Ole Miss at Texas Tech - 2018 Matchup Preview

(#6)Ole Miss Rebels vs Texas Tech Red Raiders(#4)

Saturday, September 1st 2018 (12:00 PM EDT)
Ole Miss -2.5 (71.5)
Ole Miss 47 - Texas Tech: 27

Rebels (5 - 7) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 36 (27 - 38 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Game in Dome
Our Line: -0.5 (SP+ MISS -1)
Projected Score: MISS: 32 - TTU: 34 (66)
MISS Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
MISS Travel: 472 miles

Red Raiders (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 31 (50 - 33 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MISS Players
TTU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ole Miss's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Ole Miss vs Texas Tech	-2.5	71.5	W 47 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/8	Ole Miss vs Southern Illinois	-28.0	65.5	W 76 - 41	O	Y
Sat 9/15	Ole Miss vs Alabama	+22.5	71.5	L 7 - 62	U	N
Sat 9/22	Ole Miss vs Kent State	-28.5	75.0	W 38 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/29	Ole Miss at LSU	+10.5	61.0	L 16 - 45	U	N
Sat 10/6	Ole Miss vs UL Monroe	-23.5	76.0	W 70 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/13	Ole Miss at Arkansas	-6.5	66.5	W 37 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/20	Ole Miss vs Auburn	+5.0	64.0	L 16 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3	Ole Miss vs South Carolina	-2.0	70.0	L 44 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/10	Ole Miss at Texas A&M	+13.0	68.0	L 24 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/17	Ole Miss at Vanderbilt	+3.0	72.5	L 29 - 36	U	N
Thu 11/22	Ole Miss vs Mississippi State	+12.5	61.0	L 3 - 35	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule

Texas Tech's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Texas Tech vs Ole Miss	+2.5	71.5	L 27 - 47	O	N
Sat 9/8	Texas Tech vs Lamar	-49.0	71.5	W 77 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/15	Texas Tech vs Houston	-1.0	68.0	W 63 - 49	O	Y
Sat 9/22	Texas Tech at Oklahoma State	+14.5	76.0	W 41 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/29	Texas Tech vs West Virginia	+3.5	73.0	L 34 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/11	Texas Tech at TCU	+7.5	57.5	W 17 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/20	Texas Tech vs Kansas	-17.5	59.0	W 48 - 16	O	Y
Sat 10/27	Texas Tech at Iowa State	+5.5	57.5	L 31 - 40	O	N
Sat 11/3	Texas Tech vs Oklahoma	+14.0	78.5	L 46 - 51	O	Y
Sat 11/10	Texas Tech vs Texas	+2.0	62.5	L 34 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/17	Texas Tech at Kansas State	-6.5	55.0	L 6 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/24	Texas Tech vs Baylor	-6.0	63.5	L 24 - 35	U	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MISS	.31	51%	33.9	51%	3.14	164	48%	346	3.84	.21	48%	36.2	50%	43%	3.71	66.9	1.2	1.3
TTU	.2	49%	37.3	44%	2.59	133	51%	353	4.3	.23	45%	31.1	44%	43%	3.47	74.3	1.8	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MISS	#4 (.34)	47% (19)		44% (76)	3.02 (72)	164	51% (3)	317	4 (58)	#6 (.04)	35% (3)		35% (6)	36% (13)	2.98 (8)	68.5	0.9	1.6
TTU	#33 (.25)	44% (50)		45% (49)	3.17 (45)	150	43% (51)	275	4.73 (7)	#104 (.23)	44% (93)		44% (76)	44% (101)	3.97 (83)	59.4	1.5	1.6

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MISS Offense	12	33.9	26.5	50.7%	3.84	1.2	24	511	164	346	4.7	42%	55%	51%	48%	17%	.31
TTU Defense	12	31.1	33.2	44.6%	3.47	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	44%	43%	16%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MISS Defense	12	36.2	38	47.8%	3.71	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	50%	43%	17%	.21
TTU Offense	12	37.3	50.3	48.9%	4.3	1.8	27	485	133	353	3.6	40%	58%	44%	51%	14%	.2

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ole Miss	12	26:20	24	35%	53%	7.3	66.9	1.2	1.3	7.2	1.9	2	25.9
Texas Tech	12	30:02	26.6	47%	61%	7.8	74.3	1.8	1.5	5.8	2.3	1	28.9

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MISS Offense	12	42%	51%	34.8	164.3	4.7	24	.2	3.14	73%	9%	0.97
TTU Defense	12	48%	44%	-	-	-	-	.1	3.09	69%	9%	0.86

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MISS Defense	12	53%	50%	-	-	-	-	.19	3.22	75%	11%	0.94
TTU Offense	12	40%	44%	36.4	132.6	3.6	26	.04	2.59	72%	8%	0.78

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MISS Offense	12	55%	48%	23.5	36.7	346.4	9.5	14.7	21	9	.42	1.6	29%	40%	.4	8%	1.7
TTU Defense	12	50%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.36	1.7	32%	32%	.41	7%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MISS Defense	12	45%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.26	1.6	30%	33%	.3	6%	1.8
TTU Offense	12	58%	51%	30.1	44.6	352.6	7.9	11.7	28	15	.32	1.3	32%	38%	.39	5%	1.8

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #22
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ole Miss's 2018 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.8 #33
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.1 #6
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #90

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: Texas Tech: 4.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 9.8 Texas Tech: 8.7

Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 4.35 NR
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: NR
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Texas Tech's 2018 Expected Record: -
Texas Tech's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.7 #37
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #23
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #80

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 33.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.5
Defense: 36.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

Ole Miss's 2018 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Texas Tech 34
Ole Miss 32

Total Points: 66

Based on Last 4 Games
Ole Miss 33
Texas Tech 26

Total Points: 59

Based on Entire Season
Texas Tech 41
Ole Miss 31

Total Points: 72

Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 37.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 50.3
Defense: 31.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.2

Texas Tech's 2018 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	12/28	Ole Miss	25	Texas Tech	42	Ole Miss -4.5	Texas Tech	73.0	Under
2018	09/01	Texas Tech	27	Ole Miss	47	Ole Miss -2.5	Ole Miss	71.5	Over
2008	01/02	Texas Tech	34	Ole Miss	47
2003	09/27	Ole Miss	45	Texas Tech	49
2002	09/14	Texas Tech	42	Ole Miss	28

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Texas Tech	3	1	1 Overs
Ole Miss	2	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 4	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	4 - 1	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0

(#) MISS at (#) TTU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MISS	TTU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#33	#37
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#22	#59
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Ole Miss Injury Report

Texas Tech Injury Report

Ole Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	MISS Off	TTU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#6	#80
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ole Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	TTU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Ole Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	TTU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Texas Tech on Offense


CategoryCat	TTU Off	MISS Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#23	#90
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Texas Tech Run Game


CategoryCat	TTU Off	MISS Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Texas Tech Pass Game


CategoryCat	TTU Off	MISS Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
TTU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average P4

MISS 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in NRG Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 85°( - Hum: 76.9%)
- Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 1
Ole Miss 2.5 (71.5)
Ole Miss won at Texas Tech this year (47-27)

Previous Matchups
Texas Tech beat Ole Miss in 2022 (42-25)

MISS's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

TTU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

TTU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD