wake Forest	-6.0	59.5	W 56 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/29	Notre Dame vs Stanford	-4.5	52.5	W 38 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/6	Notre Dame at Virginia Tech	-6.5	55.5	W 45 - 23	O	Y
Sat 10/13	Notre Dame vs Pittsburgh	-21.0	56.0	W 19 - 14	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/27	Notre Dame vs Navy	-21.5	55.5	W 44 - 22	O	Y
Sat 11/3	Notre Dame at Northwestern	-10.0	49.5	W 31 - 21	O	N
Sat 11/10	Notre Dame vs Florida State	-16.5	49.5	W 42 - 13	O	Y
Sat 11/17	Notre Dame vs Syracuse	-10.0	64.5	W 36 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/24	Notre Dame at USC	-12.5	54.0	W 24 - 17	U	N
Sat 12/29	Notre Dame vs Clemson	+10.5	58.0	L 3 - 30	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule

Northwestern's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/30	Northwestern at Purdue	+1.0	52.5	W 31 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/8	Northwestern vs Duke	-2.5	47.5	L 7 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/15	Northwestern vs Akron	-21.5	45.5	L 34 - 39	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/29	Northwestern vs Michigan	+14.5	46.5	L 17 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/6	Northwestern at Michigan State	+10.5	43.0	W 29 - 19	O	Y
Sat 10/13	Northwestern vs Nebraska	-3.0	59.0	W 34 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/20	Northwestern at Rutgers	-20.0	48.5	W 18 - 15	U	N
Sat 10/27	Northwestern vs Wisconsin	+4.5	50.0	W 31 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/3	Northwestern vs Notre Dame	+10.0	49.5	L 21 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/10	Northwestern at Iowa	+10.0	46.5	W 14 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/17	Northwestern at Minnesota	+3.0	48.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/24	Northwestern vs Illinois	-14.5	56.0	W 24 - 16	U	N
Sat 12/1	Northwestern vs Ohio State	+16.5	62.5	L 24 - 45	O	N
Mon 12/31	Northwestern vs Utah	+7.0	43.0	W 31 - 20	O	Y

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ND	.26	43%	42	48%	3.35	269	35%	179	3.85	.09	40%	17.6	38%	40%	3.02	48.7	1.3	1.5
NW	.11	43%	23.4	43%	2.97	174	42%	234	3.62	.05	39%	19.8	36%	40%	2.63	49	1.4	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ND		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NW		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ND Offense	13	42	38.2	43.1%	3.85	1.3	21	448	269	179	6.3	57%	42%	48%	35%	14%	.26
NW Defense	13	19.8	12.4	38.8%	2.63	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	42%	56%	36%	40%	20%	.05

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ND Defense	13	17.6	17	40%	3.02	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	38%	40%	16%	.09
NW Offense	13	23.4	26.8	43.3%	3.62	1.4	23	408	174	234	4.2	49%	50%	43%	42%	15%	.11

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Notre Dame	13	27:33	21	44%	56%	5.8	48.7	1.3	1.5	5.5	1.8	2	30.2
Northwestern	13	30:47	22.8	35%	56%	4.9	49	1.4	1.8	7.5	2.5	1	29.7

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ND Offense	13	57%	48%	43.1	269.3	6.3	35	.38	3.35	71%	9%	1.32
NW Defense	13	42%	36%	-	-	-	-	-.08	2.32	48%	12%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ND Defense	13	50%	38%	-	-	-	-	.01	2.92	60%	10%	0.86
NW Offense	13	49%	43%	41.3	174.2	4.2	30	.13	2.97	63%	8%	0.96

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ND Offense	13	42%	35%	13.9	27	179	6.6	12.9	20	10	.11	1.7	34%	35%	.42	5%	2.1
NW Defense	13	56%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	.16	1.5	35%	31%	.21	8%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ND Defense	13	49%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.19	1.6	35%	29%	.17	6%	1.8
NW Offense	13	50%	42%	21.2	35.5	233.8	6.6	11	17	12	.1	1.3	32%	32%	.11	7%	1.4

Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: NR
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: NR
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Notre Dame's 2018 Expected Record: -
Notre Dame's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.7 #13
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #32
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.5 #10

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: Northwestern: 3.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: 20.7 Northwestern: 1.9

Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: 3.45 NR
Northwestern's Offense Rating: NR
Northwestern's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Northwestern's 2018 Expected Record: -
Northwestern's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.9 #68
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #93
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #29

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 42 PPG
Offense on Road: 38.2
Defense: 17.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 17

Notre Dame's 2018 Record
Record: 12 - 1
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Notre Dame 28
Northwestern 21

Projected Total Points: 49

Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 23.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.8
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 12.4

Northwestern's 2018 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 2
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 2
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 1 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2018	11/03	Northwestern	21	Notre Dame	31	Notre Dame -10	NA	49.5	Over
2014	11/15	Notre Dame	40	Northwestern	43	Notre Dame -16.5	Northwestern	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Northwestern	1	1	1 Overs
Notre Dame	1	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#) ND at (#) NW

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ND	NW
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#13	#68
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#10	#44
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Notre Dame Injury Report

Northwestern Injury Report

Notre Dame on Offense


CategoryCat	ND Off	NW Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#32	#29
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Notre Dame Run Game


CategoryCat	ND Off	NW Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Notre Dame Pass Game


CategoryCat	ND Off	NW Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Northwestern on Offense


CategoryCat	NW Off	ND Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#93	#10
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Northwestern Run Game


CategoryCat	NW Off	ND Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Northwestern Pass Game


CategoryCat	NW Off	ND Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NW 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

ND 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ryan Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
Notre Dame 10.0 (49.5)
Notre Dame won at Northwestern this year (31-21)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

ND's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Notre Dame's Full Roster

ND's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NW's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Northwestern's Full Roster

NW's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD