South Alabama at Ole Miss - 2017 Matchup Preview

South Alabama Jaguars at Ole Miss Rebels(#6)

Saturday, September 2nd 2017 (7:30 PM EDT)
Ole Miss -22 (59.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Ole Miss 47 - South Alabama: 27

Jaguars (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 20 - 27 (15 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -14.5 (SP+ MISS -24)
Projected Score: USA: 31 - MISS: 32 (63)
MISS Win prob: 96% | Cover: 52%
USA Travel: 268 miles

Rebels (6 - 6) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 35 (41 - 31 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USA Players
MISS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

South Alabama's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	South Alabama at Ole Miss	+22.0	59.5	L 27 - 47	O	Y
Fri 9/8	South Alabama vs Oklahoma State	+28.0	67.5	L 7 - 44	U	N
Sat 9/16	South Alabama vs Alabama A&M	-38.0
Sat 9/23	South Alabama vs Idaho	-6.5	55.0	L 23 - 29	U	N
Sat 9/30	South Alabama at Louisiana Tech	+11.5	57.5	L 16 - 34	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/11	South Alabama at Troy	+18.0	51.5	W 19 - 8	U	Y
Sat 10/21	South Alabama vs UL Monroe	-3.5	55.5	W 33 - 23	O	Y
Thu 10/26	South Alabama at Georgia State	+1.0	50.5	L 13 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/4	South Alabama vs Louisiana	-6.0	51.5	L 14 - 19	U	N
Sat 11/11	South Alabama vs Arkansas State	+12.5	55.5	W 24 - 19	U	Y
Sat 11/18	South Alabama at Georgia Southern	-6.0	44.5	L 0 - 52	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 12/2	South Alabama at New Mexico State	+11.5	54.0	L 17 - 22	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule

Ole Miss's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Ole Miss vs South Alabama	-22.0	59.5	W 47 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/9	Ole Miss vs UT Martin	-33.5
Sat 9/16	Ole Miss at California	-7.0	69.5	L 16 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30	Ole Miss at Alabama	+30.0	56.0	L 3 - 66	O	N
Sat 10/7	Ole Miss at Auburn	+21.5	55.5	L 23 - 44	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt	-3.5	56.5	W 57 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Ole Miss vs LSU	+6.5	59.0	L 24 - 40	O	N
Sat 10/28	Ole Miss vs Arkansas	-2.5	62.0	L 37 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/4	Ole Miss at Kentucky	+3.5	63.5	W 37 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Ole Miss vs Louisiana	-22.5	67.5	W 50 - 22	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Ole Miss vs Texas A&M	+3.0	70.0	L 24 - 31	U	N
Thu 11/23	Ole Miss at Mississippi State	+14.0	64.5	W 31 - 28	U	Y

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USA	.03	39%	19.8	38%	2.08	97	38%	237	3.12	.13	45%	26.5	44%	43%	3.2	56.6	1.5	1.7
MISS	.25	47%	32.8	47%	3.17	134	44%	328	3.65	.22	46%	34.6	46%	42%	3.89	62.4	1.5	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USA	#5 (.34)	50% (9)		53% (4)	3.57 (6)	199	47% (18)	243	4.66 (13)	#58 (.15)	41% (58)		39% (28)	43% (96)	3.66 (56)	70.8	0.9	1.5
MISS	#4 (.34)	47% (19)		44% (76)	3.02 (72)	164	51% (3)	317	4 (58)	#6 (.04)	35% (3)		35% (6)	36% (13)	2.98 (8)	68.5	0.9	1.6

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USA Offense	12	19.8	15.3	39.2%	3.12	1.5	18	334	97	237	3.1	43%	55%	38%	38%	21%	.03
MISS Defense	12	34.6	30.9	45.6%	3.89	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	57%	41%	46%	42%	14%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USA Defense	12	26.5	30.7	44.5%	3.2	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	45%	52%	44%	43%	14%	.13
MISS Offense	12	32.8	40.6	46.7%	3.65	1.5	21	462	134	328	4.3	40%	57%	47%	44%	17%	.25

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
South Alabama	12	29:36	17.8	30%	44%	6.1	56.6	1.5	1.7	4	1.8	0	29.4
Ole Miss	12	25:12	21.3	38%	40%	7.6	62.4	1.5	1.1	6.3	2.4	1	30.1

Run Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USA Offense	12	43%	38%	31.3	97.3	3.1	10	-.12	2.08	60%	12%	0.75
MISS Defense	12	57%	46%	-	-	-	-	.22	3.2	78%	9%	1.05

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USA Defense	12	45%	44%	-	-	-	-	.04	3.03	70%	8%	0.87
MISS Offense	12	40%	47%	30.8	133.9	4.3	19	.23	3.17	68%	10%	1.03

Pass Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USA Offense	12	55%	38%	18.5	34.3	237.1	6.9	12.8	15	14	.16	1.5	34%	29%	.17	9%	1.8
MISS Defense	12	41%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.27	1.6	27%	37%	.35	5%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USA Defense	12	52%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.25	1.5	31%	36%	.28	6%	1.7
MISS Offense	12	57%	44%	23.4	36.2	328.4	9.1	14	28	13	.3	1.7	28%	35%	.35	7%	1.9

South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: NR
South Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
South Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Alabama's 2017 Expected Record: -
South Alabama's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.0 #106
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.3 #119
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #89

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: Ole Miss: 8.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: -12.0 Ole Miss: 11.6

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 8.3 NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ole Miss's 2017 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.6 #26
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.9 #10
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #76

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 19.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.3
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.7

South Alabama's 2017 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Ole Miss 32
South Alabama 31

Total Points: 63

Based on Last 4 Games
South Alabama 36
Ole Miss 31

Total Points: 67

Based on Entire Season
Ole Miss 33
South Alabama 25

Total Points: 58

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 32.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.6
Defense: 34.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.9

Ole Miss's 2017 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2017	09/02	Ole Miss	47	South Alabama	27	Ole Miss -22	South Alabama	59.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ole Miss	1	0	1 Overs
South Alabama	0	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#) USA at (#) MISS

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USA	MISS
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#106	#26
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#88	#17
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

South Alabama Injury Report

Ole Miss Injury Report

South Alabama on Offense


CategoryCat	USA Off	MISS Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#119	#76
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

South Alabama Run Game


CategoryCat	USA Off	MISS Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

South Alabama Pass Game


CategoryCat	USA Off	MISS Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Ole Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	MISS Off	USA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#10	#89
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ole Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	USA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Ole Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	USA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MISS 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average P4

USA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Ole Miss -22.0 (59.5)
Ole Miss won vs South Alabama this year (47-27)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

USA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View South Alabama's Full Roster

USA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MISS's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD