Alabama State at South Alabama - 2018 Matchup Preview

Alabama State Hornets at South Alabama Jaguars

Saturday, October 13th 2018 (5:00 PM EDT)
South Alabama -27.5 (55.5)
South Alabama 45 - Alabama State: 7

Hornets (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 8 - 54 (8 - 54 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Heavy Rain Shower Predicted
ALST coming off BYE
USA is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -6.5 (SP+ USA -18)
USA Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%

Jaguars (3 - 9) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 39 (28 - 29 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ALST Players
USA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Alabama State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/8	Alabama State at Auburn	+62.0	59.5	L 9 - 63	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13	Alabama State at South Alabama	+27.5	55.5	L 7 - 45	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama State's Schedule

South Alabama's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	South Alabama vs Louisiana Tech	+10.5	53.0	L 26 - 30	O	Y
Sat 9/8	South Alabama at Oklahoma State	+30.5	64.0	L 13 - 55	O	N
Sat 9/15	South Alabama vs Texas State	-10.0	49.0	W 41 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/22	South Alabama at Memphis	+31.5	66.0	L 35 - 52	O	Y
Sat 9/29	South Alabama at App State	+25.0	55.5	L 7 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/6	South Alabama at Georgia Southern	+13.0	56.0	L 13 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/13	South Alabama vs Alabama State	-27.5	55.5	W 45 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/23	South Alabama vs Troy	+11.0	52.5	L 17 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/3	South Alabama at Arkansas State	+14.0	61.5	L 14 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/10	South Alabama vs UL Monroe	+7.5	63.0	L 10 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/17	South Alabama at Louisiana	+19.0	66.0	L 38 - 48	O	Y
Fri 11/23	South Alabama vs Coastal Carolina	+1.0	58.5	W 31 - 28	O	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ALST		0%	8	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	54	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USA	.11	38%	24.2	37%	2.55	153	37%	203	3.28	.29	48%	38.8	45%	49%	4.66	84.4	1.8	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ALST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USA	#5 (.34)	50% (9)		53% (4)	3.57 (6)	199	47% (18)	243	4.66 (13)	#58 (.15)	41% (58)		39% (28)	43% (96)	3.66 (56)	70.8	0.9	1.5

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ALST Offense	2	8	8	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
USA Defense	12	38.8	28.7	47.8%	4.66	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	55%	43%	45%	49%	15%	.29

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ALST Defense	2	54	54	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
USA Offense	12	24.2	28.3	37.8%	3.28	1.8	18	356	153	203	3.7	57%	42%	37%	37%	17%	.11

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Alabama State	2	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
South Alabama	12	29:47	17.8	35%	62%	9	84.4	1.8	1.5	4.6	1.5	2	29.3

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ALST Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
USA Defense	12	55%	45%	-	-	-	-	.2	2.68	62%	9%	1.21

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ALST Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
USA Offense	12	57%	37%	40.8	152.9	3.7	17	-.03	2.55	69%	11%	0.84

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ALST Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
USA Defense	12	43%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.42	1.7	28%	35%	.4	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ALST Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
USA Offense	12	42%	37%	16.7	26.7	203.3	7.6	12.2	19	10	.3	1.9	35%	29%	.26	6%	1.7

Alabama State's Power Ratings
Alabama State's Power Rating: NR
Alabama State's Offense Rating: NR
Alabama State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #137
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Alabama State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Alabama State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Alabama State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Alabama State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SWAC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama State: South Alabama: -6.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama State: South Alabama: -17.7

South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: -6.35 NR
South Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
South Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
South Alabama's 2018 Expected Record: -
South Alabama's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #117
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #101
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 42.0 #123

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Alabama State Scoring
Offense: 8 PPG
Offense on Road: 8
Defense: 54 PPG
Defense on Road: 54

Alabama State's 2018 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
South Alabama 39
Alabama State 23

Total Points: 62

Based on Last 4 Games
South Alabama 38
Alabama State 25

Total Points: 62

Based on Entire Season
South Alabama 40
Alabama State 21

Total Points: 61

South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 24.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.3
Defense: 38.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.7

South Alabama's 2018 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2018	10/13	South Alabama	45	Alabama State	7	South Alabama -27.5	South Alabama	55.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
South Alabama	1	1	0 Overs
Alabama State	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#) ALST at (#) USA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ALST	USA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	#117
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#137	#97
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Alabama State Injury Report

South Alabama Injury Report

Alabama State on Offense


CategoryCat	ALST Off	USA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	#123
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Alabama State Run Game


CategoryCat	ALST Off	USA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Alabama State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ALST Off	USA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

South Alabama on Offense


CategoryCat	USA Off	ALST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#101	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

South Alabama Run Game


CategoryCat	USA Off	ALST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

South Alabama Pass Game


CategoryCat	USA Off	ALST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
USA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

ALST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'18 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ladd Peebles Stadium
Conditions: Heavy Rain Shower
Temp: 82°

Rematch from Week 7
South Alabama -27.5 (55.5)
South Alabama won vs Alabama State this year (45-7)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

ALST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Alabama State's Full Roster

ALST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

USA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View South Alabama's Full Roster

USA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD